<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Archiving and Interchange DTD with MathML3 v1.3 20210610//EN"  "JATS-archivearticle1-3-mathml3.dtd"><article xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">elife</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">eLife</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>eLife</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="electronic" pub-type="epub">2050-084X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">90859</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7554/eLife.90859</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi" specific-use="version">10.7554/eLife.90859.3</article-id><article-version article-version-type="publication-state">version of record</article-version><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="display-channel"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Neuroscience</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Direct observation of the neural computations underlying a single decision</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes"><name><surname>Steinemann</surname><given-names>Natalie</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="equal-contrib1">†</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="con1"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="conf1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes"><name><surname>Stine</surname><given-names>Gabriel M</given-names></name><contrib-id authenticated="true" contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4906-0461</contrib-id><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="equal-contrib1">†</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="pa1">§</xref><xref ref-type="other" rid="fund6"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="con2"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="conf1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Trautmann</surname><given-names>Eric</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref><xref ref-type="other" rid="fund4"/><xref ref-type="other" rid="fund5"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="con3"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="conf1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes"><name><surname>Zylberberg</surname><given-names>Ariel</given-names></name><contrib-id authenticated="true" contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2572-4748</contrib-id><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="equal-contrib2">‡</xref><xref ref-type="other" rid="fund1"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="con4"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="conf1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes"><name><surname>Wolpert</surname><given-names>Daniel M</given-names></name><contrib-id authenticated="true" contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2011-2790</contrib-id><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">4</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="equal-contrib2">‡</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="con5"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="conf2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" equal-contrib="yes"><name><surname>Shadlen</surname><given-names>Michael N</given-names></name><contrib-id authenticated="true" contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2002-2210</contrib-id><email>shadlen@columbia.edu</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">2</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">3</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">4</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="equal-contrib2">‡</xref><xref ref-type="other" rid="fund1"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="con6"/><xref ref-type="fn" rid="conf1"/></contrib><aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/00hj8s172</institution-id><institution>Zuckerman Mind Brain and Behavior Institute, Columbia University</institution></institution-wrap><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New York</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff><aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/006w34k90</institution-id><institution>Howard Hughes Medical Institute</institution></institution-wrap><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">Chevy Chase</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff><aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/00hj8s172</institution-id><institution>Department of Neuroscience, Columbia University</institution></institution-wrap><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New York</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff><aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/00hj8s172</institution-id><institution>Kavli Institute, Columbia University</institution></institution-wrap><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New York</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib-group><contrib-group content-type="section"><contrib contrib-type="editor"><name><surname>Donner</surname><given-names>Tobias H</given-names></name><role>Reviewing Editor</role><aff><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/01zgy1s35</institution-id><institution>University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf</institution></institution-wrap><country>Germany</country></aff></contrib><contrib contrib-type="senior_editor"><name><surname>Frank</surname><given-names>Michael J</given-names></name><role>Senior Editor</role><aff><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="ror">https://ror.org/05gq02987</institution-id><institution>Brown University</institution></institution-wrap><country>United States</country></aff></contrib></contrib-group><author-notes><fn fn-type="con" id="equal-contrib1"><label>†</label><p>These authors contributed equally to this work</p></fn><fn fn-type="con" id="equal-contrib2"><label>‡</label><p>These authors also contributed equally to this work</p></fn><fn fn-type="present-address" id="pa1"><label>§</label><p>Department of Brain and Cognitive Science, MIT, Cambridge, United States</p></fn></author-notes><pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="publication"><day>18</day><month>10</month><year>2024</year></pub-date><volume>12</volume><elocation-id>RP90859</elocation-id><history><date date-type="sent-for-review" iso-8601-date="2023-07-28"><day>28</day><month>07</month><year>2023</year></date></history><pub-history><event><event-desc>This manuscript was published as a preprint.</event-desc><date date-type="preprint" iso-8601-date="2023-08-03"><day>03</day><month>08</month><year>2023</year></date><self-uri content-type="preprint" xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.05.02.490321"/></event><event><event-desc>This manuscript was published as a reviewed preprint.</event-desc><date date-type="reviewed-preprint" iso-8601-date="2023-10-12"><day>12</day><month>10</month><year>2023</year></date><self-uri content-type="reviewed-preprint" xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.90859.1"/></event><event><event-desc>The reviewed preprint was revised.</event-desc><date date-type="reviewed-preprint" iso-8601-date="2024-07-29"><day>29</day><month>07</month><year>2024</year></date><self-uri content-type="reviewed-preprint" xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.90859.2"/></event></pub-history><permissions><copyright-statement>© 2023, Steinemann, Stine et al</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year><copyright-holder>Steinemann, Stine et al</copyright-holder><ali:free_to_read/><license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><ali:license_ref>http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ali:license_ref><license-p>This article is distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution License</ext-link>, which permits unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri content-type="pdf" xlink:href="elife-90859-v1.pdf"/><self-uri content-type="figures-pdf" xlink:href="elife-90859-figures-v1.pdf"/><related-article related-article-type="commentary" ext-link-type="doi" xlink:href="10.7554/eLife.103059" id="ra1"/><abstract><p>Neurobiological investigations of perceptual decision-making have furnished the first glimpse of a flexible cognitive process at the level of single neurons. Neurons in the parietal and prefrontal cortex are thought to represent the accumulation of noisy evidence, acquired over time, leading to a decision. Neural recordings averaged over many decisions have provided support for the deterministic rise in activity to a termination bound. Critically, it is the unobserved stochastic component that is thought to confer variability in both choice and decision time. Here, we elucidate this drift-diffusion signal on individual decisions. We recorded simultaneously from hundreds of neurons in the lateral intraparietal cortex of monkeys while they made decisions about the direction of random dot motion. We show that a single scalar quantity, derived from the weighted sum of the population activity, represents a combination of deterministic drift and stochastic diffusion. Moreover, we provide direct support for the hypothesis that this drift-diffusion signal approximates the quantity responsible for the variability in choice and reaction times. The population-derived signals rely on a small subset of neurons with response fields that overlap the choice targets. These neurons represent the integral of noisy evidence. Another subset of direction-selective neurons with response fields that overlap the motion stimulus appear to represent the integrand. This parsimonious architecture would escape detection by state-space analyses, absent a clear hypothesis.</p></abstract><kwd-group kwd-group-type="author-keywords"><kwd>decision-making</kwd><kwd>reaction time</kwd><kwd>neuropixels</kwd><kwd>drift-diffusion</kwd><kwd>parietal cortex</kwd><kwd>population code</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group kwd-group-type="research-organism"><title>Research organism</title><kwd>Rhesus macaque</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><award-group id="fund1"><funding-source><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="FundRef">http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000011</institution-id><institution>Howard Hughes Medical Institute</institution></institution-wrap></funding-source><principal-award-recipient><name><surname>Zylberberg</surname><given-names>Ariel</given-names></name><name><surname>Shadlen</surname><given-names>Michael N</given-names></name></principal-award-recipient></award-group><award-group id="fund2"><funding-source><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="FundRef">http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000002</institution-id><institution>National Institutes of Health BRAIN Initiative</institution></institution-wrap></funding-source><award-id>R01NS113113</award-id><principal-award-recipient><name><surname>Steinemann</surname><given-names>Natalie</given-names></name><name><surname>Shadlen</surname><given-names>Michael N</given-names></name></principal-award-recipient></award-group><award-group id="fund3"><funding-source><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="FundRef">http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000053</institution-id><institution>National Eye Institute</institution></institution-wrap></funding-source><award-id>T32 EY013933</award-id><principal-award-recipient><name><surname>Stine</surname><given-names>Gabriel M</given-names></name></principal-award-recipient></award-group><award-group id="fund4"><funding-source><institution-wrap><institution>Grossman Center</institution></institution-wrap></funding-source><award-id>Zuckerman Institute</award-id><principal-award-recipient><name><surname>Trautmann</surname><given-names>Eric</given-names></name></principal-award-recipient></award-group><award-group id="fund5"><funding-source><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="FundRef">http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000874</institution-id><institution>Brain and Behavior Research Foundation</institution></institution-wrap></funding-source><principal-award-recipient><name><surname>Trautmann</surname><given-names>Eric</given-names></name></principal-award-recipient></award-group><award-group id="fund6"><funding-source><institution-wrap><institution-id institution-id-type="FundRef">http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000053</institution-id><institution>National Eye Institute</institution></institution-wrap></funding-source><award-id>F31 EY032791</award-id><principal-award-recipient><name><surname>Stine</surname><given-names>Gabriel M</given-names></name></principal-award-recipient></award-group><funding-statement>The funders had no role in study design, data collection and interpretation, or the decision to submit the work for publication.</funding-statement></funding-group><custom-meta-group><custom-meta specific-use="meta-only"><meta-name>Author impact statement</meta-name><meta-value>Simultaneous recording from many neurons in macaque lateral intraparietal area reveals the elusive drift-diffusion signal, long suspected to underlie individual perceptual decisions and response times.</meta-value></custom-meta><custom-meta specific-use="meta-only"><meta-name>publishing-route</meta-name><meta-value>prc</meta-value></custom-meta></custom-meta-group></article-meta></front><body><sec id="s1" sec-type="intro"><title>Introduction</title><p>Neural signals in the mammalian cortex are notoriously noisy. They manifest as a sequence of action potentials (spikes) that approximate non-stationary Poisson point processes. Therefore, to characterize the signal produced by a neuron, electrophysiologists typically combine the spike times from many repetitions or trials relative to the time of an event (e.g., stimulus onset) to yield the average firing rate of the neuron as a function of time. Such trial-averaged firing rates are the main staple of systems neuroscience (Here and throughout, trial average and across-trial average refer to the mean of signal values, over all specified trials at the same time, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf1"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, relative to a trial event (e.g., motion onset)). They are the source of knowledge about spatial selectivity (e.g., receptive fields), feature selectivity (e.g., direction of motion, faces vs. other objects), and even cognitive signals associated with working memory, anticipation, attention, motor planning, and decision-making. But there is an important limitation.</p><p>Trial averages suppress signals that vary independently across trials. In many cognitive tasks, such as difficult decisions, the variable component of the signal is the most interesting because it is this component that is thought to explain the variable choice and response time. This variability is thought to arise from a decision process that accumulates noisy evidence in favor of the alternatives and terminates when the accumulated evidence for one alternative, termed the decision variable (DV), reaches a terminating bound. The DV is stochastic because the integral of noisy samples of evidence is biased Brownian motion (or drift-diffusion) and this leads to a stochastic choice and response time on each decision. However, the stochastic part of this signal is suppressed by averaging across trials. We will use the term drift-diffusion because it is the expression most commonly applied in models of decision-making (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib48">Ratcliff and Rouder, 1998</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib23">Gold and Shadlen, 2007</xref>), and we will consider the noise part—that is, diffusion—as the signal of interest.</p><p>In the setting of difficult perceptual decisions, studied here, bounded drift-diffusion reconciles the relationship between decision speed and accuracy. It also explains the trial-averaged firing rates of neurons in the lateral intraparietal area (LIP) that represent the action used by monkeys to indicate their choice. These firing rate averages show motion-dependent, ramping activity that reflects the direction and strength of motion, consistent with the drift component of drift-diffusion (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib49">Roitman and Shadlen, 2002</xref>). Up to now, however, the diffusion component has not been observed, owing to averaging.</p><p>There is thus a missing link between the mathematical characterization of the decision process and its realization in neural circuits, leaving open the possibility that drift-diffusion dynamics do not underlie LIP activity (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib34">Latimer et al., 2015</xref>), or emerge only at the level of the population, without explicit representation by single neurons. We reasoned that these and other alternatives to drift-diffusion could be adjudicated if it were possible to resolve the DV giving rise to a single decision.</p><p>This stratagem is now feasible, owing to the development of high-density Neuropixels probes, which are capable of recording from deep sulci in the primate brain. Here we provide the first direct evidence for a drift-diffusion process underlying single decisions. We recorded simultaneously from up to 203 neurons in area LIP while monkeys made perceptual decisions about the direction of dynamic random dot motion (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib41">Newsome et al., 1989</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib23">Gold and Shadlen, 2007</xref>). Using a variety of dimensionality reduction techniques, we show that a drift-diffusion signal can be detected in such populations on individual trials. Moreover, this signal satisfies the criteria for a DV that controls the choice and reaction time (RT). Notably, the signal of interest is dominated by a small subpopulation of neurons with response fields that overlap one of the choice targets, consistent with earlier single-neuron studies (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib55">Shadlen and Newsome, 1996</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib49">Roitman and Shadlen, 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib7">Churchland et al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib23">Gold and Shadlen, 2007</xref>).</p></sec><sec id="s2" sec-type="results"><title>Results</title><p>Two monkeys made perceptual decisions, reported by an eye movement, about the net direction of dynamic random dot motion (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1a</xref>). We measured the speed and accuracy of these decisions as a function of motion strength (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1b</xref>, circles). The choice probabilities and the distribution of RTs are well described (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1b</xref>, traces) by a bounded drift-diffusion model (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1c</xref>). On 50% of the trials, a brief (100 ms) pulse of weak leftward or rightward motion was presented at a random time. The influence of these pulses on choice and RT further supports the assertion that the choices and RTs arose through a process of integration of noisy samples of evidence to a stopping bound (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1s1">Figure 1—figure supplement 1</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib62">Stine et al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib63">Stine et al., 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib28">Hyafil et al., 2023</xref>).</p><fig-group><fig id="fig1" position="float"><label>Figure 1.</label><caption><title>Perceptual decisions are explained by the accumulation of noisy evidence to a stopping bound.</title><p>(<bold>a</bold>) Random dot motion discrimination task. The monkey fixates a central point. After a delay, two peripheral targets appear, followed by the random dot motion. When ready, the monkey reports the net direction of motion by making an eye movement to the corresponding target. Yellow shading indicates the response fields of a subset of neurons in lateral intraparietal cortex (LIP) that we refer to as <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf2"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (<italic>target in response field</italic>). (<bold>b</bold>) Mean reaction times (top) and proportion of leftward choices (bottom) plotted as a function of motion strength and direction, indicated by the sign of the coherence: positive is leftward. Data (circles) are from all sessions from monkey M (black, 9684 trials) and monkey J (brown, 8142 trials). Solid lines are fits of a bounded drift-diffusion model. (<bold>c</bold>) Drift-diffusion model. The decision process is depicted as a race between two accumulators: one integrating momentary evidence for left; the other for right. The momentary samples of evidence are sequential samples from a pair negatively correlated Normal distributions with opposite means (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf3"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.71</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). The decision is terminated when one accumulator reaches its positive bound. The example depicts leftward motion leading to a leftward decision.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig1-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig1s1" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 1—figure supplement 1.</label><caption><title>Effect of motion pulses on behavior (adapted from Figure S1 of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib63">Stine et al., 2023</xref>).</title><p>(<bold>a</bold>) Choice (bottom) and mean reaction time (top) as a function of motion strength (combined data from the two monkeys; otherwise same conventions as <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1b</xref>). The two traces show trials in which a leftward (gray) and rightward (black) motion pulse occurred during motion viewing. The pulses (100 ms) had a biasing effect on reaction time (RT) and choice equivalent to shifting the functions left or right by ±1.4% coh (p&lt;0.001, likelihood ratio test). (<bold>b</bold>) Effect of motion pulses on choices as a function of time from the response. Pulses had a persistent effect on choices, consistent with temporal integration of motion evidence. Shading is ±1 s.e.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig1-figsupp1-v1.tif"/></fig></fig-group><p>In addition to the main task, the monkeys performed two control tasks: instructed, delayed saccades to peripheral targets and passive viewing of random dot motion (see ‘Methods’). These control tasks served to identify, post hoc, neurons with response fields that overlap the choice target in the hemifield contralateral to the recording site (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf4"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>), neurons with response fields that overlap the other choice target (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf5"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>ips</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>), and neurons with response fields that overlap the random-dot motion stimulus (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf6"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>; <xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>).</p><table-wrap id="table1" position="float"><label>Table 1.</label><caption><title>Information about individual experimental sessions.</title></caption><table frame="hsides" rules="groups"><thead><tr><th align="left" valign="bottom">Session</th><th align="center" valign="bottom">1</th><th align="center" valign="bottom">2</th><th align="center" valign="bottom">3</th><th align="center" valign="bottom">4</th><th align="center" valign="bottom">5</th><th align="center" valign="bottom">6</th><th align="center" valign="bottom">7</th><th align="center" valign="bottom">8</th><th align="center" valign="bottom">Mean</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">Monkey</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">M</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">M</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">M</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">M</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">M</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">J</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">J</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">J</td><td align="center" valign="bottom"/></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">Trials</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">1797</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">1696</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2256</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">1859</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2076</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2449</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2799</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2894</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2228</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">Neurons</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">191</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">90</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">54</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">140</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">107</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">138</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">161</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">203</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">135.5</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">%<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf7"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathsize="90%">T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula></td><td align="center" valign="bottom">8.9</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">14.4</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">16.7</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">15</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">17.8</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">8.7</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">21.1</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">13.3</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">14.5</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">%<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf8"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathsize="90%">T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>ips</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula></td><td align="center" valign="bottom">4.2</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">5.6</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">13</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">13.6</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">6.5</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">12.3</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">0.6</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2.0</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">7.2</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">%<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf9"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathsize="90%">M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>left</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula></td><td align="center" valign="bottom">5.2</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">5.6</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">0</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">5</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">3.7</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2.9</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">3.7</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">7.4</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">4.2</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">%<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf10"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathsize="90%">M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>right</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula></td><td align="center" valign="bottom">1.0</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2.2</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">3.7</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">1.4</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2.8</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">3.6</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2.5</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">3.0</td><td align="center" valign="bottom">2.5</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>We recorded simultaneously from populations of neurons in area LIP using newly developed macaque Neuropixels probes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib65">Trautmann et al., 2023</xref>) while monkeys performed these tasks. The data set comprises eight sessions from two monkeys (1696–2894 trials per session; <xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>). Our primary goal was to identify activity in LIP that relates to the DV, a theoretical quantity that determines the choice and RT on each trial. To achieve this, we formed weighted averages from all neurons in the sample population, including those with response fields that do not overlap a choice target or the motion stimulus. We used several strategies to assign this vector of weights, which we refer to as a <italic>coding direction</italic> in the neuronal state space (NSS). The projection of the spiking activity from the population of neurons onto the vector of weights gives rise to a scalar function of time, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf11"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, where the superscript <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf12"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> labels the strategy. We focus on such one-dimensional projections because of the long-standing hypothesis that the DV is drift-diffusion, which is a scalar function of time.</p><table-wrap id="table2" position="float"><label>Table 2.</label><caption><title>Model fit parameters.</title><p>κ: scaling of motion strength to drift rate; <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf13"><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>: bound height; <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf14"><mml:mi>α</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: linear urgency component; <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf15"><mml:msub><mml:mi>μ</mml:mi><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">nd</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>: mean of the non-decision time; <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf16"><mml:msub><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">nd</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>: standard deviation of the non-decision time; and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf17"><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>: bias.