<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Archiving and Interchange DTD with MathML3 v1.3 20210610//EN"  "JATS-archivearticle1-3-mathml3.dtd"><article xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">elife</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">eLife</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>eLife</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="electronic" pub-type="epub">2050-084X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">107524</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7554/eLife.107524</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi" specific-use="version">10.7554/eLife.107524.3</article-id><article-version article-version-type="publication-state">version of record</article-version><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="display-channel"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Computational and Systems Biology</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Physics of Living Systems</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Non-equilibrium strategies enabling ligand specificity by signaling receptors</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name><surname>Goetz</surname><given-names>Andrew</given-names></name><email>andrew.goetz@yale.edu</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="con1"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="conf1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Barrios</surname><given-names>Jeremy</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="con2"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="conf1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Madsen</surname><given-names>Ralitsa Radostinova</given-names></name><contrib-id authenticated="true" contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8844-5167</contrib-id><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref><xref ref-type="other" rid="fund3"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="con3"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="conf1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name><surname>Dixit</surname><given-names>Purushottam D</given-names></name><contrib-id authenticated="true" contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3282-0866</contrib-id><email>purushottam.dixit@yale.edu</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">4</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="con4"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="conf1"/></contrib><aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/03v76x132</institution-id><institution>Department of Biomedical Engineering, Yale University</institution></institution-wrap><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New Haven</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff><aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/03v76x132</institution-id><institution>Department of Physics, Yale University</institution></institution-wrap><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New Haven</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff><aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/01zg1tt02</institution-id><institution>MRC Protein Phosphorylation and Ubiquitylation Unit, University of Dundee</institution></institution-wrap><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">Dundee</named-content></addr-line><country>United Kingdom</country></aff><aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/03v76x132</institution-id><institution>Systems Biology Institute, Yale University</institution></institution-wrap><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New Haven</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib-group><contrib-group content-type="section"><contrib contrib-type="editor"><name><surname>Murugan</surname><given-names>Arvind</given-names></name><role>Reviewing Editor</role><aff><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/024mw5h28</institution-id><institution>University of Chicago</institution></institution-wrap><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">Chicago</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib><contrib contrib-type="senior_editor"><name><surname>Walczak</surname><given-names>Aleksandra M</given-names></name><role>Senior Editor</role><aff><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/02feahw73</institution-id><institution>CNRS</institution></institution-wrap><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">Paris</named-content></addr-line><country>France</country></aff></contrib></contrib-group><pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="publication"><day>29</day><month>10</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>14</volume><elocation-id>RP107524</elocation-id><history><date date-type="sent-for-review" iso-8601-date="2025-05-28"><day>28</day><month>05</month><year>2025</year></date></history><pub-history><event><event-desc>This manuscript was published as a preprint.</event-desc><date date-type="preprint" iso-8601-date="2025-05-04"><day>04</day><month>05</month><year>2025</year></date><self-uri content-type="preprint" xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.10.01.615884"/></event><event><event-desc>This manuscript was published as a reviewed preprint.</event-desc><date date-type="reviewed-preprint" iso-8601-date="2025-07-29"><day>29</day><month>07</month><year>2025</year></date><self-uri content-type="reviewed-preprint" xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.107524.1"/></event><event><event-desc>The reviewed preprint was revised.</event-desc><date date-type="reviewed-preprint" iso-8601-date="2025-10-06"><day>06</day><month>10</month><year>2025</year></date><self-uri content-type="reviewed-preprint" xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.107524.2"/></event></pub-history><permissions><copyright-statement>© 2025, Goetz et al</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder>Goetz et al</copyright-holder><ali:free_to_read/><license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><ali:license_ref>http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ali:license_ref><license-p>This article is distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution License</ext-link>, which permits unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri content-type="pdf" xlink:href="elife-107524-v1.pdf"/><abstract><p>Signaling receptors often encounter multiple ligands and have been shown to respond selectively to generate appropriate, context-specific outcomes. At thermal equilibrium, ligand specificity is limited by the relative affinities of ligands for their receptors. Here, we present a non-equilibrium model in which receptors overcome thermodynamic constraints to preferentially signal from specific ligands while suppressing others. In our model, multi-site phosphorylation and active receptor degradation act in concert to regulate ligand specificity, with receptor degradation, a common motif in eukaryotes, providing a previously under-appreciated layer of control. Here, ligand-bound receptors undergo sequential phosphorylation, with progression restarted by ligand unbinding or receptor turnover. High-affinity complexes are kinetically sorted toward degradation-prone states, while low-affinity complexes are sorted toward inactivated states, both limiting signaling. As a result, network activity is maximized for ligands with intermediate affinities. This mechanism explains paradoxical experimental observations in receptor tyrosine kinase signaling, including non-monotonic dependence of signaling output on ligand affinity and kinase activity. Given the ubiquity of multi-site phosphorylation and ligand-induced degradation across signaling receptors, we propose that kinetic sorting may be a general non-equilibrium ligand-discrimination strategy used by multiple signaling receptors.</p></abstract><kwd-group kwd-group-type="author-keywords"><kwd>signaling networks</kwd><kwd>proofreading</kwd><kwd>specificity</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group kwd-group-type="research-organism"><title>Research organism</title><kwd>Human</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><award-group id="fund1"><funding-source><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/04q48ey07</institution-id><institution>National Institute of General Medical Sciences</institution></institution-wrap></funding-source><award-id>R35GM142547</award-id><principal-award-recipient><name><surname>Goetz</surname><given-names>Andrew</given-names></name><name><surname>Barrios</surname><given-names>Jeremy</given-names></name><name><surname>Dixit</surname><given-names>Purushottam D</given-names></name></principal-award-recipient></award-group><award-group id="fund2"><funding-source><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/029chgv08</institution-id><institution>Wellcome</institution></institution-wrap></funding-source><award-id>Sir Henry Wellcome Fellowship 220464/Z/20/Z</award-id><principal-award-recipient><name><surname>Madsen</surname><given-names>Ralitsa Radostinova</given-names></name></principal-award-recipient></award-group><award-group id="fund3"><funding-source><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/001aqnf71</institution-id><institution>UK Research and Innovation</institution></institution-wrap></funding-source><award-id>MR/Y017439/1</award-id><principal-award-recipient><name><surname>Madsen</surname><given-names>Ralitsa Radostinova</given-names></name></principal-award-recipient></award-group><funding-statement>The funders had no role in study design, data collection and interpretation, or the decision to submit the work for publication. For the purpose of Open Access, the authors have applied a CC BY public copyright license to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising from this submission.</funding-statement></funding-group><custom-meta-group><custom-meta specific-use="meta-only"><meta-name>Author impact statement</meta-name><meta-value>Non-equilibrium thermodynamics allows signaling networks to signal downstream of certain ligands but avoid signaling from others.</meta-value></custom-meta><custom-meta specific-use="meta-only"><meta-name>publishing-route</meta-name><meta-value>prc</meta-value></custom-meta></custom-meta-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1" sec-type="intro"><title>Introduction</title><p>Signaling receptors routinely encounter a wide variety of extracellular ligands and decode their identity with remarkable precision to generate context-specific responses. This selective processing of environmental cues is essential for regulating diverse biological processes, including development, immune surveillance, and tissue homeostasis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib7">Cantley et al., 2014</xref>). Failures in ligand discrimination underlie many diseases, including diabetes and cancer (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib47">Madsen et al., 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib46">Madsen and Vanhaesebroeck, 2020</xref>).</p><p>A key determinant of ligand specificity in biochemical networks is the thermodynamic stability of molecular complexes, such as ligand–receptor or substrate–enzyme pairs. At thermal equilibrium, the abundance of complexes is determined by their equilibrium binding constants. This imposes a fundamental limit on specificity: high-affinity ligands are inevitably favored over lower-affinity competitors, with complex abundances scaling in proportion to their association constants.</p><p>Notably, many biochemical networks display paradoxical behaviors that cannot be explained by equilibrium affinity alone (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib13">Clark et al., 1999</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib14">Coombs et al., 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib18">Freed et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib47">Madsen et al., 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib55">Myers et al., 2023</xref>). For example, signaling receptors such as receptor tyrosine kinases (RTKs) and T cell receptors can produce stronger signaling outputs (phosphorylation levels) in response to intermediate-affinity ligands compared to low- and high-affinity ligands (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib14">Coombs et al., 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Lever et al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib18">Freed et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib47">Madsen et al., 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib55">Myers et al., 2023</xref>). Additionally, RTKs also exhibit a non-monotonic dependence between receptor activity and kinase activity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib31">Kiyatkin et al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib32">Kleiman et al., 2011</xref>). These observations raise a fundamental question: how do signaling receptors overcome thermodynamic constraints to achieve robust, ligand-specific responses?</p><p>A classic scheme to bypass limitations imposed by equilibrium thermodynamics is kinetic proofreading (KPR), a mechanism first proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib25">Hopfield, 1974</xref> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib56">Ninio, 1975</xref>. KPR enhances specificity of high-affinity ligands by introducing energy-consuming, irreversible steps, such as phosphorylation/dephosphorylation cycles, that amplify differences between competing ligands. KPR has been invoked in diverse systems, including DNA replication (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib26">Hopfield, 1980</xref>), mRNA surveillance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib24">Hilleren and Parker, 1999</xref>), protein folding (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib22">Gulukota and Wolynes, 1994</xref>), and immune receptor signaling (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib50">McKeithan, 1995</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib29">Huang et al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Lever et al., 2014</xref>). Notably, while most KPR models prefer ligands with the highest affinity, it is also known that embedding KPR schemes in larger biochemical networks may allow non-monotonic dependence between ligand affinity and network activity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Lever et al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib54">Murugan et al., 2014</xref>). However, as we will show below, these models do not capture the non-monotonic dependence between network output and kinase activity.