</p></caption><table frame="hsides" rules="groups"><thead><tr><th align="left" valign="bottom">Parameter</th><th align="left" valign="bottom"><inline-formula><mml:math id="inf18"><mml:mi mathsize="90%">κ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></th><th align="left" valign="bottom"><inline-formula><mml:math id="inf19"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="90%">B</mml:mi><mml:mn mathsize="90%">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></th><th align="left" valign="bottom"><inline-formula><mml:math id="inf20"><mml:mi mathsize="90%">α</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></th><th align="left" valign="bottom"><inline-formula><mml:math id="inf21"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="90%">μ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>nd</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></th><th align="left" valign="bottom"><inline-formula><mml:math id="inf22"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="90%">σ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>nd</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></th><th align="left" valign="bottom"><inline-formula><mml:math id="inf23"><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="90%">C</mml:mi><mml:mn mathsize="90%">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">Monkey M</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">13.37</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">1.03</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.4199</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.317</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.039</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">–0.0144</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">Monkey J</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">13.72</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">1.76</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">1.3591</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.291</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.055</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.0008</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><p>We first developed a targeted strategy that would reproduce the well-known coherence-dependent ramping activity evident in the across-trial averages. This strategy applies regression to best approximate a linear ramp, on each trial, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf24"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, that terminates with a saccade to the choice target contralateral to the hemisphere of the LIP recordings. The ramps are defined on the epoch spanning the decision time: from <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf25"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s after motion onset to <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf26"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s before saccade initiation (black lines in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2s1">Figure 2—figure supplement 1</xref>) The epoch is motivated by many previous studies (see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib23">Gold and Shadlen, 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib56">Shadlen and Kiani, 2013</xref>, for reviews). Each ramp begins at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf27"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and ends at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf28"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The ramp approximates the expectation—conditional on the choice and response time—of the deterministic components of the drift-diffusion signal, which, in addition to the drift, can incorporate (i) a time-dependent but evidence-independent urgency signal (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib6">Churchland et al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib11">Drugowitsch et al., 2012</xref>), and (ii) a dynamic bias signal (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib24">Hanks et al., 2011</xref>). It can also be viewed as an approximation to firing rates averaged across trials and grouped by contraversive choice and RT quantile (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2s2">Figure 2—figure supplement 2</xref>). Importantly, the fit is not guided by an assumption of an underlying diffusion process. That is, the ramp coding direction is agnostic to the underlying processes whose averages approximate ramps. The weights derived from these regression fits specify a <italic>ramp coding direction</italic> in the state space defined by the population of neurons in the session. The single-trial signal, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf29"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, is rendered as the projection of the population firing rates onto this coding direction.</p><p>The left side of <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2a</xref> shows single-trial activity rendered by this strategy. The right side of the figure shows the averages of the single-trial responses grouped by signed coherence and aligned to motion onset or response time (saccade initiation). These averaged traces exhibit features of the firing rate averages in previous studies of single neurons in LIP (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib49">Roitman and Shadlen, 2002</xref>). They begin to diverge as a function of the direction and strength of motion approximately 200 ms after the onset of motion. The traces converge near the time of saccadic response to the contralateral choice target such that the coherence dependence is absent or greatly diminished. Coherence dependence remains evident through the initiation of saccades to the right (ipsilateral) target, consistent with a race architecture—between negatively correlated accumulators—depicted in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1c</xref>.</p><fig-group><fig id="fig2" position="float"><label>Figure 2.</label><caption><title>Population responses from lateral intraparietal cortex (LIP) approximate drift-diffusion.</title><p>Rows show three types of population signals. The left columns show representative single-trial firing rates during the first 300 ms of evidence accumulation using two motion strengths: 0 and 25.6% coherence toward the left (contralateral) choice target. For visualization, single-trial traces were baseline corrected by subtracting the activity in a 50 ms window around 200 ms. We highlight several trials with thick traces (same trials in <bold>a–c</bold>). The right columns show the across-trial average responses for each coherence and direction. Motion strength and direction are indicated by color (legend) and aligned to motion onset (left) or saccade initiation (right). The gray bars under the motion-aligned averages indicate the 300 ms epoch used in the display of the single-trial responses (left panels). The epoch begins when LIP first registers a signal related to the strength and direction of motion. Except for saccade-aligned response, trials are cut off 100 ms before saccade initiation. Error trials are excluded from the saccade-aligned averages, only. (<bold>a</bold>) Ramp coding direction. The weight vector is established by regression to ramps from -1 to +1 over the period of putative integration, from 200 ms after motion onset to 100 ms before saccade initiation (see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2s1">Figure 2—figure supplement 1</xref>). Only trials ending in left (contralateral) choices are used in the regression. (<bold>b</bold>) First principal component (PC1) coding direction. (<bold>c</bold>) Average firing rates of the subset of neurons that represent the left (contralateral) target. The weight vector consists of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf30"><mml:mfrac><mml:mn mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi mathsize="111%">N</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:math></inline-formula> for each of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf31"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf32"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons and 0 for all other neurons. Note the similarity of both the single-trial traces and the response averages produced by the different weighting strategies.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig2-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig2s1" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 2—figure supplement 1.</label><caption><title>Derivation of a ramp coding direction in neuronal state space.</title><p>Weights are assigned to each of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf33"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> simultaneously recorded neurons in each session using simple least squares regression to approximate a ramp from -1 to +1 on the interval from 200 ms after motion onset to 100 ms before saccade initiation. Only trials ending in left (contraversive) choices are included. The graph shows the quality of the regression on six trials from Session 1. Projection of the population firing rates on the vector of weights renders the single-trial signal, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf34"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig2-figsupp1-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig2s2" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 2—figure supplement 2.</label><caption><title>Trial-averaged activity grouped by reaction time (RT) quantile.</title><p>Rows show the averages of single-trial responses of three signals. Choice and RT quantile are indicated by color (legend) and aligned to motion onset (left) and saccade initiation (right). (<bold>a</bold>) Ramp coding direction. (<bold>b</bold>) First principal component from principal component analysis (PCA). (<bold>c</bold>) Averages of the subset of neurons that have the left (contralateral) target in their response field. Correct and error trials are included in both motion and saccade aligned averages.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig2-figsupp2-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig2s3" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 2—figure supplement 3.</label><caption><title>Trial-averaged activity after subtracting the urgency component.</title><p>The urgency signal, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf35"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, is a time-dependent, evidence-independent component of the neural activity that is thought to implement the equivalent of a collapsing bound in the race model architecture of drift-diffusion shown in (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1c</xref>). We estimate <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf36"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for each signal, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf37"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, as the average <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf38"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, aligned to motion onset, using only the 0% coherence motion trials (gray traces in the third column of <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>). (<bold>a</bold>) Ramp coding signal, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf39"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, with urgency subtracted. (<bold>b</bold>) PC1 signal with urgency subtracted. (<bold>c</bold>)<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf40"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> signal with urgency subtracted.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig2-figsupp3-v1.tif"/></fig></fig-group><p>We complemented this regression strategy with principal component analysis (PCA) and use the first PC (PC1), which explains <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf41"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>44</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn>7</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>% of the variance (mean ± s.e. across sessions) of the activity between 200 and 600 ms from motion onset (see ‘Methods’). This coding direction renders single-trial signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf42"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2b</xref>). In a third strategy, we consider the mean activity of neurons with response fields that overlapped the contralateral choice target (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf43"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons), which were the focus of previous single-neuron studies (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib55">Shadlen and Newsome, 1996</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib47">Platt and Glimcher, 1999</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib49">Roitman and Shadlen, 2002</xref>). In those studies, the task was modified so that one of the choice targets was placed in the neural response field, whereas here we identify neurons post hoc with response fields that happen to overlap the contralateral choice target. This difference probably accounts for the lower firing rates of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf44"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons studied here. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2c</xref> shows single-trial and across-trial averages from these <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf45"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons. They too render signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf46"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, similar to those derived from the full population. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf47"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons thus furnish a third coding direction defined by a vector of identical positive weights assigned to all <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf48"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons and 0 for all other neurons in the population. The emboldened single-trial traces in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref> (left) correspond to the same trials rendered by the three coding directions. It is not difficult to tell which are the corresponding traces, an observation that speaks to their similarity, and the same is true for the averages. We will expand on this observation in what follows.</p><p>The averages show the deterministic <italic>drift</italic> component of the hypothesized drift-diffusion process, with the slope varying monotonically with the signed motion strength (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>, right). The rise begins to saturate as a consequence of the putative termination bound—a combination of dropout of trials that are about to terminate and the effect on the distribution of possible diffusion paths imposed by the very existence of a stopping bound. This saturation is evident earlier on trials with stronger motion, hence shorter RT, on average. The positive buildup rate on the 0% coherence motion represents the time-dependent, evidence-independent signal that is thought to reflect the cost of time. It leads to termination even if the evidence is weak, equivalent to collapsing stopping bounds in traditional, symmetric drift-diffusion models (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib11">Drugowitsch et al., 2012</xref>). Removal of this <italic>urgency</italic> signal, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf49"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, from the non-zero coherence traces renders the positive and negative coherence averages symmetric relative to zero on the ordinate (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2s3">Figure 2—figure supplement 3</xref>).</p><p>The single-trial responses in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref> do not look like the averages but instead approximate drift-diffusion. We focus on the epoch from 200 to 500 (or 600) ms from motion onset—that is, the first 300 (or 400) ms of the period in which the averages reflect the integration of evidence. Some traces are cut off before the end of the epoch because a saccade occurred 100 ms later on the trial. However, most 0% coherence trials continue beyond 500 ms (median RT <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf50"><mml:mrow><mml:mi/><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>600</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms). The single-trial traces do not rise monotonically as a function of time but meander and tend to spread apart from each other vertically. For unbounded diffusion, the variance would increase linearly, but as just mentioned, the existence of an upper stopping bound and the limited range of firing rates (e.g., non-negative) renders the function sublinear at later times (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3a</xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3s1">Figure 3—figure supplement 1</xref>). The autocorrelation between an early and a later sample from the same diffusion trace is also clearly specified for unbounded diffusion. The theoretical values shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3b and c</xref> are the autocorrelations of unbounded diffusion processes that are smoothed identically to the neural signals (see ‘Methods’ and Appendix 1). The autocorrelations in the data follow a strikingly similar pattern. These observations support the assertion that the coherence-dependent (ramp-like) firing rate averages observed in previous studies of area LIP are composed of stochastic drift-diffusion processes on single trials.</p><fig-group><fig id="fig3" position="float"><label>Figure 3.</label><caption><title>Variance and autocorrelation of the single-trial signals.</title><p>The analyses here are based on samples of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf51"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> at six time points during the first 300 ms of putative integration, using all 0% and ±3.2% coherence trials (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf52"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5927</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). Samples are separated by the width of the boxcar filter (51 ms), beginning at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf53"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">226</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms. (<bold>a</bold>) Variance increases as a function of time. The measure of variance is normalized so that it is 1 for the first sample. Error bars are s.e. (bootstrap). (<bold>b</bold>) Autocorrelation of samples as a function of time and lag approximate the values expected from diffusion. The upper triangular portion of the 6 × 6 correlation matrix for unbounded diffusion (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf54"><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is represented by brightness). The values from the data (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf55"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) are similar (right). (<bold>c</bold>) Nine of the 15 autocorrelation terms in (<bold>b</bold>) permit a more direct comparison of theory and data. The lower limb of the C-shaped function shows the decay in <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf56"><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> as a function of lag (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf57"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">-</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). This is the top row of (<bold>b</bold>). The upper limb shows the increase in <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf58"><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> as a function of time (for fixed lag). This is the lower diagonal in (<bold>b</bold>). Error bars are s.e. (bootstrap). Note that the autocorrelations incorporate a free parameter, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf59"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, that serves to correct for an unknown fraction of the measured variance that is not explained by diffusion (see ‘Methods’).</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig3-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig3s1" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 3—figure supplement 1.</label><caption><title>Bounds induce sublinear increase in variance of diffusion paths.</title><p>For unbounded diffusion (black), the variance across diffusion paths increases linearly with unity slope, and this holds under our smoothing procedure too. Symbols mark the median sample times of the first six non-overlapping <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf60"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn>25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms running means from the beginning of the epoch of integration, as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3a</xref>. The red trace shows the values produced by simulating the model illustrated in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1c</xref> (combined residuals from 20,000 trials per coherence –.032, 0, and +.032, as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3a</xref>).</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig3-figsupp1-v1.tif"/></fig></fig-group><sec id="s2-1"><title>Single-trial drift-diffusion signals approximate the decision variable</title><p>We next evaluate the hypothesis that the drift-diffusion signal, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf61"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, is the DV that controls the choice and response time. We have identified several coding directions that produce candidate DVs, and as we will see below, there are also other coding directions of interest that can be derived from the population. Additionally, PCA indicates that the dimensionality of the data is low, but greater than 1 (participation ratio = 4.4 ± 1.3; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib39">Mazzucato et al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib21">Gao et al., 2017</xref>). Therefore, one might wonder whether it is sensible to assume that the DV can be approximated by a scalar measure arising from a single coding direction as opposed to a higher dimensional representation. Two decoding exercises are adduced to support the assumption.</p><p>We constructed a logistic decoder of choice using each neuron’s spike counts in 50 ms bins between 100 and 500 ms after motion onset. As shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4a</xref>, this <italic>What</italic>-decoder (orange) predicts choice as accurately as a decoder of simulated data from a drift-diffusion model (black) using parameters derived from fits to the monkeys’ choice and RT data (see ‘Methods’). The simulation establishes a rough estimate of the decoding accuracy that can be achieved, given the stochastic nature of the choice, were we granted access to the drift-diffusion signal that actually determines the decision. In this analysis, the decoder can use a different vector of weights at each point in time (<italic>time-dependent</italic> coding directions; see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib45">Peixoto et al., 2021</xref>). However, if the representation of the DV in LIP is one-dimensional, then a decoder trained at one time should perform well when tested at a different time. The red curve in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4a</xref> shows the performance of a <italic>What</italic>-decoder with a <italic>fixed training-time</italic> (450 ms after motion onset; red arrow). This decoder performs nearly as well as the decoder trained at each time bin. The heatmap (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4b</xref>) generalizes this observation. It shows two main features for all times <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf62"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>300</mml:mn><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>500</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms (dashed box). First, unsurprisingly, for a <italic>What</italic> choice decoder trained on data at one time <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf63"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the predictions improve as the testing time advances (the decoding accuracy increases along any vertical) as more evidence is accrued. Second, and more importantly, decoders tested at time <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf64"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> perform similarly, independent of when they were trained (there is little variation in decoding accuracy along any horizontal). This observation suggests that a single vector of weights may suffice to decode the choice from the population response.</p><fig-group><fig id="fig4" position="float"><label>Figure 4.</label><caption><title>The population signal predictive of choice and reaction time (RT) is approximately one-dimensional.</title><p>Two binary decoders were trained to predict the choice (<italic>What</italic>-decoder) and its time (<italic>When</italic>-decoder) using the population responses in each session. The <italic>When</italic>-decoder predicts whether a saccadic response to the contralateral target will occur in the next 150 ms, but critically, its accuracy is evaluated based on its ability to predict choice. (<bold>a</bold>) Cross-validated choice decoding accuracy plotted as a function of time from motion onset (left) and time to saccadic choice (right). Values are averages across sessions. The <italic>What</italic>-decoder is either trained at the time point at which it is evaluated (time-dependent decoder, orange) or at the single time point indicated by the red arrow (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf65"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">450</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms after motion onset; <italic>fixed training-time</italic> decoder, red). Both training procedures achieve high levels of accuracy. The <italic>When</italic>-decoder is trained to capture the time of response only on trials terminating with a left (contraversive) choice. The coding direction identified by this approach nonetheless predicts choice (green) nearly as well as the <italic>fixed training-time What</italic>-decoder. The black trace shows the accuracy of a <italic>What</italic>-decoder trained on simulated signals using a drift-diffusion model that approximates the behavioral data in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>. Error bars signify s.e.m. across sessions. The gray bar shows the epoch depicted in the next panel. (<bold>b</bold>) The heat map shows the accuracy of a decoder trained at times along the abscissa and tested at times along the ordinate. Time is relative to motion onset (gray shading in <bold>a</bold>). In addition to training at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf66"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">450</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms, the decoder can be trained at any time from <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf67"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">300</mml:mn><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">500</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms (dashed box) and achieve the same level of accuracy when tested at any single test time. The orange and red traces in a correspond to the main diagonal (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf68"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">=</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the column marked by the red arrow, respectively. (<bold>c</bold>) Trial-averaged activity rendered by the projection of the population responses along the <italic>When</italic> coding direction, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf69"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>. Same conventions as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>. (<bold>d</bold>) Cosine similarity of five coding directions. The heatmap shows the mean values across the sessions, arranged like the lower triangular portion of a correlation matrix. Cosine similarities are significantly greater than zero for all comparisons (all <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf70"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.001</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, <italic>t</italic>-test). (<bold>e</bold>) Correlation of single-trial diffusion traces. The Pearson correlations are calculated from ordered pairs of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf71"><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">{</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf72"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the detrended signals rendered by coding directions, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf73"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf74"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, on trial <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf75"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. The detrending removes trial-averaged means for each signed coherence, leaving only the diffusion component. Reported correlations are significantly greater than zero for all pairs of coding directions and sessions (all <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf76"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>23</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, <italic>t</italic>-test, see ‘Methods’). The variability in cosine similarity and within-trial correlation across sessions is portrayed in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4s3">Figure 4—figure supplement 3</xref>.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig4-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig4s1" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 4—figure supplement 1.</label><caption><title>Weights are assigned to each of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf77"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> simultaneously recorded neurons in each session using logistic regression to approximate a step that takes a value of 0 from 200 ms before motion onset to 150 ms before saccade initiation, and a value of 1 for the following 100 ms (the last 50 ms before the saccade are discarded).</title><p>Only trials ending in left (contraversive) choices are included. The graph shows the quality of the regression on eight example trials. The traces are shown from 200 ms after motion onset to 50 ms before the saccade. Projection of the population firing rates on the vector of weights renders the single-trial signal, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf78"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig4-figsupp1-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig4s2" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 4—figure supplement 2.</label><caption><title>Single-trials and trial-averaged signals furnished by the When- and What-decoders.</title><p>Same convention as <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>, using the same single-trial examples.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig4-figsupp2-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig4s3" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 4—figure supplement 3.</label><caption><title>Variability in cosine similarity and within-trial correlation across sessions.</title><p><italic>Top</italic>. Cosine similarity (CS) of five coding directions. Black markers portray the same mean CS as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4d</xref>. Here, we also show the variability in each measure across sessions (s.e.m.). CS are significantly greater than zero between all pairs of CDs (all p&lt;0.001, <italic>t</italic>-test). Brown markers portray the same measure when the assignment between neurons and weights are permuted. Error bars reflect the standard deviation across 1000 such permutations. The purple marker in the rightmost column reflects the CS between random directions in state space. These vectors were generated by drawing from a normal distribution, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf79"><mml:mrow><mml:mi class="ltx_font_mathcaligraphic">𝒩</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and scaled to length 1. The CS in the data (black symbols) are significantly greater than the CS obtained from the two control analyses, for every pairwise combination of coding directions (permuted weights: all <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf80"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>156</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, <italic>t</italic>-test; random unit vectors: all <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf81"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>63</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>). <italic>Bottom</italic>. Same conventions as <italic>top</italic> for the within-trial correlations portrayed in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4e</xref>. For each pair of coding directions, the within-trial correlations in the data are significantly greater than zero (all <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf82"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>23</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>). The correlations are also significantly greater than those between pairs of signals generated by projections of the data onto pairs of (i) random vectors established by permutations of the weights defining each coding direction (brown, all pairwise comparisons <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf83"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.009</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, z-test) and (<italic>ii</italic>) random unit vectors (purple, all pairwise comparisons <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf84"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, z-test). This control serves mainly to refute the possibility that the correlations are explained by correlated variability in the neural population regardless of the signals produced by the weighted sums.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig4-figsupp3-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig4s4" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 4—figure supplement 4.</label><caption><title>Comparison of linear and non-linear choice decoders.</title><p>The figure depicts the cross-validated classification accuracy of two decoders that use population activity at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf85"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>450</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms from motion onset to predict choice at the same time point on held out trials. The first is a linear decoder (logistic classifier, <italic>abscissa</italic>), as used for the <italic>What</italic> decoder in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4</xref>. The second is a non-linear decoder (<italic>ordinate</italic>), which takes the form of a neural network with two hidden layers (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf86"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo rspace="7.5pt">,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>50</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, units with sigmoid activation function). The two decoders perform similarly, with the Neural network outperforming the logistic decoder in only one of eight sessions. The analysis suggests that the assumption of linear embedding of the DV is justified.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig4-figsupp4-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig4s5" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 4—figure supplement 5.</label><caption><title>Decoding choice from subsets of neurons.</title><p>Mean accuracy (across sessions) of four choice decoders, plotted as a function of time from motion onset (<italic>left</italic>) and time to saccadic choice (<italic>right</italic>). The decoders are trained on the neural activity between 425 and 475 ms from motion onset (gray arrow) and applied to all other time points (same method as <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4a</xref>, <italic>fixed training-time</italic>). Colors indicate whether the decoders were trained using the activity of all neurons (red, same as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4a</xref>), only <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf87"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf88"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>ips</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (yellow), all but <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf89"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (purple), or all but <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf90"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf91"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (blue). Decoding accuracy is diminished without the contribution of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf92"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons, which constitute only <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf93"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>21.7</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>%</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of the population (mean ± s.e.)</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig4-figsupp5-v1.tif"/></fig></fig-group><p>The second decoder is trained to predict whether a saccade to the contralateral choice target will be initiated in the next 150 ms. This <italic>When</italic>-decoder is trained by logistic regression to predict a binary output: 1 at all time-points that are within 150 ms of an upcoming saccade and 0 elsewhere (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4s1">Figure 4—figure supplement 1</xref>). We validated the When-decoder by computing the area under an ROC (AUC) using the held-out (odd) trials (mean AUC over all time points: 0.84), but this is tangential to our goal. Although the <italic>When</italic>-decoder was trained only to predict the time of saccades, our rationale for developing this decoder was to test whether the <italic>When</italic> coding direction can be used to predict the <italic>choice</italic>. The green trace in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4a</xref> shows the accuracy of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf94"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to predict the choice. The performance is almost identical to the choice decoder, despite being trained on a temporal feature of trials ending in the same left choice. This feat is explained by the similarity of signals produced by the <italic>When</italic>- and other coding directions. Note the similarity of the trial-averaged <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf95"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> signals displayed in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4c</xref> to those in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref> (see also <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4s2">Figure 4—figure supplement 2</xref>, right). Indeed, the cosine similarity between the <italic>When</italic> and <italic>Ramp</italic> coding directions is <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf96"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.67</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.03</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4d</xref>). In light of this, it is not surprising that the weighting vectors derived from both the <italic>What</italic>- and <italic>When</italic>-decoders also render single-trial drift-diffusion traces that resemble each other and those rendered by other coding directions (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4e</xref>). Together these analyses support the assertion that the DV is likely to be captured by a single dimension, consistent with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib20">Ganguli et al., 2008</xref>.</p><p>If the one-dimensional signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf97"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, approximate the DV, they should explain the variability of choice and RT for trials sharing the same direction and motion strength. Specifically, (i) early samples of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf98"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> should be predictive of choice and correlate inversely with the RT on trials that result in contraversive (leftward) choices, (ii) later samples ought to predict choice better and correlate more strongly (negatively) with RT than earlier samples, and (iii) later samples should contain the information present in the earlier samples and thus mediate (i.e., reduce the leverage) of the earlier samples on choice and RT. Each of these predictions is borne out by the data.</p><p>The analyses depicted in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref> allow us to visualize the influence of the single-trial signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf99"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, on the choice and RT on that trial. We focus on the early epoch of evidence accumulation (200–550 ms after random dot motion onset) and restrict the analyses to decisions with <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf100"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn>670</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf101"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>coherence</mml:mtext><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>6.4</mml:mn><mml:mo>%</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The RT restriction eliminates 17% of the eligible trials. Larger values of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf102"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are associated with a larger probability of a left (contraversive) choice and a shorter RT, hence negative correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf103"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and RT. We use the term, leverage, to describe the strength of both of these associations. The leverage on choice (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5a</xref>, black traces) is the contribution of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf104"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to the log odds of a left choice, after accounting for the motion strength and direction (i.e., the coefficients, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf105"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ9">Equation 8</xref>). The leverage on RT (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5b</xref>) is the Pearson correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf106"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the RT on that trial, after accounting for the effect of motion strength and direction on <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf107"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and RT (see ‘Methods’). The leverage is evident from the earliest sign of evidence accumulation, 200 ms after motion onset, and its magnitude increases as a function of time, as evidence accrues (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref>, top). The filled circle to the right of the traces in each graph shows the leverage of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf108"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf109"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>550</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms, which is 120 ms before any of the included trials have terminated. Both observations are consistent with the hypothesis that <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf110"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> represents the integral of noisy evidence used to form and terminate the decision. Two control analyses demonstrate that the degree of leverage on choice and RT do not arise by chance: (i) random coding directions in state space produce negligible leverage (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5s1">Figure 5—figure supplement 1</xref>, top), and (ii) breaking the trial-by-trial correspondence between neural activity and behavior eliminates all leverage (see Reviewer Figure 1 in reply to peer review).</p><fig-group><fig id="fig5" position="float"><label>Figure 5.</label><caption><title>The drift-diffusion signal approximates the decision variable.</title><p>The graphs show the leverage of single-trial drift-diffusion signals on choice and reaction time (RT) using only trials with <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf111"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">RT</mml:mtext><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.67</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s. Rows correspond to the same coding directions as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>. The graphs also demonstrate a reduction of the leverage of the samples at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf112"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">≤</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s by a later sample of the signal at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf113"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.55</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s. Error bars are s.e.m. across sessions. (<bold>a</bold>) Leverage of single-trial drift-diffusion signals on choice. Leverage is the value of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf114"><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, the coefficient that multiplies <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf115"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ9">Equation 8</xref>. The black traces show the increase in leverage as a function of time. The dashed linestyle at the left end of three of the traces indicate values that are not statistically significant (p&gt;0.05, bootstrap shuffle test, see ‘Methods’). Filled symbols show the leverage at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf116"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.55</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s. The blue curve (<italic>mediated</italic>) shows the leverage when the later sample is included in the regression (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ10">Equation 9</xref>). Open symbols show the leverage of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf117"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf118"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.55</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s (same value as the filled symbol in <italic>bottom row</italic>). The yellow curves (top and middle rows) show the leverage of the <italic>cross-mediated</italic> signal by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf119"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. For all three signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf120"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, leverage at <italic>t</italic> = 0.4 s is significantly mediated by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf121"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and cross-mediated by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf122"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (all <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf123"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, paired samples <italic>t</italic>-test). (<bold>b</bold>) Leverage of single-trial drift-diffusion signals on response time. Same conventions as in (<bold>a</bold>). Leverage is the correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf124"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and RT. The mediated leverage is the partial correlation, given the later sample. For all three signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf125"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, leverage at <italic>t</italic> = 0.4 s is significantly mediated by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf126"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and cross-mediated by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf127"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo mathvariant="normal" stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (all <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf128"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>8</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, paired samples <italic>t</italic>-test).</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig5-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig5s1" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 5—figure supplement 1.</label><caption><title>Control analyses bearing on the leverage and mediation results in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref>.</title><p>(<bold>a</bold>) Leverage of signals generated by projection of the neural data on random coding directions in neuronal state space (permutations of the PC1 weights). Same conventions and ordinate scale as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref>. (<bold>b</bold>) Leverage of drift-diffusion signals derived from simulations of the racing drift-diffusion model fit to behavior (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>). The simulated signals establish the expectation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf129"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> weakly correlated noisy neurons. The traces agree qualitatively with the leverage and degree of mediation by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf130"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons. Importantly, these simulations highlight that the mediation of the leverage on behavior by a later sample is not complete unless the system is noise-free (for more details see <italic>‘</italic>Leverage of single-trial activity on behavior<italic>’</italic>). Same conventions as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref>.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig5-figsupp1-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig5s2" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 5—figure supplement 2.</label><caption><title>The <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf131"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>𝐓</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>𝐢𝐧</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons are not discoverable by their weight assignments.</title><p>The <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf132"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons contribute strongly and positively to all coding directions, but they are a small fraction of the sampled population. Here we ask whether the rank of a neuron’s weight might identify it as <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf133"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>. (<bold>a</bold>) Distribution of weights assigned to <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf134"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> (purple), <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf135"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>ips</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> (yellow) and all other neurons (gray) for the coding directions specified by the column title. (<bold>b</bold>) Same as (<bold>a</bold>) for weight percentiles (computed within session). (<bold>c</bold>) The graphs are logistic fits,<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf136"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>{</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>}</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf137"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> if neuron <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf138"><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf139"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf140"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> otherwise. Neurons with stronger positive or negative weights are more likely to be <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf141"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> or <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf142"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>ips</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively, but even the largest weight percentile identifies a <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf143"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neuron with probability less than 0.4.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig5-figsupp2-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="fig5s3" position="float" specific-use="child-fig"><label>Figure 5—figure supplement 3.</label><caption><title>Cross-mediation of single-trial correlations with behavior.</title><p>The figure extends the observations in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref> that a sample of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf144"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf145"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>550</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms after motion onset (i) reduces the leverage of earlier samples of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf146"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> on choice and reaction time (RT) (mediation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf147"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> on <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf148"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) and (ii) also reduces the leverage of earlier samples of other signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf149"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf150"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (cross-mediation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf151"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> on <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf152"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). The heatmaps are <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf153"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>5</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mn>5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> matrices of the mediation indices, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf154"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Ch</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf155"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ11 equ8">Equations 10 and 7)</xref>, that is, how a signal at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf156"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>550</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms mediates a signal at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf157"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>400</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms after motion onset. The index is zero if there is no mediation by the later sample; one of the mediation is complete. The main diagonal (top left to bottom right) shows the mediation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf158"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (0.55) on <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf159"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (0.4). Values below the diagonal show cross-mediation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf160"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf161"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>; values above the diagonal show mediation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf162"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf163"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. (<bold>a</bold>) Leverage on choice. (<bold>b</bold>) Leverage on RT. Notice that the matrices are not symmetric. For example, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf164"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> mediates the leverage of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf165"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> on choice more <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf166"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> mediates the leverage of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf167"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf168"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> mediates the leverage of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf169"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> on RT more than <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf170"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> mediates the leverage of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf171"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig5-figsupp3-v1.tif"/></fig></fig-group><p>Importantly, the leverage at earlier times is mediated by the later sample at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf172"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>550</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms. The blue traces in all graphs show the remaining leverage once this later sample is allowed to explain the choice and RT—by including, respectively, an additional term in the logistic regression (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ10">Equation 9</xref>) and calculating the partial correlation, conditional on <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf173"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. We assessed statistical significance of the mediation statistics, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf174"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Ch</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf175"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ8 equ11">Equations 7 and 10</xref>) in each session for the three signals shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref> using a bootstrap procedure (see ‘Methods’, <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ11">Equation 10</xref>). Mediation is significant in 47 of the 48 comparisons (all p&lt;0.023, median <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf176"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>317</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>). The one non-significant comparison is <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf177"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Ch</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf178"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> in session 2 (p=0.73). The mediation is significant when this comparison is included in the combined data (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf179"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>9</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, paired samples <italic>t</italic>-test). The stark decrease in leverage is consistent with one-dimensional diffusion in which later values of the signal contain the information in the earlier samples plus what has accrued in the interim. Had we recorded from all the neurons that represent the DV, we would expect the mediation to be complete (e.g., partial correlation = 0). However, our recorded population is only a fraction of the entire population. Indeed, the observed degree of mediation is similar to values obtained from simulations of weakly correlated, noisy neurons (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5s1">Figure 5—figure supplement 1</xref>, bottom).</p><p>There is one additional noteworthy observation in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref> that highlights the importance of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf180"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons. The top and middle rows (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf181"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf182"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) contain a second, open symbol, which is simply a copy of the filled symbol from the bottom row (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf183"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>). The yellow traces show significant cross-mediation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf184"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf185"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> by the sample, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf186"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (all <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf187"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>; median <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf188"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mn>10</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>268</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>; bootstrap as above). This signal, carried by 9–21% of the neurons, mediates signals produced by the full population of 54–203 neurons nearly as strongly as <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf189"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf190"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> mediate themselves. The observation suggests that minimal leverage is gained by sophisticated analyses of the full NSS compared to a simple average of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf191"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons. This is both reassuring and disquieting: reassuring because the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf192"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons compose the dominant projection from LIP to the portions of the superior colliculus (SC) and the frontal eye field involved in the generation of saccades toward the contralateral choice target (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib44">Paré and Wurtz, 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib15">Ferraina et al., 2002</xref>); disquieting because the functional relevance of these neurons is not revealed by the other coding directions. The weights assigned to the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf193"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons span all percentiles (mean IQR: 49–96; mean 71st percentile, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf194"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>U</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.74</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) in the ramp coding direction. They contribute disproportionately to PC1 and the <italic>What</italic>- and <italic>When</italic>- decoders but not enough to stand out based on their weights. Indeed, the ability to predict that a neuron is <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf195"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> from its weight or percentile is remarkably poor (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5s2">Figure 5—figure supplement 2</xref>).