</p><p>In this work, we present a novel non-equilibrium mechanism to achieve ligand specificity at the receptor level that relies on biologically ubiquitous signaling motifs: sequential multi-site phosphorylation and active receptor degradation. These two motifs are found in many major receptor systems, including RTKs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib19">Furdui et al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib64">Sorkin and Goh, 2009</xref>), G protein-coupled receptors (GPCRs) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib33">Koenig and Edwardson, 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib67">Tobin, 2008</xref>), T cell receptors (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib50">McKeithan, 1995</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib10">Charpentier and King, 2021</xref>), and interleukin receptors (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib34">Kollewe et al., 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib9">Cendrowski et al., 2016</xref>). Notably, the combined role of these motifs in conferring networks with ligand and kinase specificity has not been explored.</p><p>In our model, high-affinity ligand–receptor complexes are sorted toward degradation-prone states, while low-affinity complexes repeatedly dissociate the ligand, resulting in maximal signaling output only from intermediate-affinity ligands. Notably, this ligand specificity can be tuned by varying easily controllable cellular parameters, for example, enzyme abundances. This non-equilibrium kinetic sorting mechanism explains the paradoxical non-monotonic dependence of signaling activity on ligand affinity and phosphorylation rate observed in RTKs. More broadly, given the ubiquity of the signaling motifs involved, we propose that kinetic sorting provides a general strategy for achieving ligand discrimination that is likely to be broadly used across diverse signaling networks.</p></sec><sec id="s2" sec-type="results"><title>Results</title><sec id="s2-1"><title>Classic KPR favors high-affinity ligands</title><p>KPR is the standard model for non-equilibrium ligand discrimination. To set the stage, we first revisited the classic KPR model originally proposed by McKeithan to explain how T cell receptors avoid activation downstream of weak ligands (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib50">McKeithan, 1995</xref>; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1a</xref>; see ‘Materials and methods’ for equations).</p><fig id="fig1" position="float"><label>Figure 1.</label><caption><title>Reaction scheme of kinetic proofreading models.</title><p>Chemical species and rate constants are shown in the figure. <italic>R</italic> denotes ligand-free receptors, <italic>B</italic> denotes ligand-bound inactive receptors, and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf1"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft1">\begin{document}$P_n, n \in [1, N]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> are phosphorylated receptors. The ultimate phosphorylated species <italic>P</italic><sub><italic>N</italic></sub> (marked red) is assumed to be signaling competent. (<bold>a</bold>) shows the traditional model first proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib50">McKeithan, 1995</xref>. (<bold>b, c</bold>) show the sustained signaling model and the limited signaling model (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Lever et al., 2014</xref>) which introduce additional receptor states, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf2"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft2">\begin{document}$P_N^0$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> and <italic>I</italic> respectively, directly following receptor activation.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-107524-fig1-v1.tif"/></fig><p>In this model, ligand-bound receptors undergo a series of phosphorylation steps, with the final state <italic>P</italic><sub><italic>N</italic></sub> representing the active, signaling-competent form. Importantly, ligand unbinding at any phosphorylation stage returns the receptor to the unbound state <italic>R</italic>. We parameterized the model using dimensionless quantities: the ligand dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf3"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi><mml:mo class="MathClass-rel" stretchy="false">=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑘</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑑</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>𝜏</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft3">\begin{document}$\delta= k_{\rmd} \tau$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, phosphorylation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf4"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝜔</mml:mi><mml:mo class="MathClass-rel" stretchy="false">=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑘</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑝</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>𝜏</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft4">\begin{document}$\omega= k_{\rmp} \tau$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, and ligand concentration <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf5"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft5">\begin{document}$u = L / K_{\rm D}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf6"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft6">\begin{document}$K_{\rm D} = k_{\rm d} / k_{\rm on}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. Assuming saturating ligand (<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf7"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">𝑢→∞</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft7">\begin{document}$u \rightarrow\infty$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>), the steady-state abundance of the active state is<disp-formula id="equ1"><label>(1)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m1"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:msup><mml:mi>ω</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>ω</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t1">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle P_N = \frac{\omega ^N}{(\omega+ \delta)^N}.$$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula></p><p>As expected, increasing the phosphorylation cascade length <italic>N</italic> amplifies the preference for low-dissociation (high-affinity) ligands (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2a</xref>), reflecting the classical KPR outcome.</p><fig id="fig2" position="float"><label>Figure 2.</label><caption><title>Ligand discrimination in kinetic proofreading models.</title><p>(<bold>a</bold>) Activity <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf8"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft8">\begin{document}$P_N$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> plotted as a function of non-dimensional ligand dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf9"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft9">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> for the traditional KPR scheme (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1a</xref>). (<bold>b</bold>) Activity <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf10"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft10">\begin{document}$P_N$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> plotted as a function of non-dimensional ligand dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf11"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft11">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> for the limited signaling model (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1b</xref>). (<bold>c</bold>) The dependence of the activity on the dimensionless phosphorylation rate ω for the limited signaling model. All figures plotted for a sequence of <italic>N</italic> = 1, 5, and 10 phosphorylation sites.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-107524-fig2-v1.tif"/></fig></sec><sec id="s2-2"><title>Modified KPR schemes do not explain paradoxical RTK behavior</title><p>Before introducing our model, we briefly review two previously proposed extensions of receptor-level KPR that exhibit non-monotonic ligand discrimination: the sustained signaling model and the limited signaling model (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Lever et al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1b and c</xref>). Both models introduce an additional state to Mckeithan’s KPR scheme. The sustained signaling model adds an active but ligand-free state <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf12"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft12">\begin{document}$P_N^0$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, while the limited signaling model introduces an inactivated state <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf13"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐼</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft13">\begin{document}$I$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> downstream of <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf14"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft14">\begin{document}$P_N$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>.</p><p>While both models show non-monotonic dependence of signaling activity on ligand affinity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Lever et al., 2014</xref>), only the limited signaling model retains this non-monotonic dependence at saturating ligand concentrations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Lever et al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2b</xref>), consistent with some paradoxical features observed in RTKs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib18">Freed et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib47">Madsen et al., 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib55">Myers et al., 2023</xref>). However, the limited signaling model fails to reproduce a second key observation in RTKs: receptor activity in this model increases monotonically with kinase activity, whereas RTK experiments show that partial kinase inhibition can paradoxically increase receptor activity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib31">Kiyatkin et al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib32">Kleiman et al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2c</xref>). Thus, these models are insufficient to explain RTK signaling dynamics.</p><p>Notably, these models neglect a key feature of many receptor signaling pathways: preferential degradation of activated receptors (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib64">Sorkin and Goh, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib33">Koenig and Edwardson, 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib10">Charpentier and King, 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib9">Cendrowski et al., 2016</xref>). Below, we incorporate preferential degradation in our model to investigate how it governs receptor activity.</p></sec><sec id="s2-3"><title>A kinetic sorting model integrates active receptor degradation</title><p>We build a model to study the effect of two widespread signaling motifs: sequential multi-site phosphorylation and ligand-induced receptor degradation (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref>) on ligand discrimination. In our model, receptors are delivered to the surface at a constant rate, internalized at a basal rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf15"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑘</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">𝑖𝑛𝑡</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft15">\begin{document}$k_{\rmint}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, and degraded more rapidly when highly phosphorylated (<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf16"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft16">\begin{document}$k_{\rm int}^* \gt k_{\rm int}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>). Ligand-bound receptors undergo irreversible phosphorylation and dephosphorylation through distinct irreversible mechanisms. We note that both kinase and phosphatase are irreversible reactions carried out by separate enzymes. While their effect on the coarse-grained model of the receptor may appear reversible, it is important to note that receptor phosphorylation via ATP hydrolysis and removal of the phosphate group from the receptor corresponds to a futile cycle that does not recharge the ADP molecule to an ATP molecule. In addition to the previously defined dimensionless parameters, we define the dimensionless active receptor degradation rate, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf17"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft17">\begin{document}$\beta= k_{\rm int}^*/k_{\rm int}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, and the relative rate of dephosphorylation, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf18"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft18">\begin{document}$\rho= k_{\rm dp}/k_{\rm p}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. A key feature of our model is that all phosphorylated species are signaling competent. Indeed, in many signaling pathways all phosphorylation sites on the receptor <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib60">Schulze et al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib67">Tobin, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib34">Kollewe et al., 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib37">Lemmon and Schlessinger, 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib36">Latorraca et al., 2020</xref> have downstream effects. Therefore, we define the net activity <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf19"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐴</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑛</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft19">\begin{document}$A_n$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> of phosphorylation site <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf20"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑛</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft20">\begin{document}$n$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> as all receptor states where the site <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf21"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑛</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft21">\begin{document}$n$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> is phosphorylated: <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf22"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:munder><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft22">\begin{document}$A_n = \sum_{{m}\geq {n}}{P_m}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>.