</p><p>These observations support the idea that the single-trial signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf196"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf197"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf198"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, approximate the DV used by the monkey to make its decision. In <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5s3">Figure 5—figure supplement 3</xref>, we show that the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf199"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>What</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf200"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> coding directions achieve qualitatively similar results. Moreover, a late sample from <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf201"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> mediates the earlier correlation with RT and choice of signals rendered by other coding directions, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf202"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, at earlier times. Such cross-mediation is consistent with the high degree of cosine similarity between the coding directions (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4d</xref>). The observation suggests that the DV is a prominent signal in LIP, discoverable by a variety of strategies, and consistent with the idea that it is one-dimensional. In <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4s4">Figure 4—figure supplement 4</xref>, we show that linear and nonlinear decoders achieve similar performance, which argues against a non-linear embedding of the DV in the population activity.</p></sec><sec id="s2-2"><title>Activity of direction-selective neurons in area LIP resembles momentary evidence</title><p>Up to now, we have focused our analyses on resolving the DV on single trials, paying little attention to how it is computed or to other signals that may be present in the LIP population. The drift-diffusion signal approximates the accumulation, or integral, of the noisy momentary evidence—a signal approximating the difference in the firing rates of direction-selective (DS) neurons with opposing direction preferences (e.g, in area MT; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib4">Britten et al., 1996</xref>). DS neurons, with properties similar to neurons in MT, have also been identified in area LIP (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib17">Freedman and Assad, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib58">Shushruth et al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib13">Fanini and Assad, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib2">Bollimunta and Ditterich, 2012</xref>), where they are proposed to play a role in motion categorization (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib18">Freedman and Assad, 2011</xref>). We hypothesize that such neurons might participate in routing information from DS neurons in MT/MST to those in LIP that contain a choice target in their response fields.</p><p>We identified such DS neurons using a passive motion viewing task (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6a and b</xref>, left). Neurons preferring leftward or rightward motion constitute 5–10% of the neurons in our sample populations <xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6</xref> shows the average firing rates of 51 leftward-preferring neurons (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf203"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>left</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6a</xref>) and 26 rightward-preferring neurons (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf204"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>right</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6b</xref>) under passive motion viewing and decision-making. The separation of the two traces in the passive viewing task is guaranteed because we used this task to identify the DS neurons. It is notable, however, that the DS is first evident about 100 ms after the onset of random dot motion, and this latency is also apparent in mean firing rates grouped by signed coherence during decision making (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6a and b</xref> right). The activity of DS neurons is modulated by both the direction and strength of motion. However, unlike the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf205"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons, the traces associated with different motion strengths are mostly parallel to one another and do not reach a common level of activity before the saccadic eye movement (i.e., they do not signal decision termination).</p><fig id="fig6" position="float"><label>Figure 6.</label><caption><title>The representation of momentary evidence in area lateral intraparietal cortex (LIP).</title><p>(<bold>a</bold>) Leftward preferring neurons. <italic>Left</italic>, response to strong leftward (blue) and rightward (brown) motion during passive viewing. Traces are averages over neurons and trials. The neurons were selected for analysis based on this task, hence the stronger response to leftward is guaranteed. Note the short-latency visual response to motion onset followed by the direction-selective (DS) response beginning ∼100 ms after motion onset. <italic>Right</italic>, Responses during decision-making, aligned to motion onset and the saccadic response. Response averages are grouped by direction and strength of motion (color legend). The neurons retain the same direction preference during passive viewing and decision-making. The responses are also graded as a function of motion strength. (<bold>b</bold>) Rightward preferring neurons. Same conventions as (<bold>a</bold>). (<bold>c</bold>) Cumulative distribution of the times at which individual neurons start showing evidence-dependent activity. Evidence dependence emerges earlier in <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf206"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">left</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf207"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">right</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (purple) than in <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf208"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (green). Arrows indicate the mean onset of evidence-dependent activity in each signal. The markers at the end of the arrows show the s.e.m. across neurons. (<bold>d</bold>) <italic>Left,</italic> leverage of neural activity on choice for <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf209"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> (green), <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf210"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">left</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> (purple), and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf211"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">right</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> (yellow) neurons.<italic>Rright</italic>, same as <italic>left,</italic> for the correlation between neural activity and reaction time. The absence of negative correlation is explained by insufficient power (see ‘Methods’). (<bold>e</bold>) Correlation between the neural representation of motion evidence—the difference in activity of neurons selective for leftward and rightward motion <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf212"><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">left</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">-</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">right</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>—and the neural representation of the decision variable <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf213"><mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">(</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathsize="111%" mathvariant="normal">con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> across different time points and lags. Horizontal and vertical lines indicate the onset of evidence-dependent activity in each signal. Positive correlations in the upper-left triangle indicate that the decision variable at a time point is correlated with earlier activity of the evidence signal.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-fig6-v1.tif"/></fig><p>In addition to their shorter onset latency, the direction-selectivity of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf214"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons precedes the choice-selectivity of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf215"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons by ∼100 ms (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6c</xref>). The responses bear similarity to DS neurons in area MT. Such neurons are known to exhibit choice-dependent activity insofar as they furnish the noisy evidence that is integrated to form the decision (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib4">Britten et al., 1996</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib54">Shadlen et al., 1996</xref>). We computed putative single trial direction signals by averaging the responses from the left- and right-preferring DS neurons, respectively. The resulting signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf216"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Min</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>left</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf217"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Min</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>right</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, have weak leverage on choice, but the leverage does not increase as a function of time (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6d</xref>, left). This is what would be expected if the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf218"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons represent the noisy momentary evidence as opposed to the accumulation thereof (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib38">Mazurek et al., 2003</xref>). We failed to detect a correlation between RT and either <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf219"><mml:msub><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Min</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> signal (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6d</xref>, right). This is surprising, but it could be explained by lack of power—a combination of small numbers of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf220"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons, narrow sample windows (50 ms boxcar) and the focus on the long RT trials. Indeed, we found a weak but statistically significant negative correlation between RT and the difference in leftward vs. rightward signals, averaged over the epoch <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf221"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.4</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="thinmathspace"/><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> from motion onset (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf222"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.0004</mml:mn><mml:mo>;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="script">H</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>  : <italic>ρ</italic> ≥ 0, see ‘Methods’).</p><p>We considered the hypothesis that these DS signals are integrated by the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf223"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons to form the DV. The heatmap in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6e</xref> supports this hypothesis. On each trial, we formed the ordered pairs, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf224"><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">{</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf225"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">l</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf226"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>. The tilde in these expressions indicates the use of standardized residual values, for each signed motion strength. The heatmap shows the correlation of these quantities across trials. If the hypothesis were true, the correlations should be positive for <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf227"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> when <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf228"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf229"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>200</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms, and if the operation approximates integration, the level of correlation should be consistent at all lags, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf230"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms. The correlations are significant in the epoch of interest, and they differ significantly from the average correlations in the rest of the graph (i.e., <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf231"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf232"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>200</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, or <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf233"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, p<italic>&lt;</italic>0.0001 permutation test). Although correlative, the observation is consistent with the idea that evidence integration occurs within area LIP, rather than inherited from another brain area (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib68">Zhang et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib2">Bollimunta and Ditterich, 2012</xref>).</p></sec></sec><sec id="s3" sec-type="discussion"><title>Discussion</title><p>We have observed a neural representation of the stochastic process that gives rise to a single decision. This is the elusive drift-diffusion signal that has long been thought to determine the variable choice and response time in the perceptual task studied here. The signal was elusive because it is the integral of noisy momentary evidence, hence stochastic, and undetectable in the firing rates when they are computed as averages over trials. The averages preserve the ramp-like <italic>drift</italic> component, leaving open the possibility that the averages are composed of other stochastic processes (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib34">Latimer et al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib8">Cisek et al., 2009</xref>). By providing access to populations of neurons in LIP, macaque Neuropixels probes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib65">Trautmann et al., 2023</xref>) allowed us to resolve, for the first time, the evolution of LIP activity during a single decision.</p><p>The present findings establish that the ramp-like averages arise from drift-diffusion on single trials, and this drift-diffusion signal approximates the DV that arbitrates the choice and RT on that trial. We used a variety of strategies to assign a weight to each neuron in the population such that the vector of weights defines a coding direction in NSS. The weighted averages render population firing rate signals on single trials. Our experience is that any method of assigning the weights that captures a known feature of evidence accumulation (or its termination in a saccadic choice) reveals drift-diffusion on single trials, and this also holds for data-driven, hypothesis-free methods such as PCA. This is because the actual dimensionality of the DV is effectively one—a scalar function of time that connects the visual evidence to a saccadic choice (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib20">Ganguli et al., 2008</xref>). Thus a weighting established by training a decoder at time <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf234"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>τ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to predict the monkey’s choice performs nearly as well when tested at times other than the time the decoder was trained on (i.e., <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf235"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≠</mml:mo><mml:mi>τ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4</xref>).</p><p>The different strategies for deriving coding directions lead to different weight assignments, but the coding directions are linearly dependent (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4d</xref>). They produce traces, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf236"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, that are similar (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4e</xref>) and suggestive of drift-diffusion. Traces accompanying trials with the same motion coherence meander and spread apart at a rate similar to diffusion (i.e., standard deviation proportional to <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf237"><mml:msqrt><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:msqrt></mml:math></inline-formula>), and they exhibit a pattern of autocorrelation, as a function of time and lag, consistent with diffusion (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref>). The calculations applied in the present study improve upon previous applications (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib7">Churchland et al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib9">de Lafuente et al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib58">Shushruth et al., 2018</xref>) by incorporating the contribution of the smoothing to the autocorrelations. The departures from theory are explained by the fact that the accumulations are bounded. The upper bound and the fact that spike rates must be non-negative (a de facto lower reflecting bound) limits the spread of the single-trial traces.</p><p>The single-trial signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf238"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, approximate the DV that gives rise to the choice and decision time on trial <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf239"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5s3">Figure 5—figure supplement 3</xref>). Support for this assertion is obtained using a conservative assay, which quantifies the leverage of the first 300 ms of the signal’s evolution on decision outcomes—choice and RT—occurring at least 670 ms after motion onset. Naturally, the signals do not explain all the variance of these outcomes. The sample size is limited to <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf240"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> randomly selected, often weakly correlated neurons. The sample size and correlation are especially limiting for the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf241"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf242"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝔼</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.067</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.0036</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). Control analyses show that the degree of leverage on behavior and mediation of these relationships by later activity is on par with that obtained from simulated, weakly correlated neurons (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5s1">Figure 5—figure supplement 1</xref>). In addition, because they are identified post hoc, many have response fields that barely overlap the choice target. Presumably, that is why their responses are weak compared to previous single-neuron studies in which the choice targets were centered in the response field by the experimenter. Yet even this noisy signal, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf243"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, mediates signals produced by coding directions using the entire population (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref>).</p><p>The <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf244"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons were the first to be identified as a plausible candidate neural representation of the DV, based on firing rate averages (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib55">Shadlen and Newsome, 1996</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib47">Platt and Glimcher, 1999</xref>). This neural type is also representative of the LIP projection to the region of the SC that represents the saccadic vector required to center the gaze on the choice target. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib44">Paré and Wurtz, 1997</xref>). In a companion study by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib63">Stine et al., 2023</xref> we show that the SC is responsible for cessation of integration in LIP. Features of the drift-diffusion signal from the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf245"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons are correlated with bursting events in corresponding populations of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf246"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons in the SC, including the final saccadic burst that ends the decision with a saccade to the contralateral choice target. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib63">Stine et al., 2023</xref> also show that inactivation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf247"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons in the SC has little effect on <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf248"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> signals in LIP.</p><p>Previous studies of LIP using the random dot motion task focused primarily on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf249"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (<italic>cf</italic>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib40">Meister et al., 2013</xref>). It was thus unknown whether and how other neurons contribute to the decision process. The Neuropixels probes used in the present study yield a large and unbiased sample of neurons. Many of these neurons have response fields that overlap one of the two choice targets, but the majority have response fields that overlap neither the choice targets nor the random dot motion. Our screening procedures (delayed saccades and passive motion viewing tasks) do not supply a quantitative estimate of their spatial distribution. It is worth noting that neurons with response fields that overlap neither of the two choice targets were assigned nonzero weights by the <italic>What</italic>- and <italic>When</italic>-decoders, and yet, removal of the task-related neurons that represent the choice targets and motion (i.e., <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf250"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf251"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) decreases decoding accuracy more substantially than removing all but the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf252"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4s5">Figure 4—figure supplement 5</xref>). The accuracy the decoder achieves is likely explained by neurons with weak responses that simply failed to meet our criterion for inclusion in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf253"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf254"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> categories (e.g., neurons with response fields that barely overlap the choice targets or RDM). Some neurons outside these groups might reflect normalization signals from the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf255"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf256"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib58">Shushruth et al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib5">Carandini and Heeger, 2011</xref>), imbuing broad, decision-related co-variability across the population. It thus seems possible that higher dimensional tasks (e.g., four choices instead of two) could decrease correlations among groups of neurons with different response fields.</p><p>The fact that the raw averages from a small number of weakly correlated <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf257"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons furnish a DV on par with that furnished by the full population underscores the importance of this functional class. The role of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf258"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons is less well understood. Freedman and colleagues described direction selective neurons in LIP, similar to our <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf259"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib18">Freedman and Assad, 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib13">Fanini and Assad, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib51">Sarma et al., 2016</xref>). They showed that the neurons represent both the direction of motion and the decision in their task. In contrast, we do not observe the evolution of the decision (i.e., DV) by the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf260"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6</xref>). The latency of the direction and coherence-dependent signal as well as its dynamics resemble properties of DS neurons in area MT. The delayed correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf261"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf262"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> responses evokes the intriguing possibility that <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf263"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons supply the momentary evidence, which is integrated within LIP itself (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib68">Zhang et al., 2022</xref>). Future experiments that better optimize the yield of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf264"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons will be informative, and direct, causal support will require perturbations of functionally identified <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf265"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons, which is not yet feasible. A natural question is why LIP would contain a copy of the DS signals that are already present in area MT. We suspect it simplifies the routing of momentary evidence from neurons in MT/MST to the appropriate <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf266"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons. This interpretation leads to the prediction that DS <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf267"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons would be absent in LIP of monkeys that are naïve to saccadic decisions informed by random dot motion, as has been observed in the SC (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib27">Horwitz et al., 2004</xref>). Further, when motion is not the feature that informs the saccadic response—for example, in a color categorization task (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib29">Kang et al., 2021</xref>)—LIP might contain a representation of momentary evidence for color (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib64">Toth and Assad, 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib53">Sereno and Maunsell, 1998</xref>).</p><p>The capacity to record from many neurons simultaneously invites characterization of the population in NSS, in which the activity of each neuron defines a dimension. Often, population activity is confined to a low-dimensional subspace or manifold within the NSS (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib67">Vyas et al., 2020</xref>). An ever-more-popular viewpoint is that representations within these subspaces are emergent properties of the population—that is, <italic>distributed</italic>, rather than coded <italic>directly</italic> by single neurons—a dichotomy that has its roots in Barlow’s neuron doctrine (as updated in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1">Barlow, 1994</xref>). Indeed, it is tempting to conclude that the drift-diffusion signal in LIP is similarly emergent based on our NSS analyses—the identified subspaces (i.e., coding directions) combine neurons with highly diverse activity profiles. In contrast, grouping neurons by the location of their spatial response field reveals a direct coding scheme: <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf268"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons directly represent the accumulated evidence for making a particular saccade and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf269"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons represent the momentary evidence. We argue that this explanation is more parsimonious and, importantly, more principled. Grouping neurons based on spatial selectivity rests on the principle that neurons with similar RFs have similar projections, which is the basis for topographic maps in the visual and oculomotor systems (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib52">Schall, 1995</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib59">Silver and Kastner, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib33">Kremkow et al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib14">Felleman and Van Essen, 1991</xref>). In contrast, there are no principles that guide the grouping of neurons in state space analyses, as the idea is that they may comprise as many dimensions as there are neurons that happen to be sampled by the recording device.</p><p>The present finding invites both hope and caution. It may be useful to consider a counterfactual state of the scientific literature that lacks knowledge of the properties of LIP <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf270"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons—a world without <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib22">Gnadt and Andersen, 1988</xref> and no knowledge of LIP neurons with spatially selective persistent activity. In this world we have no reason to entertain the hypothesis that decisions would involve neurons that represent the choice targets. We do know about DS neurons in area MT and their causal role in decisions about the direction of random dot motion (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib50">Salzman et al., 1992</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib16">Fetsch et al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib10">Ditterich et al., 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib36">Liu and Pack, 2017</xref>). We also know that drift-diffusion models explain the choice-response time behavior. Guided by no particular hypothesis, we obtain population neural recordings in the random dot motion task. We do not perform the saccade and passive viewing control experiments. What might we learn from such a dataset? We might apply PCA and/or train a choice decoder or possibly a <italic>When</italic>-decoder. If so, we could discover the drift-diffusion signal and we might also infer that the dimensionality of the signal is low. However, we would not discover the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf271"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons without a hypothesis and a test thereof. We might notice that the coding directions that reveal drift-diffusion often render a response at the onset of the choice targets as well as increased activity at the time of saccades to the contralateral choice target. These facts might lead us to hypothesize that the population might contain neurons with visual receptive fields and some relationship to saccadic eye movements. We might then query individual neurons, post hoc, for these features, and ask if they render the drift-diffusion signal too. The inferences could then be tested experimentally by including simple delayed saccades in the next experiment. The hope in this counterfactual is that data-driven, hypothesis-free methods can inspire hypotheses about the mechanism. The caution is to avoid the natural tendency to stop before the hypotheses and tests, thus accepting as an endpoint the characterization of population dynamics in high dimensions or a lower dimensional manifold. If LIP is representative, these mathematically accurate characterizations may fail to illuminate the neurobiological parsimony.</p></sec><sec id="s4" sec-type="methods"><title>Methods</title><sec id="s4-1"><title>Ethical approval declarations</title><p>Two adult male rhesus monkeys (<italic>Macaca mulatta</italic>, Primate Products) were used in the experiments. All training, surgery, and experimental procedures complied with guidelines from the National Institutes of Health and were approved by the Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee at Columbia University (protocols AAAN4900 and AC-AAAW4454). A head post and two recording chambers were implanted under general anesthesia using sterile surgical procedures (for additional details, see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib60">So and Shadlen, 2022</xref>). One recording chamber allowed access to area LIP in the right hemisphere. The other was placed on the midline, allowing access to the SC. Those recordings are described in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib63">Stine et al., 2023</xref>. Here we report only on the neural recordings from LIP, focusing on the epoch of decision formation.</p></sec><sec id="s4-2"><title>Behavioral tasks</title><p>The monkeys were trained to interact with visual stimuli presented on a CRT video monitor (Vision Master 1451, Iiyama; viewing distance 57 cm; frame rate 75 Hz) using the psychophysics toolbox (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib3">Brainard, 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib46">Pelli, 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib32">Kleiner et al., 2007</xref>). Task events were controlled by Rex software (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib25">Hays et al., 1982</xref>). The monkeys were trained to control their gaze and make saccadic eye movements to peripheral targets to receive a liquid reward (juice). The direction of gaze was monitored by an infrared camera (EyeLink 1000; SR Research, Ottawa, Canada; 1 kHz sampling rate). The tasks involve stages separated by random delays, distributed as truncated exponential distributions<disp-formula id="equ1"><label>(1)</label><mml:math id="m1"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>{</mml:mo><mml:mtable columnalign="left left" rowspacing=".2em" columnspacing="1em" displaystyle="false"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mi>α</mml:mi><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi></mml:mfrac><mml:msup><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">w</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable><mml:mo fence="true" stretchy="true" symmetric="true"/></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>where <italic>t</italic><sub>min</sub> and <italic>t</italic><sub>max</sub> define the range, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf272"><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the time constant, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf273"><mml:mi>α</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is chosen to ensure the total probability is unity. Below, we provide the range (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf274"><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mtext>min</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> to <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf275"><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mtext>max</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the exponential parameter <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf276"><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> for all variable delays. Note that because of truncation, the expectation <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf277"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝔼</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mtext>min</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p><p>In the <italic>main task</italic> (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1a</xref>), the monkey must decide the net direction of random dot motion and indicate its decision when ready by making a saccadic eye movement to the corresponding choice target. After acquiring a central fixation point and a random delay (0.25–0.7 s, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf278"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi/></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.15), two red choice targets (diameter 1 dva) appear in the left and right visual fields. The random dot motion is then displayed after a random delay (0.25–0.7 s, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf279"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi/></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.4 s) and continues until the monkey breaks fixation. The dots are confined to a circular aperture (diameter 5 dva; degrees visual angle) centered on the fixation point (dot density 16.7 dots⋅dva<sup>-2</sup>s<sup>-1</sup>). The direction and strength of motion are determined pseudorandomly from <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf280"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">{</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>3.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>6.4</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>12.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>25.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>51.2</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>% coherence. The sign of the coherence indicates direction (positive for leftward, which is contraversive with respect to the recorded hemisphere). The absolute value of coherence determines the probability that a dot plotted on frame <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf281"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> will be displaced by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf282"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on frame <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf283"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf284"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>40</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>), as opposed to randomly replaced, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf285"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi/></mml:mrow><mml:mfrac><mml:mn mathsize="70%">5</mml:mn><mml:mn mathsize="70%">75</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:math></inline-formula> dva, consistent with 5 dva⋅s<sup>-1</sup> speed of apparent motion (see also <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib49">Roitman and Shadlen, 2002</xref>). The monkey is rewarded for making a saccadic eye movement to the appropriate choice target. On trials with 0% coherent motion, either saccadic choice is rewarded with probability 1/2. Errors are punished by extending the intertrial interval by up to 3 s (see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib63">Stine et al., 2023</xref>, for additional details). On approximately half of the trials, a 100 ms pulse of weak motion (±3.2% or 4.0% coherence for monkeys J and M, respectively) is added to the random dot motion stimulus at a random time (0.1–0.8 s, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf286"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi/></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.4) relative to motion onset (similar to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib30">Kiani et al., 2008</xref>). Monkey M performed 9684 trials (five sessions); monkey J performed 8142 trials (three sessions). The data are also analyzed in a companion paper that focuses on the termination of the decision (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib63">Stine et al., 2023</xref>).</p><p>In the <italic>visually instructed delayed saccade task</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib26">Hikosaka and Wurtz, 1983</xref>), one target is displayed at a pseudorandom location in the visual field. After a variable delay (monkey M: 0.4–1.1 s, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf287"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi/></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.3; monkey J: 0.5–1.5 s, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf288"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi/></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.2), the fixation point is extinguished, signaling ‘go’. The monkey is rewarded for making a saccade to within ±2.5 dva of the location of the target. In a <italic>memory-guided</italic> variant of the task (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib22">Gnadt and Andersen, 1988</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib19">Funahashi et al., 1989</xref>), the target is flashed briefly (200 ms) and the monkey is required to make a saccade to the remembered target location when the fixation point is extinguished. These tasks provide a rough characterization of the neural response fields during the visual, perisaccadic and delay epochs. Neurons are designated <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf289"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> if they exhibit spatially selective activity at the location of the response target in the visual hemifield contralateral to the recorded hemisphere. This determination is made before analyzing the activity in the random dot motion task. We refer to the unweighted mean firing rate as <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf290"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Neurons are designated <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf291"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>ips</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> if they exhibit spatially selective activity at the location of the response target in the visual hemifield ipsilateral to the recorded hemisphere. These analyses were conducted post hoc, after spike sorting.</p><p>The <italic>passive motion-viewing task</italic> is identical to the main task, except there are no choice targets and only the strongest motion strength (±51.2% coherence) is displayed for 500 ms (1 s on a small fraction of trials in session 1). The direction is left or right, determined randomly on each trial (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf292"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>left</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mn mathsize="70%">1</mml:mn><mml:mn mathsize="70%">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). The monkey is rewarded for maintaining fixation until the random dot motion is extinguished.</p></sec><sec id="s4-3"><title>Behavioral analyses</title><p>We fit a neurally inspired variant of the drift-diffusion model (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1c</xref>) to the choice-RT data from each session. The model constructs the decision process as a race between two accumulators: one accumulating evidence for left and against right (e.g., left minus right) and one accumulating evidence for right and against left (e.g., right minus left). The decision is determined by the accumulator that first exceeds its positive decision bound, at which point the decision is terminated. The races are negatively correlated with one another, owing to the common source of noisy evidence. We assume they share half the variance, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf293"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mn>0.5</mml:mn></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.71</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, but the results are robust to a wide range of reasonable values. The decision bounds are allowed to collapse linearly as a function of time, such that<disp-formula id="equ2"><label>(2)</label><mml:math id="m2"><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>α</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1em"/><mml:mi>α</mml:mi><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>We used the method of images (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib66">van den Berg et al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib57">Shan et al., 2019</xref>) to compute the probability density of the accumulated evidence for each accumulator (which both start at zero at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf294"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) as a function of time (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf295"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) using a time step of 1 ms. The decision time distributions rendered by the model were convolved with a Gaussian distribution of the non-decision times, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf296"><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mtext>nd</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, which combines sensory and motor delays, to generate the predicted RT distributions. The model has six parameters: <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf297"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>κ</mml:mi><mml:mo rspace="7.5pt">,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo rspace="7.5pt">,</mml:mo><mml:mi>α</mml:mi><mml:mo rspace="7.5pt">,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>μ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>nd</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo rspace="7.5pt">,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>nd</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf298"><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf299"><mml:mi>κ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> determines the scaling of motion strength to drift rate, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf300"><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> implements bias in units of signed coherence (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib24">Hanks et al., 2011</xref>), <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf301"><mml:msub><mml:mi>μ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>nd</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is the mean non-decision time, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf302"><mml:msub><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>nd</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is its standard deviation (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>). Additional details about the model and the fitting procedure are described in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib66">van den Berg et al., 2016</xref>.</p></sec><sec id="s4-4"><title>Simulated decision variables</title><p>We fit the race model described above to the combined behavioral data across all sessions (separately for each monkeys) and used the best-fitting parameters for monkey M (see <xref ref-type="table" rid="table2">Table 2</xref>) to simulate a total of 60,000 trials representing all signed coherences of the motion discrimination task. Each simulated trial yields a time series for two DVs, one for each accumulator in the race. We assume that the model-derived non-decision time (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf303"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mtext>nd</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>317</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1b</xref>) comprises visual and motor processing times at the beginning and end of the decision: 200 ms from motion onset to the beginning of evidence integration, and the remaining 117ms after termination. The latter approximates the variability observed in the saccadic latencies in the delayed saccade task and is simulated using a normal distribution, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf304"><mml:mrow><mml:mi class="ltx_font_mathcaligraphic">𝒩</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>μ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf305"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>μ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>117</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf306"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>39</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib63">Stine et al., 2023</xref>). In this variable time period between decision termination and the response (saccade), the simulated DVs were assigned the values they had attained at the start of this epoch. For all analyses that employ these simulations, we use the DV for the left-choice accumulator because the neural recordings were from LIP in the right hemisphere.</p></sec><sec id="s4-5"><title>Neurophysiology</title><p>We used prototype ‘alpha’ version Neuropixels1.0-NHP45 probes (IMEC/HHMI-Janelia) to record the activity of multiple isolated single units from the ventral subdivision of area LIP (LIP<sub>v</sub>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib35">Lewis and Van Essen, 2000</xref>). We used anatomical MRI to identify LIP<sub>v</sub> and confirmed its physiological hallmarks with single-neuron recordings (Thomas Recording GmbH) before proceeding to multi-neuron recordings. Neuropixels probes enable recording from 384 out of 4416 total electrical contacts distributed along the 45-mm-long shank. All data presented here were recorded using the 384 contacts closest to the tip of the probe (Bank 0), spanning 3.84 mm. Reference and ground signals were directly connected to each other and to the monkey’s head post. A total of 1084 neurons were recorded over eight sessions (54–203 neurons per session) (<xref ref-type="table" rid="table1">Table 1</xref>).</p><p>The Neuropixels 1.0-NHP45 probe uses a standard Neuropixels 1.0 headstage and is connected via the standard Neuropixels1.0 5m cable to the PCI eXtensions for Instrumentation (PXIe) hardware (PXIe-1071 chassis and PXI-6141 and PXIe-8381 I/O modules, National Instruments). Raw data were acquired using the SpikeGLX software (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://billkarsh.github.io/SpikeGLX/">http://billkarsh.github.io/SpikeGLX/</ext-link>), and single units were identified offline using the Kilosort 2.0 algorithm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib42">Pachitariu et al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib43">Pachitariu et al., 2020</xref>), followed by manual curation using Phy (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://github.com/cortex-lab/phy">https://github.com/cortex-lab/phy</ext-link>).</p></sec><sec id="s4-6"><title>Neural data analysis</title><p>The spike times from each neuron are represented as delta functions of discrete time, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf307"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, on each trial <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf308"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and each neuron <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf309"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf310"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms). The weighted sum of these <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf311"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> gives rise to the single-trial population signals:<disp-formula id="equ3"><label>(3)</label><mml:math id="m3"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo largeop="true" movablelimits="false" symmetric="true">∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>where the superscript, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf312"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, identifies the method or source that establishes the weights—that is, the coding direction in NSS or the neuron type contributing to a pooled average (e.g., <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf313"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>). For visualization, the single-trial signals are smoothed by convolution with a truncated Gaussian using the MATLAB function, <italic>gausswin</italic> (width <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf314"><mml:mrow><mml:mi/><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>80</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms, width factor <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf315"><mml:mrow><mml:mi/><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf316"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn>26</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms). Unless otherwise specified, all other analyses employ a 50 ms boxcar (rectangular) filter; values plotted at time <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf317"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> include data from <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf318"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>24</mml:mn><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mtext> to </mml:mtext><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms.</p><p>We used several methods to define coding directions in the NSS defined by the population of neurons in each session. For PCA and choice decoding, we standardized the single-trial firing rates for each neuron using the mean and standard deviation of its firing rate at in the epoch <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf319"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>200</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>600</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms after motion onset. This practice led to the exclusion of two neurons (session 1) that did not produce any spikes in the normalization window. Those neurons were assigned zero weight.</p></sec><sec id="s4-7"><title><inline-formula><mml:math id="inf320"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons</title><p>Neurons were classified post hoc as <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf321"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> by visual-inspection of spatial heatmaps of neural activity acquired in the delayed saccade task. We inspected activity in the visual, delay, and perisaccadic epochs of the task. The distribution of target locations was guided by the spatial selectivity of simultaneously recorded neurons in the SC (see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib63">Stine et al., 2023</xref>, for details). Briefly, after identifying the location of the SC response fields, we randomly presented saccade targets within this location and seven other, equally spaced locations at the same eccentricity. In monkey J, we also included 1–3 additional eccentricities, spanning 5–16 degrees. Neurons were classified as <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf322"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> if they displayed a clear, spatially selective response in at least one epoch to one of the two locations occupied by the choice targets in the main task. Neurons that switched their spatial selectivity in different epochs were not classified as <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf323"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. The classification was conducted before the analyses of activity in the motion discrimination task. The procedure was meant to mimic those used in earlier single-neuron studies of LIP (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib49">Roitman and Shadlen, 2002</xref>) in which the location of the choice targets was determined online by the qualitative spatial selectivity of the neuron under study. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf324"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons in the present study were highly selective for either the contralateral or ipsilateral choice target used in the RDM task (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf325"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">A</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">U</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.89</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.01</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> for 97% of neurons, Wilcoxon rank-sum test). Given the sparse sampling of saccade target locations, we are unable to supply a quantitative estimate of the center and spatial extent of the RFs. We next describe the methods to establish the coding directions.</p></sec><sec id="s4-8"><title>Ramp direction</title><p>We applied linear regression to generate a signal that best approximates a linear ramp, on each trial, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf326"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, that terminates with a saccade to the choice target contralateral to the hemisphere of the LIP recordings. The ramps are defined in the epoch spanning the decision time: each ramp begins at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf327"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf328"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s after motion onset, and ends at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf329"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf330"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mtext>sac</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.05</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s (i.e., 50 ms before saccade initiation). The ramps are sampled every 25 ms and concatenated using all eligible trials to construct a long saw-tooth function (see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2s1">Figure 2—figure supplement 1</xref>). The regression solves for the weights assigned to each neuron such that the weighted sum of the activity of all neurons best approximates the saw-tooth. We constructed a time series of standardized neural activity, sampled identically to the saw-tooth. The spike times from each neuron are represented as delta functions (rasters) and convolved with a non-causal 25 ms boxcar filter. The mean and standard deviation of all sampled values of activity were used to standardize the activity for each neuron (i.e., Z-transform). The coefficients derived from the regression establish the vector of weights that define <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf331"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The algorithm ensures that the population signal <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf332"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, but not necessarily individual neurons, have amplitudes ranging from approximately -1 to 1.</p><p>We employed a lasso linear regression with <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf333"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.005</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The vector of weights assigned across the neurons defines a direction in NSS, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf334"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, which we use to render the signal <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf335"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on single trials by projecting the data onto this direction. To determine the effect of the regularization term in the lasso regression, we recomputed single-trial signals using standard linear regression, without regularization. We then calculated the Pearson correlation between single-trial traces generated by projecting neural data onto the two coding directions (i.e., with and without regularization). The high correlation between single-trial traces (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf336"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>mean</mml:mtext><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.99</mml:mn><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mtext>, across sessions</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) indicates that the findings are not a result of the regularization applied. Here and elsewhere we compute the mean <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf337"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> using the Fisher-z transform, such that<disp-formula id="equ4"><label>(4)</label><mml:math id="m4"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">¯</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi><mml:mtext>inv</mml:mtext></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>𝔼</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf338"><mml:msup><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi><mml:mtext>inv</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> is the inverse Fisher-z.</p></sec><sec id="s4-9"><title>Principal component analysis (PCA)</title><p>We applied standard PCA to the firing rate averages for each neuron using all trials sharing the same signed motion coherence in the shorter of two epochs: 200 ms to either 600 ms after motion onset or 100 ms before the median RT for the signed coherence, whichever produces the shorter interval. The results of the PCA indicate that the dimensionality of the data is low, but greater than 1. The participation ratio is 4.4 ± 1.3 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib39">Mazzucato et al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib21">Gao et al., 2017</xref>) and the first three PCs explain 67.1 ± 3.1% of the variance on average (mean ± s.e.m. across sessions). As in all other analyses of neural activity aligned to motion onset, we exclude data in the 100 ms epoch ending at saccade initiation on each trial. We projected the neural data onto the first PC to generate the signal <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf339"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></sec><sec id="s4-10"><title>Choice decoder</title><p>For each experimental session, we trained logistic choice decoders with lasso regularization (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf340"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.01</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) on the population activity in 50 ms time bins spanning the first 500 ms after motion onset and the 300 ms epoch ending at saccade initiation, respectively. Each of the decoders was trained on the even-numbered trials. Decoder accuracy was cross-validated using the activity of held-out, odd trials at the same time point (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4a</xref>). For the time bins aligned to motion onset, we also assessed the accuracy of the decoders trained on each of the time bins to predict the choice on time bins on which they were not trained (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4b</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib31">King and Dehaene, 2014</xref>). We use the decoder trained on the bin centered on <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf341"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>450</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms to define the <italic>What</italic> coding direction. We refer to this as the <italic>fixed training-time</italic> decoder to distinguish it from the standard machine-learning decoder, which assigns a potentially distinct vector of weights at each time point. We applied a similar analysis to simulated data (see ‘Simulated DVs<italic>’</italic>) to generate the black curve in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4a</xref>. Assuming a stochastic drift-diffusion process giving rise to choice and response times, the exercise establishes a rough upper bound on decoder accuracy, were the actual drift-diffusion process known precisely.