</p><fig id="fig3" position="float"><label>Figure 3.</label><caption><title>Reaction scheme of kinetic sorting model.</title><p>Chemical species and rate constants are shown in the figure. <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf23"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑅</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft23">\begin{document}$R$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> denotes ligand-free receptors, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf24"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐵</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft24">\begin{document}$B$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> denotes ligand-bound inactive receptors, and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf25"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft25">\begin{document}$P_n, n \in [1, N]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> are phosphorylated receptors. <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf26"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝜙</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft26">\begin{document}$\phi$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> represents an implicit source and sink, corresponding to receptor delivery and internalization, respectively. It does not denote a physical chemical species.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-107524-fig3-v1.tif"/></fig><sec id="s2-3-1"><title>Parameter ranges</title><p>To ensure that the phenomena captured by our model are relevant to real signaling networks, we selected ranges for the dimensionless parameters based on direct experimental measurements and model fits. Importantly, many of these kinetic processes have comparable rates across diverse receptor systems (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib33">Koenig and Edwardson, 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib66">Subtil et al., 1994</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib41">Liu et al., 2000</xref>). Specifically, basal receptor internalization occurs at rates of <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf27"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft27">\begin{document}$k_{\rm int} \approx10^{-4}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf28"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft28">\begin{document}$10^{-3},\mathrm{s}^{-1}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib68">Wiley, 2003</xref>), while active receptor internalization is typically faster, at <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf29"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft29">\begin{document}$k_{\rm int}^* \approx10^{-3}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf30"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft30">\begin{document}$10^{-2},\mathrm{s}^{-1}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib68">Wiley, 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib42">Lyashenko et al., 2020</xref>). Ligand dissociation rates typically fall in the range <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf31"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft31">\begin{document}$k_{\rm d} \approx10^{-2}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf32"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft32">\begin{document}$10^{-1},\mathrm{s}^{-1}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib11">Chen et al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib42">Lyashenko et al., 2020</xref>), and receptor phosphorylation (<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf33"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft33">\begin{document}$k_{\rm p}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>) and dephosphorylation (<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf34"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft34">\begin{document}$k_{\rm dp}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>) occur at <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf35"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft35">\begin{document}$\sim10^{-1}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf36"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft36">\begin{document}$10^0,\mathrm{s}^{-1}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib32">Kleiman et al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib11">Chen et al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib42">Lyashenko et al., 2020</xref>). For EGFR, equilibrium dissociation constants range from <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf37"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft37">\begin{document}$\sim0.1,\mathrm{nM}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> for the high-affinity ligand Betacellulin to <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf38"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn>25</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft38">\begin{document}$\sim25,\mathrm{nM}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> for the low-affinity ligand AREG (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib27">Hu et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib45">Macdonald-Obermann and Pike, 2014</xref>). Based on these values, we set the following ranges for dimensionless parameters: <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf39"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft39">\begin{document}$\beta= k_{\rm int}^*/k_{\rm int} \in[1, 100]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf40"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.01</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft40">\begin{document}$\rho= k_{\rm dp}/k_{\rm p} \in[0.01, 100]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf41"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>ω</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>1000</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft41">\begin{document}$\omega= k_{\rm dp}/k_{\rm int} \in[1, 1000]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf42"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>1000</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft42">\begin{document}$\delta= k_{\rm d}/k_{\rm int} \in[1, 1000]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. Finally, the number of phosphorylation sites with known functional roles typically ranges from 5 to 25 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib60">Schulze et al., 2005</xref>). These broad ranges comfortably encompass experimentally measured estimates. Unless otherwise specified, our default parameter values are <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf43"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>20</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft43">\begin{document}$\delta= 20$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf44"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>ω</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>200</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft44">\begin{document}$\omega= 200$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf45"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.01</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft45">\begin{document}$\rho= 0.01$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf46"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>50</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft46">\begin{document}$\beta= 50$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf47"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>10</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft47">\begin{document}$N = 10$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>.</p><p>Before examining how phosphorylation levels depend on model parameters, we illustrate the mechanism of kinetic sorting of receptor states, which tunes ligand specificity beyond pure thermodynamic preference, using a simple example. To that end, we consider a signaling network with <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf48"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>5</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft48">\begin{document}$N=5$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> phosphorylation sites interacting with three ligands of distinct affinities—high, medium, and low. We assume the dissociation rates for these ligands are <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf49"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>20</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft49">\begin{document}$\delta_H = 20$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf50"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>200</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft50">\begin{document}$\delta_M = 200$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf51"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1000</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft51">\begin{document}$\delta_L = 1000$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, respectively. In order to compare our model with the aforementioned paradoxical experimental observations which have been performed at saturating ligand concentration, we take the limit <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf52"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">→</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">∞</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft52">\begin{document}$u\rightarrow\infty$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>.</p><p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4</xref> shows that low-affinity ligands (<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf53"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1000</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft53">\begin{document}$\delta_L = 1000$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>) predominantly sort receptors toward the inactive state <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf54"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐵</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft54">\begin{document}$B$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> and early phosphorylation states <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf55"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft55">\begin{document}$P_n, n\sim1$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> as frequent ligand unbinding prevents progression to later phosphorylation states. This behavior resembles the traditional KPR mechanism described by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib50">McKeithan, 1995</xref>. In contrast, receptors bound to high-affinity ligands are sorted toward later phosphorylation states, which mark them for enhanced degradation. Here, similar to traditional KPR, the fraction of receptors reaching the final phosphorylation state is highest for high-affinity ligands. Yet, the overall receptor pool is reduced due to ligand-induced degradation, lowering net phosphorylation activity. Strikingly, receptors bound to intermediate-affinity ligands (<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf56"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>M</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>200</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft56">\begin{document}$\delta_M = 200$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>) are sorted toward intermediate phosphorylation states, resulting in maximal phosphorylation output. Below, we show how kinetic parameters govern the ability of the network to overcome thermodynamic preference and acquire ligand specificity.</p><fig id="fig4" position="float"><label>Figure 4.</label><caption><title>Kinetic sorting of receptor species.</title><p>Abundances of network species <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf57"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐵</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft57">\begin{document}$B$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> (ligand bound inactive receptor) and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf58"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>5</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft58">\begin{document}$P_n, n \in[1, 5]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> for a signaling receptor with <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf59"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>5</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft59">\begin{document}$N=5$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> phosphorylation sites. Abundances are shown for ligands of three different affinities. The inset shows the activity of the first phosphorylation site <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf60"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐴</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft60">\begin{document}$A_1$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. Species abundances below <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf61"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft61">\begin{document}$10^{-3}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> are not shown.