</p></sec><sec id="s4-11"><title>When decoder</title><p>This decoder is trained to predict whether a saccade to the left (contralateral) choice target will occur within the next 150 ms. We applied logistic regression with lasso regularization (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf342"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.01</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) to spike counts from each neuron in discrete bins of 25 ms, from 200 ms before motion onset to 50 ms before the saccade. We used only trials ending in a left choice (including errors) and trained the decoder on the even numbered half of those trials. The concatenation of these trials forms a sequence of step functions which are set to 1 if a saccade occurred within 150 ms of the start of the 25 ms time bin and 0 otherwise (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4s1">Figure 4—figure supplement 1</xref>).</p><p>The spike counts were also concatenated across these trials to construct column vectors (one per neuron) that match the vector of concatenated step functions. These concatenated vectors, one per neuron, plus an offset (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf343"><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>), serve as the independent variables of the regression model (one <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf344"><mml:mi>β</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> term per neuron). The proportion of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf345"><mml:mi>β</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> weights equal to zero, controlled by the lasso parameter, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf346"><mml:mi>λ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, was <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf347"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.8</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.02</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> across sessions. The weights define the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf348"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> coding direction, which yields single-trial signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf349"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The When-decoder signal is <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf350"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. We validated the When-decoder by computing the area under an ROC (AUC) using the held-out (odd-numbered) trials ending in left choices (mean AUC over all time points and sessions: <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf351"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.84</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.024</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, mean ± s.e.).</p><p>Our motivation, however, was to ascertain whether the <italic>When</italic> coding direction also predicts the monkey’s choices on <italic>all trials</italic>—that is, to perform as a <italic>What</italic> decoder. To this end, we predicted the choice using the sign of the detrended <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf352"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, formed by subtracting the average of the signal using all trials:<disp-formula id="equ5"><label>(5)</label><mml:math id="m5"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">⟨</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">⟩</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf353"><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">⟨</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">⋯</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">⟩</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> denotes expectation across all trials contributing values at time <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf354"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. The choice accuracy is<disp-formula id="equ6"><mml:math id="m6"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>{</mml:mo><mml:mtable columnalign="left left" rowspacing="4pt" columnspacing="1em"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mtext> </mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">&amp;</mml:mi><mml:mtext> </mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">l</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mtext> </mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">&amp;</mml:mi><mml:mtext> </mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">w</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable><mml:mo fence="true" stretchy="true" symmetric="true"/></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>The green trace in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4a</xref> shows <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf355"><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">⟨</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">⟩</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></sec><sec id="s4-12"><title>Aggregation of data across experimental sessions</title><p>To combine single-trial data across sessions (e.g., <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf356"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), we first normalize activity within each session as follows. Using all trials ending in the same choice, we construct the trial-averaged activity aligned to both motion onset (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf357"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>o</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s) and saccade onset (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf358"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s). This produces four traces. The minimum and maximum values (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf359"><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf360"><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) over all four traces establish the range, zero to one, of the normalized signal:<disp-formula id="equ7"><label>(6)</label><mml:math id="m7"><mml:msup><mml:mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"><mml:mover><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>where lowercase <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf361"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">^</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the normalized signal across trials <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf362"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and time <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf363"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in an individual session.</p></sec><sec id="s4-13"><title>Cosine similarity</title><p>We computed the cosine similarity between the weight vectors that define coding directions <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf364"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf365"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf366"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf367"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>What</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf368"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Mean cosine similarities are portrayed in the heatmap in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4d</xref> and also in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4s3">Figure 4—figure supplement 3</xref>, top, where they are accompanied by error bars. We evaluated the null hypothesis that the mean cosine similarity is ≤0 with <italic>t</italic>-tests. We also performed two control analyses that deploy random coding directions in NSS. For each of the original coding directions, we obtained 1000 random coding directions as random permutations of the weight assignments. The cosine similarities between pairs of such random directions in state space are shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4s3">Figure 4—figure supplement 3</xref>, top. The cumulative distribution of cosine similarities under permutation supports p-values less than 1/1000. In a second control analysis, we used random unit vectors as random coding directions (normal distribution with mean 0 and scaled to unit length).</p></sec><sec id="s4-14"><title>Similarity of single-trial signals</title><p>We calculated Pearson correlation to quantify the similarity of the signals generated by pairs of coding directions, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf369"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf370"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. For each trial, <italic>i</italic>, the detrended signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf371"><mml:msubsup><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf372"><mml:msubsup><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, provide ordered pairs, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf373"><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">{</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf374"><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> indexes successive 50 ms bins between 200 ms after motion onset and 100 ms before saccade initiation. We excluded trials comprising less than four such bins. Each trial gives rise to a correlation coefficient, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf375"><mml:msub><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. We report the mean <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf376"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> using <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ4">Equation 4</xref>. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf377"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-values for comparisons across all pairs of coding directions are summarized in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4">Figure 4e</xref>, and variability across sessions is portrayed in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4s3">Figure 4—figure supplement 3</xref>, bottom. For each pair of CDs and session, we evaluated the null hypothesis, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf378"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi class="ltx_font_mathcaligraphic">ℋ</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">¯</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<italic>t</italic>-test).</p><p>We also performed two control analyses that deploy random CDs in NSS. These analyses control for the possibility that the correlations observed in the signals are explained by pairwise correlations between the neurons, regardless of the signals produced by the weighted sums. (i) We generated sets of single-trial traces <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf379"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>rand</mml:mtext></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> by projecting the neural responses onto random CDs, defined by permuting the weights of each coding direction (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf380"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf381"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf382"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf383"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>What</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf384"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>When</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). For each pair of CDs, we compute within-trial correlations between ordered pairs of trials using the same method applied to the original signals. We repeat this process for a total of 1000 random permutations per pair of CDs, per session. (ii) We sample a pair of random weight vectors from standard normal distributions. Each weight vector has a dimension equal to the number of recorded neurons in the session. The weight vectors are normalized to sum to 1. We generate random CDs using these weights and compute within-trial correlations using the same method applied to the original signals. We repeat this process 1000 times per session. For both analyses, we evaluated the null hypothesis that the observed correlations are not greater than those produced by the random projections (<italic>t</italic>-tests using the Fisher-z transformed correlations). Mean ± stdev of the mean r-values between ordered pairs for both control analyses are summarized in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig4s3">Figure 4—figure supplement 3</xref>, bottom.</p></sec><sec id="s4-15"><title>Leverage of single-trial activity on behavior</title><p>The leverage of single-trial signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf385"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, on choice and RT was assessed using the earliest 300 ms epoch of putative integration (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf386"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s from motion onset), restricting analyses to trials with RTs outside this range (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf387"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.67</mml:mn><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s). The single-trial signals are smoothed with a 50 ms boxcar filter and detrended by subtracting the mean <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf388"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for trials sharing the same motion strength and direction (i.e., signed coherence). The RTs are also expressed as residuals relative to the mean RT, using trials sharing the same signed coherence and choice. We include trials with <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf389"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">|</mml:mo><mml:mtext>coh</mml:mtext><mml:mo stretchy="false">|</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.064</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> that result in choices of the left response target in this analysis. Including trials of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf390"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">|</mml:mo><mml:mtext>coh</mml:mtext><mml:mo stretchy="false">|</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.128</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> produced comparable results. The leverage on RT is the Pearson correlation between the residual signals <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf391"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at each time <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf392"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf393"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> on that trial, where the tilde indicates residual. Correlations were computed per session and then averaged across sessions (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ4">Equation 4</xref>). We also show the correlation at <italic>t</italic> = 0.55 s, using the ordered pairs, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf394"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mo fence="false" stretchy="false">{</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo fence="false" stretchy="false">}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>. We quantify mediation of the leverage of earlier samples by the later sample of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf395"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> by computing partial correlations <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf396"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mo fence="false" stretchy="false">{</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo>∣</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo fence="false" stretchy="false">}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, also notated <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf397"><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo lspace="2.5pt" rspace="2.5pt">∣</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref>. We show this mediation at all time points. We also report a mediation statistic (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf398"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) using the time point 200 ms after the beginning of putative integration (i.e., <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf399"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.4</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>):<disp-formula id="equ8"><label>(7)</label><mml:math id="m8"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext> RT</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.4</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext>  RT</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mspace width="thinmathspace"/><mml:mo>∣</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="thinmathspace"/><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.4</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext>  RT</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>The rationale for using the 400 ms time point is (i) to allow the process to have achieved enough leverage on RT so that a reduction is meaningful and (ii) to preserve a substantial gap between this time and the sample at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf400"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s (e.g., to avoid autocorrelations imposed by smoothing). The rare cases in which there was no negative correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf401"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.4</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and RT were excluded from this summary statistic, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf402"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, because no mediation is possible (Session 2: <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf403"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> &amp; <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf404"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). When combining values of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf405"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> across sessions, we rectify any <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf406"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo>∣</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> to zero. This occurs rarely when the mediated correlation is near zero, typically at early times.</p><p>We compute the leverage on choice, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf407"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Ch</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, using trials with <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf408"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">|</mml:mo><mml:mtext>coh</mml:mtext><mml:mo stretchy="false">|</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.064</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the same time points as for <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf409"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Instead of an R-squared measure, we based <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf410"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Ch</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> on coefficients derived from logistic regression:<disp-formula id="equ9"><label>(8)</label><mml:math id="m9"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1em"/><mml:mn>0.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.5.</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf411"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mtext class="ltx_markedasmath">coh</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> is a set of constants that accounts for the proportion of contralateral choices at each signed motion strength and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf412"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the simple leverage of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf413"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on choice, analogous to simple correlation. The regression analysis was performed separately for each session. The coefficients <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf414"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> were divided by their standard error and then averaged across sessions. This normalization step was implemented to control for potential variation in the magnitude of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf415"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (and therefore of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf416"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) across sessions. Analogous to partial correlation, we include the later time point and fit<disp-formula id="equ10"><label>(9)</label><mml:math id="m10"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>∗</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf417"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the amount of leverage at time <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf418"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> given the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf419"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The regression coefficients <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf420"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> were averaged across sessions after dividing them by the standard error of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf421"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> coefficients obtained from <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ9">Equation 8</xref>. That is, the same normalization factors were used for the mediated and unmediated leverage. The summary statistic for choice mediation is defined by<disp-formula id="equ11"><label>(10)</label><mml:math id="m11"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Ch</mml:mtext></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>{</mml:mo><mml:mtable columnspacing="5pt" displaystyle="true" rowspacing="0pt"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mtd><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mtext>undefined</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>β</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>(</mml:mtext><mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">i.e.</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>, mediation is not possible)</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>For both types of mediation, we also test whether the earlier <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf422"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is mediated by the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf423"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons by substituting <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf424"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf425"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ10">Equation 9</xref> and in the expression for partial correlations.</p><p>Because the mediation statistics, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf426"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf427"><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Ch</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, are, by their definition, non-negative, we assess statistical significance by bootstrapping. For each session, we construct 1000 surrogate data sets equal in size to the original data by sampling with replacement. The standard deviation of the leverage and mediation values at each time approximates the standard error. We compare the distribution of the mediation statistics, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf428"><mml:mi>ζ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, to their distribution under the null hypothesis, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf429"><mml:msub><mml:mi class="ltx_font_mathcaligraphic">ℋ</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, that the values arise by chance, instantiated by breaking the correspondence with the trial giving rise to the later sample, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf430"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.55</mml:mn><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The permutation maintains correspondence in signed motion coherence. We compare the distributions of mediation from the bootstrap and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf431"><mml:msub><mml:mi class="ltx_font_mathcaligraphic">ℋ</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test.</p><p>To test whether the observed leverage of neural activity on choice and RT is achieved by projections onto arbitrary coding directions, we generated random weight vectors by permuting the weights associated with the first PC for each session. We projected activity onto this random coding direction, applied the mediation analyses described above to this signal, and repeated this process 1000 times to produce a null distribution at each time point. The reported p-values represent the probability that the observed leverage was generated from this null distribution.</p><p>We performed a similar analysis to test whether the observed leverage depends on the trial-to-trial correspondence between neural activity and behavior. Here, the null distribution at each time point was generated by randomly permuting the trial indices associated with the neural activity and those associated with the behavioral measures.</p><p>Finally, we used the simulated data from the racing accumulator model to test the degree of leverage and mediation expected had we known the ground-truth DV on each trial (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5s1">Figure 5—figure supplement 1</xref>). Because the simulated DV is noiseless (and the process is Markovian), the mediation is expected to be complete for all time points tested in the analyses. We therefore took two steps to make the simulated data more comparable to neural data: (i) we sub-sampled the simulated data to match the number of trials in each session. (ii) We generated <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf432"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> noisy instantiations of the signal for each of the sub-sampled, simulated trials, where <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf433"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the number of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf434"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons in each session. The added noise is independent across time points and weakly correlated across all <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf435"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> neuron pairs (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf436"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.09</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). We then applied the mediation analyses to the mean of these signals and repeated this process 1000 times.</p><p>We performed three control analyses to determine whether the results of the mediation analysis were specific, meaningful, and comparable to the results obtained for the DV of a race model. To showcase that the results are specific, we generated random weight vectors by permuting the weights of the PC1 coding direction. We repeated this procedure 1000 times per session and projected the data along these directions in NSS to generate <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf437"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>rand</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. We then computed the mediation analyses detailed above on these signals and determined significance by comparing the leverage on choice and correlation with RT of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf438"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf439"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>PC1</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf440"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> to the null distributions of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf441"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>rand</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> at each time point.</p><p>To estimate an upper limit for the degree of possible leverage and mediation, we simulated 60,000 trials using the race model that best fits the behavioral data of monkey M (see ‘Simulated DVs’). For any noise-free representation of a Markovian integration process, the leverage of an early sample of the DV on behavior would be mediated completely by later activity as the latter sample by definition encompasses all variability captured by the earlier sample. We, therefore, took two steps to make the simulated DVs more comparable to real neural data. (i) For each session, we first subsampled the simulated data to match the each session. (ii) To evaluate a DV approximated from the activity of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf442"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons per session rather than the true DV represented by the entire population, we then generated <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf443"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> noisy instantiations of the signal for each simulated trial. The added noise is independent across time points and weakly correlated across neurons (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf444"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.09</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). We then computed the measured DV <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf445"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>sim</mml:mtext></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> as the mean activity of these <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf446"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> simulated neurons. We repeated this procedure 1000 times per session. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5s1">Figure 5—figure supplement 1</xref>, bottom, displays the mean and standard deviation across permutations of the leverage of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf447"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>sim</mml:mtext></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on behavior. The simulation results highlight that we would not expect the mediation of the leverage on behavior by a later sample to be complete (i.e., zero mediated leverage for all <italic>t</italic> &lt; 0.55).</p></sec><sec id="s4-16"><title>Noise correlation between neurons</title><p>The mean pairwise correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf448"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons, reported in ‘Results’, is based on all pairs of simultaneously recorded <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf449"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons in each session and all trials with <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf450"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> s. For each neuron and each trial, we compute the time-averaged activity over the epoch <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf451"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. These scalar values are converted to residuals by subtracting the mean (for each neuron) across all trials sharing the same signed motion coherence. The residuals from all eligible trials are concatenated for each neuron to support the calculation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf452"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Pearson <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf453"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> values, where N is the number of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf454"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons in the session. The mean correlation for all pairs of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf455"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons across all sessions is computed using <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="equ4">Equation 4</xref>.</p></sec><sec id="s4-17"><title>Direction-selective neurons</title><p>We identified DS neurons (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf456"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons) using the passive motion-viewing task (described above). We classified a neuron as <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf457"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> if it satisfies two criteria. The first criterion is a short-latency response to the onset of random dot motion, which we defined as a fivefold increase in firing rate relative to baseline in the first 80 ms following motion onset and a greater increase in the rate of rise in activity in the same 80 ms epoch, compared to any rise in activity in the 200 ms preceding motion onset. The second criterion is direction selectivity. We calculated the area under the ROC (AUC) comparing leftward versus rightward for two separate epochs: (i) <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf458"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.15</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s and (ii) <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf459"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.3</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s. Neurons were determined to be DS if the AUC in either epoch exceeded 0.6. We excluded one neuron from this analysis because it switched its direction preference in the two epochs. We also excluded neurons that had previously been classified as <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf460"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p><p>In total, 6 of the 152 <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf461"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons fall into this group: three per monkey; at most two in a session. Removal of these neurons has negligible effects on the findings as pairs of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf462"><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Tin</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> constructed with and without removal are strongly correlated (<italic>r</italic> = 0.9867).</p></sec><sec id="s4-18"><title>Latency analysis</title><p>We estimated the latency of DS responses using the CUSUM method (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib12">Ellaway, 1978</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib37">Lorteije et al., 2015</xref>). We employed a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to estimate the selectivity of each <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf463"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neuron to motion direction. The AUC reflects the separation of the distributions of spike counts (100–400 ms after motion onset) on single trials of leftward and rightward motion, respectively. We included only correct trials with response times greater than 450 ms and motion strengths above 10% coherence. For each neuron with <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf464"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>AUC</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, we computed the difference in spike counts (25 ms bins) between correct trials featuring leftward and rightward motion. Subsequently, we accumulated these differences over time, following the CUSUM method. The resulting difference is approximately zero before the onset of direction selectivity and then either increases or decreases monotonically, depending on the preferred motion direction. To identify the transition between these two regimes, we fit a dog leg function to the cumulative sum of spikes: a flat line starting at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf465"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> followed by a linearly increasing component beginning at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf466"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The time of the end of the flat portion (between 0 and 500 ms from motion onset) of the fit was taken as the latency. Estimating latencies based on cumulative sums of spikes helps mitigate the effect of neuronal noise. The fitting step reduces the effect of the number of trials on latency estimates compared to traditional methods that rely on <italic>t</italic>-tests in moving windows.</p></sec><sec id="s4-19"><title>Correlations between <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf467"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf468"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula></title><p>The analysis of the correlations shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6e</xref> is based on the spike counts of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf469"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>left</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf470"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>right</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf471"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons calculated in 25 ms windows. We computed residuals by subtracting from each trial and time bin its average over trials of the same signed coherence. The spike count residuals were then z-scored independently for each time bin and session. Trials from different sessions were concatenated, and the baseline activity—last 100 ms before motion onset—was subtracted from each trial. We refer to the resulting signals as <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf472"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">l</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf473"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf474"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>. Trials with response time less than 0.55 s were discarded, and the correlations between the difference, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf475"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">l</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf476"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">T</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> ,were calculated for all pairs of time steps between 0 and 500 ms (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6e</xref>). Statistical significance was assessed using permutation tests, as follows. Two regions of interest (ROIs) were defined based on the time from stimulus onset for the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf477"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf478"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf479"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf480"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) dimensions. The first region of interest, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf481"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>ROI</mml:mtext><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, is characterized by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf482"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf483"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>200</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf484"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. According to our hypothesis that the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf485"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons represent the momentary evidence integrated by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf486"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>con</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons, we anticipated high correlations in this region. The second region of interest, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf487"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>ROI</mml:mtext><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, is defined by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf488"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf489"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>200</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf490"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. If contrary to our hypothesis <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf491"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf492"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> signals were influencing each other bidirectionally, we would expect high correlations in this region. We calculated the difference in correlations between these two groups, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf493"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">⟨</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>ROI1</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">⟩</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">⟨</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>ρ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>ROI2</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">⟩</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, where the expectation is over the time bins within each region of interest. This difference was compared to those obtained after randomly shuffling the order of the trials for one of the dimensions before calculating the pairwise correlations (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf494"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mtext>shuffles</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>200</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). We assess significance with a <italic>z</italic>-test given the mean and standard deviation of the values obtained under shuffling. The analysis was repeated with an alternative <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf495"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>ROI</mml:mtext><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> defined by <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf496"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf497"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn>200</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, representing the times before direction selectivity is present in at least one of the two dimensions.</p></sec><sec id="s4-20"><title>Correlations between <italic><inline-formula><mml:math id="inf498"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula></italic> signals and behavior</title><p>To assess the leverage of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf499"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext> in</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> signals on choice and RT (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig6">Figure 6d</xref>), we performed the same logistic regression and pairwise correlation analyses as in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig5">Figure 5</xref>, substituting the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf500"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>left</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf501"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>right</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> for <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf502"><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The leverage on choice is not mediated by a later sample of either <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf503"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> signal (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf504"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>ξ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>Ch</mml:mtext></mml:msup><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>9.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>%</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; not shown), and there is negligible leverage on RT to mediate. We suspect the failure to detect leverage of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf505"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is explained by a lack of power, owing to the focus on long RT trials, narrow sample windows (50 ms boxcar), and the small number of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf506"><mml:msubsup><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>left</mml:mtext></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf507"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext> in</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext> right</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons. We support this suspicion with a simpler correlation analysis using the difference of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf508"><mml:msub><mml:mtext>M</mml:mtext><mml:mtext>in</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> signals (standardized as in the previous paragraph):<disp-formula id="equ12"><label>(11)</label><mml:math id="m12"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>ψ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">l</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mover><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">~</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>on the interval <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf509"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0.1</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> s from motion onset, on each trial, <italic>k</italic>, including trials with contraversive choices and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf510"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>RT</mml:mtext><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn>500</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms. We calculated the Pearson correlation coefficient between <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf511"><mml:msub><mml:mi>ψ</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and RT. Response times were z-scored independently for each signed motion strength and session. We evaluated the null hypothesis that the correlation coefficient is non-negative. The reported p-value is based on a one-tailed <italic>t</italic>-statistic.</p></sec><sec id="s4-21"><title>Variance and autocorrelation of smoothed diffusion signals</title><p>The analyses in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref> compare the variance and autocorrelation of the single-trial signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf512"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, to those expected from unbounded drift-diffusion. To mitigate the effect of the bound, we focus on the earliest epoch of putative integration (200–506 ms after motion onset; six 51 ms counting windows) and the weakest motion strengths (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf513"><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">|</mml:mo><mml:mtext>coh</mml:mtext><mml:mo stretchy="false">|</mml:mo><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>3.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>%</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The single-trial signals are detrended by the mean across trials sharing the same signed motion coherence and baseline corrected by subtraction of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf514"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>ramp</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.2</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from all time points on each trial <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf515"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p><p>The variance as a function of time and the autocorrelation as a function of time and lag are well specified for the cumulative sum of discrete <italic>iid</italic> random samples, but the autocorrelation is affected by the boxcar filter we applied to render the signals. We incorporated the correction in our characterization of unbounded diffusion. The derivation is summarized in Appendix 1, and we provide MATLAB code in the GitHub repository. The theoretical values shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref> assume a 1 kHz sampling rate and standard Wiener process (i.e., samples drawn from a normal distribution with <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf516"><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">{</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>μ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). The evolution of variance would be a line from 0 to 1 over the first second of integration. The key prediction, shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3a</xref>, is that the variance of mean single-trial signals, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf517"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, over the epoch <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf518"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>26</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn> 25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms should double in the epoch <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf519"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>26</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>51</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn>25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms, and triple in the epoch (<inline-formula><mml:math id="inf520"><mml:mrow><mml:mn>26</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mn>51</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn>25</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ms), and so on for each successive non-overlapping running mean. We therefore use arbitrary units, normalized to the measured variance of the first point. We do not know the variance of the drift-diffusion signal that <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf521"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is thought to approximate, but we assume it can be decomposed—by the law of total variance—to a component given by drift-diffusion and components associated with spiking and other nuisance factors. We therefore search for a scalar non-negative factor <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf522"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> that multiplies all terms in the diagonal of the empirical covariance matrix (i.e., the variance) before normalizing to produce the autocorrelation matrix. We search for the value of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf523"><mml:mi>ϕ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> that minimizes the sum of squares between Fisher-z transformed correlation coefficients in the theoretical and empirical autocorrelation matrices (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3b and c</xref>). Standard errors of the variance and autocorrelations in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3a and c</xref> are estimated by a bootstrap procedure respecting the composition of motion strength and direction (the s.e. is standard deviation of each variance and autocorrelation term across 500 repetitions of the procedure.</p></sec></sec></body><back><sec sec-type="additional-information" id="s5"><title>Additional information</title><fn-group content-type="competing-interest"><title>Competing interests</title><fn fn-type="COI-statement" id="conf1"><p>No competing interests declared</p></fn><fn fn-type="COI-statement" id="conf2"><p>consultant to CTRL- Labs Inc, in the Reality Labs Division of Meta. This entity did not support or influence this work</p></fn></fn-group><fn-group content-type="author-contribution"><title>Author contributions</title><fn fn-type="con" id="con1"><p>Conceptualization, Data curation, Software, Formal analysis, Validation, Visualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Project administration, Writing – review and editing</p></fn><fn fn-type="con" id="con2"><p>Conceptualization, Data curation, Software, Formal analysis, Investigation, Visualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review and editing</p></fn><fn fn-type="con" id="con3"><p>Resources, Supervision, Methodology, Writing – review and editing</p></fn><fn fn-type="con" id="con4"><p>Conceptualization, Data curation, Software, Formal analysis, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review and editing</p></fn><fn fn-type="con" id="con5"><p>Conceptualization, Software, Formal analysis, Visualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review and editing</p></fn><fn fn-type="con" id="con6"><p>Conceptualization, Resources, Data curation, Software, Formal analysis, Supervision, Funding acquisition, Validation, Visualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Project administration, Writing – review and editing</p></fn></fn-group><fn-group content-type="ethics-information"><title>Ethics</title><fn fn-type="other"><p>All training, surgery, and experimental procedures complied with guidelines from the National Institutes of Health and were approved by the Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee at Columbia University (protocols AAAN4900 and AC-AAAW4454).</p></fn></fn-group></sec><sec sec-type="supplementary-material" id="s6"><title>Additional files</title><supplementary-material id="mdar"><label>MDAR checklist</label><media xlink:href="elife-90859-mdarchecklist1-v1.docx" mimetype="application" mime-subtype="docx"/></supplementary-material></sec><sec sec-type="data-availability" id="s7"><title>Data availability</title><p>Matlab code for all analyses and graphs are available at <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://github.com/Nat-Stein/LIP_single_trial_decision_variable">GitHub</ext-link> (copy archived at <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib61">Steinemann, 2024</xref>). The data are deposited at <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13207505">Zenodo</ext-link>.</p><p>The following dataset was generated:</p><p><element-citation publication-type="data" specific-use="isSupplementedBy" id="dataset1"><person-group person-group-type="author"><name><surname>Steinemann</surname><given-names>NA</given-names></name><name><surname>Stine</surname><given-names>GM</given-names></name><name><surname>Trautmann</surname><given-names>EM</given-names></name><name><surname>Zylberberg</surname><given-names>A</given-names></name><name><surname>Wolpert</surname><given-names>DM</given-names></name><name><surname>Shadlen</surname><given-names>MN</given-names></name></person-group><source>Zenodo</source><year iso-8601-date="2024">2024</year><data-title>Data for &quot;Direct observation of the neural computations underlying a single decision&quot;</data-title><pub-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5281/zenodo.13207505</pub-id></element-citation></p></sec><ack id="ack"><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>We thank Shushruth, NaYoung So, and David Gruskin for comments on the manuscript, Cornel Duhaney and Brian Madeira for their assistance in the planning and execution of surgeries, animal training and general support, and we thank Columbia University’s ICM for the quality of care they provide for our animals, especially during the pandemic and lockdown. We would further like to thank Tanya Tabachnik and her team at the Zuckerman Institute Advanced Instrumentation Core and Tim Harris, Wei-lung Sun, Jennifer Colonell, and Bill Karsh at HHMI Janelia for their continued support with Neuropixels1.0-NHP45 probes development and testing. This research was supported by the Howard Hughes Medical Institute; an R01 grant from the NIH Brain Initiative (MNS, R01NS113113); a T32 and F31 grant from the National Eye Institute (GMS, T32 EY013933, F31 EY032791); the Grossman center; and the Brain and Behavior Research Foundation. DMW is a consultant to CTRL-Labs Inc, in the Reality Labs Division of Meta. 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publication-type="journal"><person-group person-group-type="author"><name><surname>Zhang</surname><given-names>Z</given-names></name><name><surname>Yin</surname><given-names>C</given-names></name><name><surname>Yang</surname><given-names>T</given-names></name></person-group><year iso-8601-date="2022">2022</year><article-title>Evidence accumulation occurs locally in the parietal cortex</article-title><source>Nature Communications</source><volume>13</volume><elocation-id>4426</elocation-id><pub-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1038/s41467-022-32210-6</pub-id><pub-id pub-id-type="pmid">35907908</pub-id></element-citation></ref></ref-list><app-group><app id="appendix-1"><title>Appendix 1</title><p>We consider a discrete time (sampling interval <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf524"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) Wiener process with independent random increments <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf525"><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> on time step <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf526"><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> that are zero-mean noise with variance <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf527"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>σ</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (i.e., unit variance per second). The accumulated evidence (i.e., decision variable, DV) on time step <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf528"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is<disp-formula id="equ13"><label>(12)</label><mml:math id="m13"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>For such a Wiener process,<disp-formula id="equ14"><mml:math id="m14"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>As the increments <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf529"><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> are independent across time, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf530"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mtext>Cov</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> is 0 for <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf531"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>≠</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf532"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf533"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><disp-formula id="equ15"><mml:math id="m15"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo movablelimits="true" form="prefix">min</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo movablelimits="true" form="prefix">min</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>We define the mean DV over a window of <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf534"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> points as<disp-formula id="equ16"><label>(13)</label><mml:math id="m16"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>We consider two time points <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf535"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with window <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf536"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> such that there is no overlap and hence <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf537"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><disp-formula id="equ17"><mml:math id="m17"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ18"><mml:math id="m18"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ19"><mml:math id="m19"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="true" form="prefix">min</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ20"><mml:math id="m20"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ21"><mml:math id="m21"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ22"><mml:math id="m22"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">V</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">V</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ23"><mml:math id="m23"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ24"><mml:math id="m24"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ25"><mml:math id="m25"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="true" form="prefix">min</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ26"><mml:math id="m26"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="true" form="prefix">min</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>Given that <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf538"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="true" form="prefix">min</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msup><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mn>6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula><disp-formula id="equ27"><mml:math id="m27"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">V</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>4</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mn>6</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ28"><mml:math id="m28"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>6</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>Therefore, the correlation<disp-formula id="equ29"><mml:math id="m29"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">V</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">V</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ30"><mml:math id="m30"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>6</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>6</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>In contrast for the point estimates at <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf539"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf540"><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula><disp-formula id="equ31"><mml:math id="m31"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mfrac><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p><p>It is useful to re-express the above two equations in terms of actual time <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf541"><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf542"><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and window size <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf543"><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. Substituting for <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf544"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf545"><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf546"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> with <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf547"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf548"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="inf549"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>⁢</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula><disp-formula id="equ32"><mml:math id="m32"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>6</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>6</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula><disp-formula id="equ33"><mml:math 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id="equ34"><mml:math id="m34"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">C</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>D</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mfrac><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mfrac></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p></app></app-group></back><sub-article article-type="editor-report" id="sa0"><front-stub><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7554/eLife.90859.3.sa0</article-id><title-group><article-title>eLife assessment</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Donner</surname><given-names>Tobias H</given-names></name><role specific-use="editor">Reviewing Editor</role><aff><institution>University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf</institution><country>Germany</country></aff></contrib></contrib-group><kwd-group kwd-group-type="evidence-strength"><kwd>Convincing</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group kwd-group-type="claim-importance"><kwd>Fundamental</kwd></kwd-group></front-stub><body><p>This <bold>fundamental</bold> work quantifies the stochastic dynamics of neural population activity in the lateral intraparietal area (LIP) of the macaque monkey brain during single perceptual decisions. These single-trial dynamics have been subject to intense debate in neuroscience, and they have significant implications for modeling decision-making in various fields including neuroscience and psychology. Through a combination of state-of-the-art recordings from many LIP neurons and theory-driven data analyses, the authors provide <bold>convincing</bold> evidence for the notion that single-trial neural population dynamics in LIP encode the decision variable postulated by the drift-diffusion model of decision-making.