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-107524-fig4-v1.tif"/></fig></sec><sec id="s2-3-2"><title>Early phosphorylation sites show ligand specificity</title><p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5a</xref> illustrates how total phosphorylation activity at each site, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf62"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft62">\begin{document}$A_n, n \in[1, N]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> varies with ligand dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf63"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft63">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. We note that the activity of the <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf64"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑛</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">𝑡ℎ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft64">\begin{document}$n^{\rmth}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> site is given by the total concentration of all species that have the <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf65"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑛</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">𝑡ℎ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft65">\begin{document}$n^{\rmth}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> site phosphorylated; <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf66"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft66">\begin{document}$A_n = \sum_{i=n}^N P_n$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. We find that early phosphorylation sites (<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf67"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft67">\begin{document}$n\sim1$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>) exhibit maximal activity at intermediate values of <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf68"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft68">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> while both high- and low-affinity ligands suppress net receptor phosphorylation. Our model predicts that this ligand specificity diminishes for later sites, where outputs increasingly resemble traditional KPR, which favors high-affinity ligands.</p><fig id="fig5" position="float"><label>Figure 5.</label><caption><title>Kinetic sorting model predicts ligand specificity.</title><p>(<bold>a</bold>) The activity <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf69"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft69">\begin{document}$A_n$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> of the <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf70"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑛</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">𝑡ℎ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft70">\begin{document}$n^{\rmth}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> phosphorylation site as a function of dimensionless dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf71"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft71">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. The activity is normalized to the maximum activity. The maximum <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf72"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐴</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑛</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft72">\begin{document}$A_n$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> as a function of <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf73"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑛</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft73">\begin{document}$n$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> is shown in the inset. (<bold>b</bold>) Activity of the first phosphorylation site <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf74"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft74">\begin{document}$A_1$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> plotted as a function of the dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf75"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft75">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> for different values of the phosphorylation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf76"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>ω</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft76">\begin{document}$\omega$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. (<bold>c, d</bold>) Activity of the first phosphorylation site <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf77"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft77">\begin{document}$A_1$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> plotted as a function of phosphorylation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf78"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝜔</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft78">\begin{document}$\omega$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> (dephosphorylation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf79"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft79">\begin{document}$\rho$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> in panel <bold>d</bold>) for different values of the dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf80"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft80">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula><italic>.</italic></p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-107524-fig5-v1.tif"/></fig><p>To examine how model parameters shape ligand specificity, we focused on the activity at the first phosphorylation site, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf81"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐴</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft81">\begin{document}$A_1$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, which exhibits the strongest discriminatory behavior (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5a</xref>). As shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5b</xref>, achieving ligand specificity at high dissociation rates <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf82"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft82">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> requires sufficiently high phosphorylation rates <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf83"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝜔</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft83">\begin{document}$\omega$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. Notably, our model captures a puzzling observation from EGFR signaling: the high-affinity ligand EGF produces lower/comparable steady-state phosphorylation compared to lower-affinity ligands such as Epigen and Epiregulin (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib18">Freed et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib55">Myers et al., 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib47">Madsen et al., 2025</xref>). Experimental estimates place the basal EGFR internalization rate at <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf84"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn>1.3</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft84">\begin{document}$k_{\rm int} \approx1.3 \times10^{-3},\mathrm{s}^{-1}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib11">Chen et al., 2009</xref>), the EGF dissociation rate at <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf85"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft85">\begin{document}$k_{\rm d} \approx3 \times10^{-2},\mathrm{s}^{-1}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib11">Chen et al., 2009</xref>), and the phosphorylation rate at <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf86"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft86">\begin{document}$k_{\rm p} \approx10^{-1} - 10^{0},\mathrm{s}^{-1}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, yielding <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf87"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">F</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>20</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft87">\begin{document}$\delta_{\rm EGF} \approx10-20$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf88"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>ω</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">F</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">R</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1000</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft88">\begin{document}$\omega_{\rm EGFR} \approx100-1000$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. Low-affinity ligands such as Epigen (EPGN) and Epiregulin (EREG) have equilibrium dissociation constants about 10-fold higher than EGF (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib27">Hu et al., 2022</xref>), corresponding to <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf89"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">P</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>200</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft89">\begin{document}$\delta_{\rm EPGN} \approx\delta_{\rm EREG} \approx100-200$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. The effective degradation rate of fully activated receptors is estimated to be 10–50 times higher than that of inactive receptors (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib42">Lyashenko et al., 2020</xref>), implying <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf90"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>50</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft90">\begin{document}$\beta= 50$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. Under these conditions, our model predicts a switch in phosphorylation levels: as <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf91"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft91">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> increases from <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf92"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">F</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft92">\begin{document}$\delta_{\rm EGF}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> to <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf93"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">P</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft93">\begin{document}$\delta_{\rm EPGN}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, receptor phosphorylation increases—reversing the expectation based purely on thermodynamic affinity. This effect arises because EGF-bound receptors are efficiently sorted toward degradation-prone states compared to those bound to lower-affinity ligands.</p><p>Our model also explains another paradox in EGFR signaling. Experimental studies have shown that EGF-stimulated receptors exhibit higher steady-state phosphorylation when kinase activity is partially inhibited (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib31">Kiyatkin et al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib32">Kleiman et al., 2011</xref>). As shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5c</xref>, at low <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf94"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft94">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> values (e.g., <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf95"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi><mml:mo class="MathClass-rel" stretchy="false">=</mml:mo><mml:mn>16</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft95">\begin{document}$\delta= 16$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>), decreasing the phosphorylation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf96"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝜔</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft96">\begin{document}$\omega$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> from levels typical of EGFR (<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf97"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>ω</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">F</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">R</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1000</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft97">\begin{document}$\omega_{\rm EGFR} \approx100-1000$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>) paradoxically increases overall receptor phosphorylation. A similar effect is observed when receptor dephosphorylation is enhanced (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5d</xref>). Importantly, our model makes a testable prediction: the reversal of thermodynamic preference observed between EGF and EPGN/EREG will disappear when kinase activity is mildly suppressed (see, e.g., the curves for <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf98"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>ω</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>256</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft98">\begin{document}$\omega= 256$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf99"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>ω</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>16</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft99">\begin{document}$\omega= 16$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> over <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf100"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft100">\begin{document}$\delta\in[10, 100]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>), such as by treatment with low doses of the kinase inhibitor gefitinib (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib23">Herbst et al., 2004</xref>). This non-monotonic trend may help prevent cells with abnormally high kinase activity from becoming constitutively active, thereby preserving their sensitivity to extracellular cues.</p></sec><sec id="s2-3-3"><title>Multi-site phosphorylation and ligand-induced degradation are both essential for ligand specificity</title><p>To assess the importance of sequential multi-site phosphorylation on ligand specificity, we analyzed <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf101"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐴</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑁</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft101">\begin{document}$A_1^N$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, the phosphorylation of the first site for signaling networks with <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf102"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑁</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft102">\begin{document}$N$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> phosphorylation sites. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6a</xref> shows that multi-site phosphorylation is essential to endow signaling networks with ligand specificity and ligand-induced receptor degradation alone is not sufficient. This is because the non-monotonic preference for intermediate affinity ligands arises only when the receptors can be sorted among multiple phosphorylation sites: earlier ones for low-affinity ligands and later ones for high-affinity ligands.</p><fig id="fig6" position="float"><label>Figure 6.</label><caption><title>Multiple phosphorylation sites and receptor degradation dictate ligand specificity.</title><p>(<bold>a</bold>) Activity of the first phosphorylation site, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf103"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐴</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft103">\begin{document}$A_1$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, as a function of the dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf104"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft104">\begin{document}$\delta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> for signaling networks with different number of phosphorylation sites. (<bold>b</bold>) The optimal dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf105"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">𝑜𝑝𝑡</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft105">\begin{document}$\delta_{\rmopt}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> that leads to maximum phosphorylation activity as a function of dimensionless degradation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf106"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛽</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft106">\begin{document}$\beta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> for different values of <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf107"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝜔</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft107">\begin{document}$\omega$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf108"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">𝑜𝑝𝑡</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft108">\begin{document}$\delta_{\rmopt}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> is shown only if <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf109"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>1000</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft109">\begin{document}$\delta_{\rm opt} \in[1, 1000]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. (<bold>c</bold>) The relative activity of a ligand with dissociation rate that differs by <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf110"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">B</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft110">\begin{document}$k_{\rm B}T$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> compared to <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf111"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛿</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">𝑜𝑝𝑡</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft111">\begin{document}$\delta_{\rmopt}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> plotted as a function of <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf112"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛽</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft112">\begin{document}$\beta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> for different values of <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf113"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝜔</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft113">\begin{document}$\omega$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> (see inset). Of the two ligands that differ in stability by <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf114"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">B</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft114">\begin{document}$k_{\rm B}T$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, the ligand exhibiting maximum activity is considered.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-107524-fig6-v1.tif"/></fig><p>To assess how receptor degradation shapes ligand specificity for a multi-site phosphorylation network, we examined how altering receptor turnover influences model behavior. As shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6b</xref>, the optimal dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf115"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft115">\begin{document}$\delta_{\rm opt}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, which maximizes receptor phosphorylation levels, increases with ligand-induced degradation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf116"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛽</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft116">\begin{document}$\beta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. Crucially, this optimal <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf117"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>δ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft117">\begin{document}$\delta_{\rm opt}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> emerges only when receptor degradation is strong (<inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf118"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mo>≫</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft118">\begin{document}$\beta\gg1$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>). These predictions can be tested by blocking receptor degradation, for example, via mutation of ubiquitination sites (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib20">Gerritsen et al., 2023</xref>).</p><p>To quantify ligand specificity, we computed receptor phosphorylation in response to ligands differing by at least one <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf119"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">B</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft119">\begin{document}$k_{\rm B}T$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> in binding free energy from the optimal ligand. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6c</xref> shows that as <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf120"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛽</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft120">\begin{document}$\beta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> increases, phosphorylation downstream of suboptimal ligands (red line in inset) declines relative to the optimal ligand. This enhanced specificity is further amplified by increasing kinase activity <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf121"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝜔</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft121">\begin{document}$\omega$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>.</p><p>These results show that both multi-site phosphorylation and ligand-induced degradation are key features controlling ligand specificity in our kinetic sorting mechanism.</p></sec></sec></sec><sec id="s3" sec-type="discussion"><title>Discussion</title><p>Cells face the formidable task of decoding multiple chemically distinct extracellular signals to generate appropriate, context-specific responses. This challenge is especially acute for cell surface receptors like RTKs, GPCRs, and interleukin receptors, which bind multiple cognate ligands and yet elicit distinct downstream outcomes. While equilibrium affinity provides a baseline expectation for ligand specificity, it cannot fully explain the rich and often counterintuitive behaviors observed in many signaling systems.</p><p>Here, we show that a non-equilibrium mechanism of kinetic sorting which operates through multi-site phosphorylation and active receptor degradation can explain how signaling networks achieve ligand specificity beyond equilibrium limits. In kinetic sorting, high-affinity ligand–receptor complexes are sorted toward degradation-prone states, low-affinity complexes are sorted toward inactivated states, and intermediate-affinity ligands strike the optimal balance between progression and degradation to maximize signaling. This framework explains paradoxical features observed in RTK systems, including the non-monotonic dependence of phosphorylation on ligand affinity and kinase activity. Importantly, our model predicts that early phosphorylation sites show the strongest ligand discrimination, consistent with recent experimental observations. It also makes the testable prediction that impairing receptor degradation should reduce specificity by eliminating the kinetic sorting effect. Given the ubiquity of the essential motifs of our mechanism, that is, multi-site phosphorylation and receptor degradation, we believe that kinetic sorting may be a common mechanism to modulate ligand specificity at the receptor level, potentially in addition to other mechanisms that endow signaling networks with ligand specificity, both at the receptor level (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Lever et al., 2014</xref>) as well as in downstream signaling pathways (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib63">Singh and Nemenman, 2017</xref>).</p><p>In contrast to what has been shown previously for KPR models (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib14">Coombs et al., 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Lever et al., 2014</xref>), the kinetic sorting model also captures the non-monotonic relationship between signaling output and kinase/phosphatase activity observed in RTK systems such as EGFR (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib32">Kleiman et al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib31">Kiyatkin et al., 2020</xref>). In these systems, partial inhibition of kinase activity paradoxically increases steady-state receptor phosphorylation, a behavior not accounted for by equilibrium models (see ‘Materials and methods’) or by prior non-equilibrium schemes such as the limited signaling model (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Lever et al., 2014</xref>). This type of protective filtering can ensure that downstream signaling remains contingent on extracellular cues and is not constitutively active, thereby preventing persistent, cue-independent activation. Such regulation could help maintain control in pathways such as those governing growth, where deregulated activity can have severe consequences. The potential benefit of this regulatory pattern suggests it could be advantageous in other signaling contexts. Consistent with this idea, non-monotonic regulation by kinase or phosphatase activity is found in other systems through distinct mechanisms (e.g., the non-monotonic effects of the phosphatase CD45 in T-cell receptor signaling, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib15">Courtney et al., 2019</xref>). This indicates that selective filtering based on enzymatic activity is a strategy employed in diverse biological settings. While direct evidence for the kinetic sorting mechanism remains limited to RTKs, similar filtering behavior emerges in theoretical analyses of phosphorylation–dephosphorylation cycles in more general settings (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib49">Martins and Swain, 2013</xref>), suggesting it may represent a broader principle of enzymatic signaling networks.</p><p>Our findings complement prior studies on mechanisms of ligand specificity that operate at thermal equilibrium, such as those described in the Bone Morphogenetic Protein (BMP) pathway (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1">Antebi et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib65">Su et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib57">Parres-Gold et al., 2025</xref>). BMP signaling relies on promiscuous ligand–receptor interactions, with specificity emerging from differences in receptor abundance, binding affinity, and complex activity. In contrast, our work shows that non-equilibrium mechanisms—such as phosphorylation cycles and ligand-induced receptor degradation—can achieve ligand discrimination even for a single receptor type. Given that ligand–receptor promiscuity, multi-site phosphorylation, and receptor turnover are common features across signaling systems (e.g., in the EGFR/ErbB family; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib40">Linggi and Carpenter, 2006</xref>), it is likely that biological networks integrate both equilibrium and non-equilibrium strategies to achieve robust and tunable ligand specificity.</p><p>In recent years, there has been growing interest in engineering synthetic physical and chemical circuits capable of carrying out complex computational tasks, including input discrimination, classification, prediction, and the generation of multiple stable cell states (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib61">Shakiba et al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib43">Ma et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib5">Benzinger et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib69">Zhu et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib17">Floyd et al., 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib57">Parres-Gold et al., 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib2">Aoki et al., 2019</xref>). Some of these synthetic strategies rely on equilibrium thermodynamics (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib57">Parres-Gold et al., 2025</xref>), while others exploit non-equilibrium steady states (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib17">Floyd et al., 2024</xref>). We propose that non-equilibrium kinetic sorting, which harnesses receptor synthesis and degradation, could provide synthetic biologists with a powerful framework for achieving precise control over molecular abundances and dynamic system behavior.</p><p>Finally, we address a major concern in non-equilibrium signaling circuits: the energetic cost of operation. Previous theoretical work has shown that free energy dissipation places fundamental constraints on the performance of signaling networks (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib6">Bryant and Machta, 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib21">Govern and ten Wolde, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib35">Lan et al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib51">Mehta and Schwab, 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib58">Qian and Reluga, 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib8">Cao et al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib3">Azeloglu and Iyengar, 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib17">Floyd et al., 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib48">Mahdavi et al., 2024</xref>). These studies typically focus on futile cycles of reversible modifications such as phosphorylation or methylation. In contrast, ligand-induced receptor degradation—a central feature of many signaling networks—is a far more energy-intensive process. For example, MCF10A cells maintain approximately 10<sup>5</sup> EGFR molecules on the surface (each 1,210 amino acids in length) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib62">Shi et al., 2016</xref>), with a synthesis rate of about 15 receptors per second (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib42">Lyashenko et al., 2020</xref>), corresponding to an energetic cost of roughly ~8 × 10<sup>4</sup> ATP/s (assuming 4.5 ATP per peptide bond; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib52">Milo et al., 2010</xref>). By comparison, EGFR dephosphorylation occurs over ~15 s (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib32">Kleiman et al., 2011</xref>), and only 5–10% of receptors are phosphorylated at steady state (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib62">Shi et al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib16">Feng et al., 2023</xref>), resulting in a much lower energetic cost of ~6 × 10<sup>2</sup>ATP/s for dephosphorylation. Thus, the energetic burden of receptor turnover can exceed that of reversible modification cycles by up to two orders of magnitude. These estimates suggest that, at least in eukaryotic cells where signaling proteins may turnover multiple times within cellular lifetime (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib52">Milo et al., 2010</xref>), non-equilibrium modification cycles are unlikely to pose a fundamental energetic limitation on the functionality of signaling networks. Here, the energetic demands of signaling networks must account for protein turnover in addition to non-equilibrium modification cycles.</p></sec><sec id="s4" sec-type="materials|methods"><title>Materials and methods</title><sec id="s4-1"><title>Equations for proofreading models</title><p>The equations describing species abundances in the traditional KPR model similar to that of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib50">McKeithan, 1995</xref> are as follows:<disp-formula id="equ2"><label>(2)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m2"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t2">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle  \frac{dR}{dt}=-k_{on} L R + k_d B + k_d \sum_{i=1}^N P_i$$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ3"><label>(3)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m3"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>on</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t3">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle \frac{dB}{dt}= +k_{\text{on}} L R - k_{\text{d}} B - k_{\text{p}} B$$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ4"><label>(4)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m4"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t4">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle \frac{dP_1}{dt} = k_{\text{p}} B - k_{\text{p}} P_1 - k_{\text{d}} P_1$$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ5"><label>(5)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m5"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">∀</mml:mi><mml:mtext> </mml:mtext><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t5">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle \frac{dP_i}{dt} = k_{\text{p}} P_{i-1} - k_{\text{p}} P_i - k_{\text{d}} P_i \quad \forall~i \in [2, N-1] $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ6"><label>(6)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m6"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t6">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle  \frac{dP_N}{dt} = k_{\text{p}} P_{N-1}-k_{\text{d}} P_N $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula></p><p>For the limited signaling model, the dynamics of <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf122"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝐵</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft122">\begin{document}$B$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf123"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑃</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑖</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo class="MathClass-punc" stretchy="false">,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">𝑖∈</mml:mi><mml:mo class="MathClass-open" stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo class="MathClass-punc" stretchy="false">,</mml:mo><mml:mi>𝑁</mml:mi><mml:mo class="MathClass-bin" stretchy="false">−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo class="MathClass-close" stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft123">\begin{document}$P_i, i \in[1, N-1]$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> are identical to the traditional KPR model. The dynamics of <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf124"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑅</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft124">\begin{document}$R$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf125"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑃</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑁</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft125">\begin{document}$P_N$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> are modified as follows:<disp-formula id="equ7"><label>(7)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m7"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>on</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t7">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle  \frac{dR}{dt} = -k_{\text{on}} L R + k_{\text{d}} B + k_{\text{d}} \sum_{i=1}^N P_i + k_{\text{d}}I $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ8"><label>(8)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m8"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t8">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle \frac{dP_N}{dt} = k_p P_{N-1} - k_d P_N - k_{in} P_N $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ9"><label>(9)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m9"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t9">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle \frac{dI}{dt} = k_{in} P_N - k_{d}P_I$$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula></p></sec><sec id="s4-2"><title>Equations for the model with receptor degradation</title><p>Signaling receptors participate in a variety of complex regulatory processes, including non-linear ligand binding dynamics (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib39">Limbird et al., 1975</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib44">Macdonald and Pike, 2008</xref>), receptor oligomerization (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib53">Mudumbi et al., 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib28">Huang et al., 2016</xref>), context-specific interactions with adapter proteins (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib46">Madsen and Vanhaesebroeck, 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib16">Feng et al., 2023</xref>), and trafficking between cellular compartments leading to degradation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib64">Sorkin and Goh, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib68">Wiley, 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib30">Irannejad and von Zastrow, 2014</xref>).</p><p>While computational models that incorporate these mechanistic details are powerful tools for hypothesis generation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib12">Chen et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib59">Qiao et al., 2025</xref>), they often require large-scale datasets for accurate parameterization (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib16">Feng et al., 2023</xref>). As an alternative, simplified models that intentionally omit certain mechanistic details can still yield deep qualitative insights, even if they cannot quantitatively reproduce experimental data.</p><p>In this study, we present such a simplified model aimed at explaining two paradoxical features of RTK signaling: (1) the non-monotonic relationship between ligand-receptor affinity and steady-state receptor phosphorylation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib18">Freed et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib47">Madsen et al., 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib55">Myers et al., 2023</xref>), and (2) the counterintuitive increase in receptor phosphorylation following mild kinase inhibition (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib32">Kleiman et al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib31">Kiyatkin et al., 2020</xref>).</p><p>To keep the model simple and tractable, we neglect receptor recycling and oligomerization. Previously, we showed that the combined effects of endocytosis, recycling, and degradation can be captured by a single effective dimensionless parameter, <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf126"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝛽</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft126">\begin{document}$\beta$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> in this study, which reflects the degradation bias of fully phosphorylated receptors compared to partially phosphorylated receptors (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib42">Lyashenko et al., 2020</xref>). Similarly, receptor dimerization and negative cooperativity can be abstracted into a Hill coefficient <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf127"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝜂</mml:mi><mml:mo class="MathClass-rel" stretchy="false">&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft127">\begin{document}$\eta \lt 1$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib42">Lyashenko et al., 2020</xref>). For the phenomena explored here, including oligomerization would modify the shape of the response curves but not their qualitative behavior.</p><p>Under these assumptions, the governing equations for the model are given by<disp-formula id="equ10"><label>(10)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m10"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>delivery</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>on</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>int</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t10">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle  \frac{dR}{dt} = k_{\text{delivery}} - k_{\text{on}} L R + k_d B + k_d \sum_{i=1}^{N} P_i - k_{\text{int}} R $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ11"><label>(11)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m11"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>on</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>int</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t11">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle  \frac{dB}{dt} = k_{\text{on}} L R - k_{\text{d}} B - k_{\text{p}} B - k_{\text{int}} B $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ12"><label>(12)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m12"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>int</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t12">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle  \frac{dP_1}{dt} = k_{\text{p}} B - k_{\text{p}} P_1 - k_{\text{d}} P_1 - k_{\text{int}} P_1 $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ13"><label>(13)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m13"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>int</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">∀</mml:mi><mml:mtext> </mml:mtext><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t13">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle \frac{dP_i}{dt} = k_{\text{p}} P_{i-1} - k_{\text{p}} P_i - k_{\text{d}} P_i - k_{\text{int}} P_i, \quad \forall~i \in [2, N-1] $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ14"><label>(14)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m14"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>int</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t14">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle \frac{dP_N}{dt} = k_{\text{p}} P_{N-1} - k_{\text{d}} P_N - k_{\text{int}}^{*} P_N $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula></p><p>All equations are solved at steady state and in the limit <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf128"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">𝑢→∞</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft128">\begin{document}$u \rightarrow\infty$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. All codes required to generate the figures in the manuscript can be found at <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://github.com/BarriosJer0/KineticSorting">https://github.com/BarriosJer0/KineticSorting</ext-link> (copy archived at <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib4">Barrios, 2025</xref>).</p></sec><sec id="s4-3"><title>Equations for a model at thermal equilibrium</title><p>To confirm the role of non-equilibrium thermodynamics on ligand specificity, we consider the closest equivalent equilibrium model. The strongest requirement of an equilibrium model is that all reactions must be bidirectional. Another requirement is that microscopic reversibility or detailed balance. Specifically, ratios of rate constants around loops must equal to unity for all loops. The first requirement implies that unidirectional reactions: synthesis and degradation of receptors and the irreversible loss of activity due to ligand dissociation cannot exist in a reaction network that operates at equilibrium. The simplest equilibrium model closest to the kinetic sorting scheme is governed by the following equations:<disp-formula id="equ15"><label>(15)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m15"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>on</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t15">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle \frac{dR}{dt} = -k_{\text{on}} L R + k_{\text{d}} B $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ16"><label>(16)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m16"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>on</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>d</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>dp</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t16">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle  \frac{dB}{dt} = k_{\text{on}} L R - k_{\text{d}} B - k_{\text{p}} B + k_{\text{dp}} P_1 $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ17"><label>(17)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m17"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>dp</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>dp</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mspace width="1em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">∀</mml:mi><mml:mtext> </mml:mtext><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">[</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">]</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t17">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle  \frac{dP_i}{dt} = k_{\text{p}} P_{i-1} - k_{\text{dp}} P_i - k_{\text{p}} P_i + k_{\text{dp}} P_{i+1} \quad \forall~i \in [1, N-1] $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ18"><label>(18)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m18"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>p</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>dp</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t18">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle \frac{dP_N}{dt} = k_{\text{p}} P_{N-1} - k_{\text{dp}} P_N$$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula></p><p>In the above equations, we use the notation <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf129"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>≡</mml:mo><mml:mi>B</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft129">\begin{document}$P_0 \equiv B$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>.</p><p>We note that phosphorylation/dephosphorylation reactions are unidirectional non-equilibrium reactions carried out by different enzymes: phosphorylation hydrolyzes ATP to ADP and attaches a phosphate group to the receptor. In contrast, while dephosphorylation removes a phosphate group from the receptor, it does not recharge an ADP molecule back to ATP. Notably, however, this non-equilibrium nature of the phosphorylation/dephosphorylation cycle is not apparent in our coarse-grained kinetic scheme where ATP and ADP are not explicitly considered. We retain this part of the non-equilibrium model since a corresponding equilibrium model can be imagined where different sites on the receptor change conformation between an inactive and an active state and that these changes occur in a sequential manner.</p><p>Solving these equations at steady state and taking the limit <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf130"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">→</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">∞</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft130">\begin{document}$u = Lk_{\rm on}/k_{\rm d} \rightarrow \infty$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>, we have<disp-formula id="equ19"><label>(19)</label><alternatives><mml:math id="m19"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:msup><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msup><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="t19">\begin{document}$$\displaystyle  p_i = \frac{P_i}{R_T}=\frac{\rho^{N-i}}{\sum_{i=0}^{N} \rho^i} $$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></disp-formula></p><p>where <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf131"><mml:semantics><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑅</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝑇</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:semantics></mml:math><tex-math id="inft131">\begin{document}$R_T$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> is the total number of receptors and <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf132"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft132">\begin{document}$\rho= k_{\rm dp}/k_{\rm p}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula>. Note that as expected, this equilibrium model has no dependence on ligand dissociation rate <inline-formula><alternatives><mml:math id="inf133"><mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math><tex-math id="inft133">\begin{document}$k_{\rm d}$\end{document}</tex-math></alternatives></inline-formula> at saturation, further confirming that non-equilibrium reactions are needed to endow cells with ligand specificity.</p></sec></sec></body><back><sec sec-type="additional-information" id="s5"><title>Additional information</title><fn-group content-type="competing-interest"><title>Competing interests</title><fn fn-type="COI-statement" id="conf1"><p>No competing interests declared</p></fn></fn-group><fn-group content-type="author-contribution"><title>Author contributions</title><fn fn-type="con" id="con1"><p>Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review and editing</p></fn><fn fn-type="con" id="con2"><p>Software, Formal analysis, Visualization, Methodology</p></fn><fn fn-type="con" id="con3"><p>Conceptualization, Resources, Investigation, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review and editing</p></fn><fn fn-type="con" id="con4"><p>Conceptualization, Resources, Data curation, Software, Formal analysis, Supervision, Funding acquisition, Validation, Investigation, Visualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Project administration, Writing – review and editing</p></fn></fn-group></sec><sec sec-type="supplementary-material" id="s6"><title>Additional files</title><supplementary-material id="mdar"><label>MDAR checklist</label><media xlink:href="elife-107524-mdarchecklist1-v1.pdf" mimetype="application" mime-subtype="pdf"/></supplementary-material></sec><sec sec-type="data-availability" id="s7"><title>Data availability</title><p>All codes are available on GitHub at <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://github.com/BarriosJer0/KineticSorting">https://github.com/BarriosJer0/KineticSorting</ext-link> (copy archived at <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib4">Barrios, 2025</xref>).</p></sec><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="bib1"><element-citation publication-type="journal"><person-group person-group-type="author"><name><surname>Antebi</surname><given-names>YE</given-names></name><name><surname>Linton</surname><given-names>JM</given-names></name><name><surname>Klumpe</surname><given-names>H</given-names></name><name><surname>Bintu</surname><given-names>B</given-names></name><name><surname>Gong</surname><given-names>M</given-names></name><name><surname>Su</surname><given-names>C</given-names></name><name><surname>McCardell</surname><given-names>R</given-names></name><name><surname>Elowitz</surname><given-names>MB</given-names></name></person-group><year iso-8601-date="2017">2017</year><article-title>Combinatorial signal perception in 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person-group-type="author"><name><surname>Zhu</surname><given-names>R</given-names></name><name><surname>Del Rio-Salgado</surname><given-names>JM</given-names></name><name><surname>Garcia-Ojalvo</surname><given-names>J</given-names></name><name><surname>Elowitz</surname><given-names>MB</given-names></name></person-group><year iso-8601-date="2022">2022</year><article-title>Synthetic multistability in mammalian cells</article-title><source>Science</source><volume>375</volume><elocation-id>9765</elocation-id><pub-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1126/science.abg9765</pub-id><pub-id pub-id-type="pmid">35050677</pub-id></element-citation></ref></ref-list></back><sub-article article-type="editor-report" id="sa0"><front-stub><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7554/eLife.107524.3.sa0</article-id><title-group><article-title>eLife Assessment</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Murugan</surname><given-names>Arvind</given-names></name><role specific-use="editor">Reviewing Editor</role><aff><institution>University of Chicago</institution><country>United States</country></aff></contrib></contrib-group><kwd-group kwd-group-type="evidence-strength"><kwd>Compelling</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group kwd-group-type="claim-importance"><kwd>Valuable</kwd></kwd-group></front-stub><body><p>This study presents a <bold>valuable</bold> finding about how receptor–ligand binding pathways with multi-site phosphorylation can show non-monotonic responses to increasing ligand affinity and to kinase activity. The authors provide <bold>compelling</bold> evidence through a simple ordinary differential equation model of such signaling networks with the key new ingredient of ligand-induced receptor degradation. The work will be of interest to physicists and biologists working on signal transduction and biological information processing.</p></body></sub-article><sub-article article-type="referee-report" id="sa1"><front-stub><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7554/eLife.107524.3.sa1</article-id><title-group><article-title>Reviewer #1 (Public review):</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><anonymous/><role specific-use="referee">Reviewer</role></contrib></contrib-group></front-stub><body><p>Summary:</p><p>The authors study the steady-state solutions of ODE models for molecular signaling involving ligand binding coupled to multi-site phosphorylation at saturating ligand concentrations. Although the results are in principle general, the work highlights the receptor tyrosine kinases (RTK) as model systems. After presenting previous ODE model solutions, the authors present their own &quot;kinetic sorting&quot; model, which is distinguished by ligand-induced phosphorylation-dependent receptor degradation and the property that every phosphorylation state is signaling competent. The authors show that this model recovers the two types of non-monotonicity experimentally reported for RTKs: maximum activity for intermediate ligand affinity and maximum activity for intermediate kinase activity.</p><p>The main contribution of the work is in demonstrating that their model can capture both types of non-monotonicity, whereas previous models could at most capture non-monotonicity of ligand binding.</p><p>Strengths:</p><p>The question of how energy dissipating, and thus non-equilibrium, molecular systems can achieve steady-state solutions not accessible to equilibrium systems is of fundamental importance in biomolecular information processing and self-organization. Although the authors do not address the energy requirements of their non-equilibrium model, their comparative analysis of different alternative non-equilibrium models provides insight into the design choices necessary to achieve non-monotonic control, a property that is inaccessible at equilibrium.</p><p>The paper is succinctly written and easy to follow, and the authors achieve their aims by providing convincing numerical solutions demonstrating non-monotonicity over the range of parameter values encompassing the biologically relevant regime.</p><p>Weaknesses:</p><p>(1) A key motivating framework for this work is the argument that the ability to tune to recognize intermediate ligand affinities provides a control knob for signal selection that is available to non-equilibrium systems. As such, this seems like a compelling type of ligand selectivity, which is a question of broad interest. However, as the authors note in the results, the previously published &quot;limited signaling model&quot; already achieves such non-monotonicity to ligand binding affinity. The introduction and abstract do not clearly delineate the new contributions of the model.</p><p>The novel benefit of the model introduced by the authors is that it also achieves non-monotonic response to kinase activity. Because such non-monotonicity is observed for RTK, this would make the authors' model a better fit for capturing RTK behavior. However, the broad significance of achieving non-monotonicity to kinase activity is not motivated or supported by empirical evidence in the paper. As such, the conceptual significance of the modified model presented by the authors is not clear.</p><p>UPDATE: The authors have now clarified the significance of the model in elucidating how known motifs (multisite phosphorylation and active receptor degradation) could explain the behavior, including non-monotonicity. The authors have also provided compelling arguments for the biological significance of achieving non-monotonic kinase activity response.</p><p>(2) Whereas previous models used in the literature are schematized in Figure 1, the model proposed by the author is missing (See line 97 of page 3). Without the schematic, the text description of the model is incomplete.</p><p>UPDATE: this issue has been resolved.</p><p>(3) The authors use the activity of the first phosphorylation site as the default measure of activity. This choice needs to be justified. Why not use the sum of the activities at all sites?</p><p>UPDATE: This was a non-issue. The potential misunderstanding has been mitigated by clarifications in the text.</p><p>Comments on revisions:</p><p>All issues previously identified were convincingly addressed. I have no additional suggestions.</p></body></sub-article><sub-article article-type="referee-report" id="sa2"><front-stub><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7554/eLife.107524.3.sa2</article-id><title-group><article-title>Reviewer #2 (Public review):</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><anonymous/><role specific-use="referee">Reviewer</role></contrib></contrib-group></front-stub><body><p>Summary:</p><p>In classical models of signaling network, the signaling activity increases monotonically with the ligand affinity. However, certain receptors prefer ligands of intermediate affinity. In the paper, the authors present a new minimal model to derive generic conditions for ligand specificity. In brief, this requires multi-site phosphorylation and that high-aﬃnity complexes be more prone to degrade. This particular type of kinetic discrimination allows to overcome equilibrium constraints.</p><p>Strengths:</p><p>The model is simple, and it adds only a few parameters to classical generic models. They moreover vary these additional parameters in ranges based on experimental observations. They explain how the introduction of these new parameters is essential to ligand specificity. Their model quantitatively reproduces the ligand specificity of a certain receptor. They finally provide testable prediction.</p><p>Weaknesses:</p><p>The naming of multiple variables as activity without precise definitions may be confusing to readers.</p><p>Comments on revisions:</p><p>I thank the authors for addressing my comments. One point remains regarding the naming of multiple variables as activity. Besides using other words, the authors may consider giving precise definitions of terms, e.g. by writing &quot;We define kinase activity as the phosphorylation rate $\omega=k_p\tau$.&quot; A connection that appears only at line 204 in the present manuscript.</p></body></sub-article><sub-article article-type="author-comment" id="sa3"><front-stub><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7554/eLife.107524.3.sa3</article-id><title-group><article-title>Author response</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Goetz</surname><given-names>Andrew</given-names></name><role specific-use="author">Author</role><aff><institution>Yale University</institution><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New Haven</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Barrios</surname><given-names>Jeremy</given-names></name><role specific-use="author">Author</role><aff><institution>Yale University</institution><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New Haven</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Madsen</surname><given-names>Ralitsa Radostinova</given-names></name><role specific-use="author">Author</role><aff><institution>University of Dundee</institution><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">Dundee</named-content></addr-line><country>United Kingdom</country></aff></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Dixit</surname><given-names>Purushottam D</given-names></name><role specific-use="author">Author</role><aff><institution>Yale University</institution><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New Haven</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib></contrib-group></front-stub><body><p>The following is the authors’ response to the original reviews.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p><bold>Reviewer #1 (Public review):</bold></p><p>Summary:</p><p>The authors study the steady-state solutions of ODE models for molecular signaling involving ligand binding coupled to multi-site phosphorylation at saturating ligand concentrations. Although the results are in principle general, the work highlights the receptor tyrosine kinases (RTK) as model systems. After presenting previous ODE model solutions, the authors present their own &quot;kinetic sorting&quot; model, which is distinguished by ligand-induced phosphorylationdependent receptor degradation and the property that every phosphorylation state is signaling competent. The authors show that this model recovers the two types of non-monotonicity experimentally reported for RTKs: maximum activity for intermediate ligand affinity and maximum activity for intermediate kinase activity.</p><p>The main contribution of the work is in demonstrating that their model can capture both types of non-monotonicity, whereas previous models could at most capture non-monotonicity of ligand binding.</p><p>Strengths:</p><p>The question of how energy-dissipating, and thus non-equilibrium, molecular systems can achieve steady-state solutions not accessible to equilibrium systems is of fundamental importance in biomolecular information processing and self-organization. Although the authors do not address the energy requirements of their non-equilibrium model, their comparative analysis of different alternative non-equilibrium models provides insight into the design choices necessary to achieve non-monotonic control, a property that is inaccessible at equilibrium.</p><p>The paper is succinctly written and easy to follow, and the authors achieve their aims by providing convincing numerical solutions demonstrating non-monotonicity over the range of parameter values encompassing the biologically relevant regime.</p><p>Weaknesses:</p><p>(1) A key motivating framework for this work is the argument that the ability to tune to recognize intermediate ligand affinities provides a control knob for signal selection that is available to nonequilibrium systems. As such, this seems like a compelling type of ligand selectivity, which is a question of broad interest. However, as the authors note in the results, the previously published &quot;limited signaling model&quot; already achieves such non-monotonicity in ligand binding affinity. The introduction and abstract do not clearly delineate the new contributions of the model.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for this comment. We apologize for any unclear language on our part. The purpose of our work was not to identify the unique reaction scheme to obtain nonmonotonic dependence of network activity on ligand affinity and kinase activity. Rather, we were interested in exploring how such a dependence could arise from the interplay between two ubiquitous network motifs (multisite phosphorylation and active receptor degradation). Notably, as the reviewer later points out, previous models that incorporate only multisite phosphorylation only capture the non-monotonic dependence of network activity on ligand affinity and not kinase/phosphatase activity. We have now clarified this in the abstract (lines 14-16) and the introduction (lines 55-59).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>The novel benefit of the model introduced by the authors is that it also achieves a nonmonotonic response to kinase activity. Because such non-monotonicity is observed for RTK, this would make the authors' model a better fit for capturing RTK behavior. However, the broad significance of achieving non-monotonicity to kinase activity is not motivated or supported by empirical evidence in the paper. As such, the conceptual significance of the modified model presented by the authors is not clear.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for this comment. We agree that the ability of our model to reproduce non-monotonic dependence on kinase/phosphatase activity was not sufficiently motivated in the original submission. We have now added a brief mention of the biological motivation for nonmonotonic kinase activity in the discussion (lines 229-247) to describe the potential biological significance of this behavior. In particular, non-monotonic kinase/phosphatase dependence may act as a safeguard, filtering out signaling cells with abnormally elevated kinase activity or suppressed phosphatase activity. In the presence of non-monotonic dependence on network activity, downstream signaling would remain contingent on extracellular cues, and cells with extreme kinase/phosphatase imbalances would fail to signal. This could prevent persistent, cueindependent activation, an especially important protective mechanism in pathways regulating metabolically taxing functions such as growth, proliferation, or mounting immune responses. Although direct experimental evidence for the widespread use of this mechanism is currently scarce, our motivation is supported both by the presence of similar regulatory behaviors of phosphatases which arise through distinct mechanisms (such as CD45 in T-cell receptor signaling, (Weiss, 2019)), but highlight the potential biological use of this strategy and by theoretical work on phosphorylation-dephosphorylation cycles, which demonstrates a similar effect in more general settings (Swain, 2013).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(2) Whereas previous models used in the literature are schematized in Figure 1, the model proposed by the authors is missing (see line 97 of page 3). Without the schematic, the text description of the model is incomplete.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for identifying this oversight, it has been corrected. See Figure 3 in the new text.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(3) The authors use the activity of the first phosphorylation site as the default measure of activity. This choice needs to be justified. Why not use the sum of the activities at all sites?</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for this comment. We in fact study all sites (Figure 5A in the resubmitted manuscript). Notably, as suggested by the reviewer, the concentration of the first site is indeed represented by the sum of concentrations of all phosphorylated species. The concentration of the 2<sup>nd</sup> site is represented by the sum of concentrations of all species except for the first one and so on (lines 153-155).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p><bold>Reviewer #2 (Public review):</bold></p><p>Summary:</p><p>In classical models of signaling networks, the signaling activity increases monotonically with the ligand affinity. However, certain receptors prefer ligands of intermediate affinity. In the paper, the authors present a new minimal model to derive generic conditions for ligand specificity. In brief, this requires multi-site phosphorylation and that high-anity complexes be more prone to degrade. This particular type of kinetic discrimination allows for overcoming equilibrium constraints.</p><p>Strengths:</p><p>The model is simple, and it adds only a few parameters to classical generic models. Moreover, the authors vary these additional parameters in ranges based on experimental observations. They explain how the introduction of these new parameters is essential to ligand specificity. Their model quantitatively reproduces the ligand specificity of a certain receptor. Finally, they provide a testable prediction.</p><p>Weaknesses:</p><p>The naming of certain variables may be confusing to readers.</p></disp-quote><p>We apologize for the confusion due to unclear presentation. We have clarified our definitions throughout the manuscript.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p><bold>Reviewer #1 (Recommendations for the authors):</bold></p><p>(1) The abstract and introduction present the problem as if this model is solving the fundamental problem of non-monotonic dependence on ligand affinity. However, as the authors noted in their results, this problem has already been solved by a previous phosphorylation model with N-state degradation. What the authors' new model achieves is the additional experimentally observed non-monotonicity of kinase activity dependence. The abstract and introduction should be changed to reflect the actual novel contributions and also to motivate the biological significance of non-montonic kinase activity dependence.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for this comment. We apologize for any unclear language on our part. The purpose of our work was not to identify the unique reaction scheme to obtain nonmonotonic dependence of network activity on ligand affinity and kinase activity. Rather, we were interested in exploring how such a dependence could arise from two ubiquitous network motifs (multisite phosphorylation and active receptor degradation). Notably, as the reviewer later points out, previous models that incorporate only multisite phosphorylation only capture the nonmonotonic dependence of network activity on ligand affinity and not kinase/phosphatase activity. We have now clarified this in the abstract (lines 14-16) and the introduction (lines 55-59). We have also provided biological motivation behind nonmonotonic kinase activity dependance (lines 229-247).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(2) It is important to show (in the supplemental materials if needed) that the closest equilibrium analog to the model (for example, reversible rate constants from each of the activated states to an inactive state) does not achieve non-monotonicity with ligand affinity.</p></disp-quote><p>We have added a model in the supplementary materials that represents a detailed balance Markov chain. In the model, we imagine that ligand bound receptors undergo a series of equilibrium transitions, all characterized by the same activation and inactivation rate. We show that at saturating ligand levels, the signaling output only depends on the ratio of the activation to the inactivation rate (i.e., the thermodynamic stability of the active site) (lines 466-488).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(3) Schematics for earlier models are described in Figure 1. However, no schematic for the actual model proposed by the authors is shown. This should be added as a subpanel to Figure 1.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for identifying our omission of our model schematic. We have included our model schematic as its own figure (Figure 3).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(4) Minor: Figure 1 is referred to as Figure?? In line 97 of page 3.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for identifying this error, it has been corrected.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p><bold>Reviewer #2 (Recommendations for the authors):</bold></p><p>(1) There is an inconsistency between Figure 2(a) and Equation (1), it suggests that p_N is \omega^N/(\omega+\delta)^N. This makes more sense with the model defined in the supplementary material.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for identifying this error. Equation (1) has been updated to reflect the correct relationship.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(2) The figure presenting the model of the authors appears to be missing.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for identifying this error, it has been corrected (Figure 3 in the new manuscript).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(3) The authors describe phosphorylation as irreversible in the intro, but then consider reversible phosphorylation in their model, which may be confusing to readers.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for identifying this source of possible confusion. We have clarified that dephosphorylation is taken to be a distinct irreversible reaction, see lines 105 - 112.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(4) The authors reuse similar names, e.g., network activity, kinase activity, signaling activity, activity. This is confusing.</p></disp-quote><p>We apologize for the confusion. We note that, within the context of our model, there are important distinctions between signaling activity (the amount of signaling competent receptors) and kinase activity (value corresponding to the phosphorylation rate). We have attempted to use these different terms correctly and are happy to make clarifying corrections if there are any places where a term is misused.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(5) Several parameters are defined only in the captions of the figures, such as \beta and \rho.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for identifying this omission, we have added the definitions of beta and rho to the main text (see line 129).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(6) The sentence at line 137 lacks some words: &quot;Below, we kinetic...&quot;.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for identifying this error, we have added the missing words (“Below, we show how kinetic…”).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(7) The sentence at line 183 lacks some words: &quot;When kinase activity...&quot;.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for identifying this error. We have now corrected it.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(8) Figure 5 is very small.</p></disp-quote><p>We will work with the production team to increase the size of this figure.</p></body></sub-article></article>