</p></body></sub-article><sub-article article-type="referee-report" id="sa1"><front-stub><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7554/eLife.90859.3.sa1</article-id><title-group><article-title>Reviewer #1 (Public Review):</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><anonymous/><role specific-use="referee">Reviewer</role></contrib></contrib-group></front-stub><body><p>Summary:</p><p>In this paper, Steinemann et al. characterized the nature of stochastic signals underlying the trial-averaged responses observed in lateral intraparietal cortex (LIP) of non-human primates (NHPs), while these performed the widely used random dot direction discrimination task. Ramp-up dynamics in the trial averaged LIP responses were reported in numerous papers before. But the temporal dynamics of these signals at the single-trial level have been subject to debate. Using large scale neuronal recordings with Neuropixels in NHPs, allows the authors to settle this debate rather compellingly. They show that drift-diffusion like computations account well for the observed dynamics in LIP.</p><p>Strengths:</p><p>This work uses innovative technical approaches (Neuropixel recordings in behaving macaque monkeys). The authors tackle a vexing question that requires measurements of simultaneous neuronal population activity and hence leverage this advanced recording technique in a convincing way.</p><p>They use different population decoding strategies to help interpret the results.</p><p>They also compare how decoders relying on the data-driven approach using dimensionality reduction of the full neural population space compares to decoders relying on more traditional ways to categorize neurons that are based on hypotheses about their function. Intriguingly, although the functionally identified neurons are a modest fraction of the population, decoders that only rely on this fraction achieve comparable decoding performance to those relying on the full population. Moreover, decoding weights for the full population did not allow the authors to reliably identify the functionally identified subpopulation.</p><p>The revision addressed the minor weaknesses to our satisfaction.</p></body></sub-article><sub-article article-type="referee-report" id="sa2"><front-stub><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7554/eLife.90859.3.sa2</article-id><title-group><article-title>Reviewer #2 (Public Review):</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><anonymous/><role specific-use="referee">Reviewer</role></contrib></contrib-group></front-stub><body><p>Steinemann, Stine, and their co-authors studied the noisy accumulation of sensory evidence during perceptual decision-making using Neuropixels recordings in awake, behaving monkeys. Previous work has largely focused on describing the neural underpinnings through which sensory evidence accumulates to inform decisions, a process which on average resembles the systematic drift of a scalar decision variable toward an evidence threshold. The additional order of magnitude in recording throughput permitted by the methodology adopted in this work offers two opportunities to extend this understanding. First, larger-scale recordings allow for the study of relationships between the population activity state and behavior without averaging across trials. The authors' observation here of covariation between the trial-to-trial fluctuations of activity and behavior (choice, reaction time) constitutes interesting new evidence for the claim that neural populations in LIP encode the behaviorally-relevant internal decision variable. Second, using Neuropixels allows the authors to sample LIP neurons with more diverse response properties (e.g. spatial RF location, motion direction selectivity), making the important question of how decision-related computations are structured in LIP amenable to study. For these reasons, the dataset collected in this study is unique and potentially quite valuable. This revised manuscript addresses a number of questions regarding analyses which were unclear in the original manuscript, and as a result the study is a strong contribution toward our understanding of neural mechanisms of decision making.</p></body></sub-article><sub-article article-type="author-comment" id="sa3"><front-stub><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7554/eLife.90859.3.sa3</article-id><title-group><article-title>Author response</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Shadlen</surname><given-names>Michael N</given-names></name><role specific-use="author">Author</role><aff><institution>Columbia University</institution><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New York</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Stine</surname><given-names>Gabriel M</given-names></name><role specific-use="author">Author</role><aff><institution>Columbia University</institution><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New York</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Steinemann</surname><given-names>Natalie</given-names></name><role specific-use="author">Author</role><aff><institution>Columbia University</institution><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New York</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Zylberberg</surname><given-names>Ariel</given-names></name><role specific-use="author">Author</role><aff><institution>Columbia University</institution><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New York</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Trautmann</surname><given-names>Eric</given-names></name><role specific-use="author">Author</role><aff><institution>Columbia University</institution><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New York</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Wolpert</surname><given-names>Daniel M</given-names></name><role specific-use="author">Author</role><aff><institution>Columbia University</institution><addr-line><named-content content-type="city">New York</named-content></addr-line><country>United States</country></aff></contrib></contrib-group></front-stub><body><p>The following is the authors’ response to the original reviews.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p><bold>Public Reviews:</bold></p><p><bold>Reviewer #1 (Public Review):</bold></p><p>Summary:</p><p>In this paper, Steinemann et al. characterized the nature of stochastic signals underlying the trial-averaged responses observed in the lateral intraparietal cortex (LIP) of non-human primates (NHPs), while these performed the widely used random dot direction discrimination task. Ramp-up dynamics in the trial averaged LIP responses were reported in numerous papers before. However, the temporal dynamics of these signals at the single-trial level have been subject to debate. Using large-scale neuronal recordings with Neuropixels in NHPs, allows the authors to settle this debate rather compellingly. They show that drift-diffusion-like computations account well for the observed dynamics in LIP.</p><p>Strengths:</p><p>This work uses innovative technical approaches (Neuropixel recordings in behaving macaque monkeys). The authors tackle a vexing question that requires measurements of simultaneous neuronal population activity and hence leverage this advanced recording technique in a convincing way</p><p>They use different population decoding strategies to help interpret the results.</p><p>They also compare how decoders relying on the data-driven approach using dimensionality reduction of the full neural population space compare to decoders relying on more traditional ways to categorize neurons that are based on hypotheses about their function. Intriguingly, although the functionally identified neurons are a modest fraction of the population, decoders that only rely on this fraction achieve comparable decoding performance to those relying on the full population. Moreover, decoding weights for the full population did not allow the authors to reliably identify the functionally identified subpopulation.</p><p>Weaknesses:</p><p>No major weaknesses beyond a few, largely clarification issues, detailed below.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank Reviewer 1 (R1) for this summary. The revised manuscript incorporates R1’s suggestions, as detailed below.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p><bold>Reviewer #2 (Public Review):</bold></p><p>Steinemann, Stine, and their co-authors studied the noisy accumulation of sensory evidence during perceptual decision-making using Neuropixels recordings in awake, behaving monkeys. Previous work has largely focused on describing the neural underpinnings through which sensory evidence accumulates to inform decisions, a process which on average resembles the systematic drift of a scalar decision variable toward an evidence threshold. The additional order of magnitude in recording throughput permitted by the methodology adopted in this work offers two opportunities to extend this understanding. First, larger-scale recordings allow for the study of relationships between the population activity state and behavior without averaging across trials. The authors’ observation here of covariation between the trial-to-trial fluctuations of activity and behavior (choice, reaction time) constitutes interesting new evidence for the claim that neural populations in LIP encode the behaviorally-relevant internal decision variable. Second, using Neuropixels allows the authors to sample LIP neurons with more diverse response properties (e.g. spatial RF location, motion direction selectivity), making the important question of how decision-related computations are structured in LIP amenable to study. For these reasons, the dataset collected in this study is unique and potentially quite valuable.</p><p>However, the analyses at present do not convincingly support two of the manuscript’s key claims: (1) that ‘sophisticated analyses of the full neuronal state space’ and ‘a simple average of Tconin neurons’ yield roughly equivalent representations of the decision variable; and (2) that direction-selective units in LIP provide the samples of instantaneous evidence that these Tconin neurons integrate. Supporting claim (1) would require results from sophisticated population analyses leveraging the full neuronal state space; however, the current analyses instead focus almost exclusively on 1D projections of the data. Supporting claim (2) convincingly would require larger samples of units overlapping the motion stimulus, as well as additional control analyses.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer (R2) for their careful reading of our paper and the many useful suggestions.</p><p>As detailed below, the revised manuscript incorporates new control analyses, improved quantification, and statistical rigor, which now provide compelling support for key claim #1. We do not regard claim #2 as a key claim of the paper. It is an intriguing finding with solid support, worthy of dissemination and further investigation. We have clarified the writing on this matter.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>Specific shortcomings are addressed in further detail below:</p><p>(1) The key analysis-correlation between trial-by-trial activity fluctuations and behavior, presented in Figure 5 is opaque, and would be more convincing with negative controls. To strengthen the claim that the relationship between fluctuations in (a projection of) activity and fluctuations in behavior is significant/meaningful, some evidence should be brought that this relationship is specific - e.g. do all projections of activity give rise to this relationship (or not), or what level of leverage is achieved with respect to choice/RT when the trial-by-trial correspondence with activity is broken by shuffling.</p></disp-quote><p>We do not understand why R2 finds the analysis opaque, but we are grateful for the lucid recommendations. The relationships between fluctuations in neural activity and behavior are indeed ‘specific’ in the sense that R2 uses this term. In addition to the shuffle control, which destroys both relationships (Reviewer Figure 1), we performed additional control analyses that preserve the correspondence of neural signals and behavior on the same trial. We generated random coding directions (CDs) by establishing weight vectors that were either chosen from a standard normal distribution or by permuting the weights assigned to PC-1 in each session. The latter is the more conservative measure. Projections of the neural responses onto these random coding directions render 𝑆rand(𝑡). Specifically, the degree of leverage is effectively zero or greatly reduced. These analyses are summarized in a new Supplementary Figure S10. The bottom row of Figure S10 also addresses the question, “What degree of leverage and mediation would be expected for a theoretical decision variable?” This is accomplished by simulating decision variables using the drift-diffusion model fits in Figure 1c. The simulation is consistent with the leverage and (incomplete) mediation observed for the populations of Tcon neurons. For details see Methods, Simulated decision variables and Leverage of single-trial activity on behavior.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(2) The choice to perform most analysis on 1D projections of population activity is not wholly appropriate for this unique type of dataset, limiting the novelty of the findings, and the interpretation of similarity between results across choices of projection appears circular:</p></disp-quote><p>We disagree with the characterization of our argument as circular, but R2 raises several important points that will probably occur to other careful readers. We address them as subpoints 2.1–2.4, below. Importantly, we are neither claiming nor assuming that the LIP population activity is one-dimensional. We have revised the paper to avoid giving this impression. We are also not claiming that the average of Tin neurons (or the 1D projections) explains all features of the LIP population, nor would we expect it to, given the diversity of response fields across the population. Our objective is to identify the specific dimension within population activity that captures the decision variable (DV), which has been characterized successfully as a one-dimensional stochastic process—that is, a scalar function of time. We have endeavored to clarify our thinking on this point in the revised manuscript (e.g., lines 97–98, 103–104).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(2.1) The bulk of the analyses (Figure 2, Figure 3, part of Figure 4, Figure 5, Figure 6) operate on one of several 1D projections of simultaneously recorded activity. Unless the embedding dimension of these datasets really does not exceed 1 (dimensionality using e.g. participation ratio in each session is not quantified), it is likely that these projections elide meaningful features of LIP population activity.</p></disp-quote><p>We now report the participation ratio (4.4 ± 0.4, mean ± s.e. across sessions), and we state that the first 3 PCs explain 67.1±3.1% of the variance of time- and coherence-dependent signals used for the PCA. We agree that the 1D projections may elide meaningful features of LIP population activity. Indeed, we make this point through our analysis of the Min neurons. We do not claim that the 1D projections explain all of the meaningful features of LIP population activity. They do, however, reveal the decision variable, which is our main focus. These 1D signals contain features that correlate with events in the superior colliculus, summarized in Stine et al. (2023), attesting to their biological relevance.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(2.2) Further, the observed similarity of results across these 1D projections may not be meaningful/interpretable. First, the rationale behind deriving Sramp was based on the ramping historically observed in Tin neurons during this task, so should be expected to resemble Tin.</p></disp-quote><p>The Reviewer is correct that we would expect 𝑆ramp to resemble the ramping observed in Tin neurons. We refer to this approach as hypothesis-driven. It captures the drift component of drift-diffusion. It is true that the Tcon neurons exhibit such ramps in their trial average firing rates, but this does not guarantee in that the single-trial population firing rates would manifest as drift-diffusion. Indeed Latimer et al. (2015) concluded that the ramp-like averages comprise stepping from a low to a high firing rate on each trial at a random time. Therefore, while R2 is right to characterize the similarity of Tcon to the ramp direction in in trial-averaged activity as unsurprising, their similarity on single trials is not guaranteed.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(2.3) Second, Tin comprises the largest fraction of the neuron groups sampled during most sessions, so SPC1 should resemble Tin too. The finding that decision variables derived from the whole population’s activity reduce essentially to the average of Tin neurons is thus at least in part ’baked in’ to the approach used for deriving the decision variables.</p></disp-quote><p>This is incorrect. The Tcon in neurons constitute only 14.5% of the population, on average, across the sessions (see Table 1). This misunderstanding might contribute to R2’s concern about the importance of these neurons in shaping PC1. It is not simply because they are over-represented. Also, addressing R2’s concern about circularity, we would like to remind R2 that the selection of Tin neurons was based only on their spatial selectivity in the delayed saccade task. We do not see how it could be baked-in/guaranteed that a simple average of these neurons (i.e. zero degrees of freedom) yields dynamics and behavioral correlations that match those produced by dimensionality-reduction techniques that (𝑖) have degrees of freedom equal to the number of neurons and (𝑖𝑖) are blind to the neurons’ spatial selectivity. We have additionally modified what is now Supplementary Figure S13 (old Supplementary Figure S8), which portrays the mean accuracy of choice decoders trained on the neural activity of all neurons, only Tin neurons, all but the Tin neurons, and all but Tin and Min neurons, respectively. Figure S13 now highlights how much more readily choice can be decoded from the small population of Tin neurons than the remainder of the population.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(2.4) The analysis presented in Figure S6 looks like an attempt to demonstrate that this isn’t the case, but is opaque. Are the magnitudes of weights assigned to units in Tin larger than in the other groups of units with preselected response properties? What is their mean weighting magnitude, in comparison with the mean weight magnitude assigned to other groups? What is the null level of correspondence observed between weight magnitude and assignment to Tin (e.g. a negative control, where the identities of units are scrambled)?</p></disp-quote><p>The revised Figure S6—what is now Figure S9—displays more clearly that the weights assigned to Tcon and Tips neurons (purple &amp; yellow, respectively) are larger in magnitude than those assigned in in to other neurons (gray). Author response table 1 shows a more detailed breakdown of the groups. Note that the length of the vector of weights is one. We are unsure what R2 means by ‘the null level of correspondence.’ Perhaps it helps to know that the mean weight of the ‘other neurons’ is close to zero for all four coding directions. However, it is the overlap of the weights and the relative abundance of non-Tin neurons that is more germane to the point we are making. To wit, knowing the weight (or percentile) of a neuron is a poor predictor that it belongs to the Tin category. This point is most clearly supported by the logistic regression (Fig. S9, bottom row). In other words, the large group of non-Tin neurons contribute substantially to all four coding directions examined in Figure S9. Thus, the similarity between Tin neurons and PC1 is not simply due to an over-representation of Tin neurons as suggested in item 2.3.</p><table-wrap id="sa3table1" position="float"><label>Author response table 1.</label><caption><title>Mean weights assigned to neuron classes in four coding directions.</title></caption><table frame="hsides" rules="groups"><thead><tr><th valign="bottom">Neuron class</th><th valign="bottom">Sramp</th><th valign="bottom">SPC1</th><th valign="bottom">SWhen</th><th valign="bottom">SWhat</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">wTinC</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.073</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.093</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.063</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.059</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">wTinI</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">-0.035</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">-0.063</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">-0.027</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">-0.022</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">wMinL</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.011</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.012</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.028</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.027</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">wMinR</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">-0.035</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">-0.043</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">-0.027</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.014</td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="bottom">wother</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.0010</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.0051</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.0020</td><td align="char" char="." valign="bottom">0.0070</td></tr></tbody></table></table-wrap><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(3) The principal components analysis normalization procedure is unclear, and potentially incorrect and misleading: Why use the chosen normalization window (±25ms around 100ms after motion stimulus onset) for standardizing activity for PCA, rather than the typical choice of mean/standard deviation of activity in the full data window? This choice would specifically squash responses for units with a strong visual response, which distorts the covariance matrix, and thus the principal components that result. This kind of departure from the standard procedure should be clearly justified: what do the principal components look like when a standard procedure is used, and why was this insufficient/incorrect/unsuitable for this setting?</p></disp-quote><p>We used the early window because it is a robust measure of overall excitability, but we now use a more conventional window that spans the main epoch of our analyses, 200–600 ms after motion onset. This method yields results qualitatively similar to the original method. We are persuaded that this is the more sensible choice. We thank R2 for raising this concern.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(4) Analysis conclusions would generally be stronger with estimates of variability and control analyses: This applies broadly to Figures 2-6.</p></disp-quote><p>We have added estimates of variability and control analyses where appropriate.</p><p>Figure 2 shows examples of single-trial signals. The variability is addressed in Figure 3a and the new Supplementary Figure S5.</p><p>Figure 3 now contains error bars derived by bootstrapping (see Methods, Variance and autocorrelation of smoothed diffusion signals). We have also added Supplementary Figure S5, which substantiates the sublinearity claim using simulations.</p><p>Figure 4 (i) We now indicate the s.e.m. of decoding accuracy (across sessions) by the shading in Figure 4a. (ii) The black symbols in new Supplementary Figure S8 show the mean ± s.e.m. for all pairwise comparisons shown in Figure 4d &amp; e. (iii) Supplementary Figure S8 also summarizes two control analyses that deploy random coding directions (CDs) in neuronal state space. The upper row of Fig S9 compares the observed cosine similarity (CoSim)—between the CD identified by the graph title and the other four CDs labeled along the abscissa—with values obtained with 1000 random CDs established by random permutations of the weight assignments. The brown symbols are the mean ± sdev of the CoSim (N=1000). The error bars are smaller than the symbols. We use the cumulative distribution of CoSim under permutation to estimate p-values (p&lt;0.001 for all comparisons). We used a similar approach to estimate the distribution of the analogous correlation statistics between signals rendered by random directions in state space (Figure S8, lower row). For additional details, please see Methods, Similarity of single-trial signals.</p><p>Figure 5: The rigor of all claims associated with this figure is adduced from two control analyses and a simulation. The first control breaks the trial-by-trial correspondence between neural signals and behavior (Reviewer Figure 1). The second control shows that neural activity does not have substantial leverage on behavior when projected onto random directions in state space (Supplementary Figure S10, top). Simulations of decision variables using parameters derived from the fits to the behavioral data (Figure 1) support a degree of leverage and mediation comparable to the values observed for 𝑆Tincon (Supplementary Figure S10, bottom). For additional details, please see Methods (Leverage of single-trial activity on behavior) and the reply to item 1, above.</p><p>Figure 6: Panels c&amp;d show estimates of variability across neurons and experimental sessions, respectively. The reported p-value is based on a permutation test (see Methods, Correlations between Min and Tconin). The correlations shown in panel e (heatmap) are derived from pooled data across sessions. The reported p-value is based on a permutation test (see Methods, Correlations between Min and Tconin).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p><bold>Reviewer #3 (Public Review):</bold></p><p>Summary:</p><p>The paper investigates which aspects of neural activity in LIP of the macaque give rise to individual decisions (specificity of choice and reaction times) in single trials, by recording simultaneously from hundreds of neurons. Using a variety of dimensionality reduction and decoding techniques, they demonstrate that a population-based drift-diffusion signal, which relies on a small subset of neurons that overlap choice targets, is responsible for the choice and reaction time variability. Analysis of direction-selective neurons in LIP and their correlation with decision-related neurons (T con in [Tconin] neurons) suggests that evidence integration occurs within area LIP.</p><p>Strengths:</p><p>This is an important and interesting paper, which resolves conflicting hypotheses regarding the mechanisms that underlie decision-making in single trials. This is made possible by exploiting novel technology (Primatepixels recordings), in conjunction with state-of-the-art analyses and well-established dynamic random dot motion discrimination tasks.</p><p>General recommendations</p><p>(1) Please tone down causal language. You present compelling correlative evidence for the idea that LIP population activity encodes the drift-diffusion DV. We feel that claims beyond that (e.g., ‘Single-trial drift-diffusion signals control the choice and decision time’) would require direct interventions, and are only partially supported by the current evidence. Further examples are provided in point 1 of Reviewer 1 below.</p></disp-quote><p>We have adopted the recommendation to ‘tone down the causal language.’ Throughout the manuscript, we strive to avoid conveying the false impression that the present findings provide causal support for the decision mechanism. However, other causal studies of LIP support causality in the random dot motion task (Hanks et al., 2006; Jeurissen et al., 2022). It is therefore justifiable to use terms that imply causality in statements intended to convey hypotheses about mechanism. We agree that we should not give the false impression that the present support for said mechanism is adduced from causal perturbations in this study, as there were none.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(2) Please provide a commonly used, data-driven quantification of the dimensionality of the population activity – for example, using participation ratio or the number of PCs explaining 90% of the variance. This will help readers evaluate the conclusions about the dimensionality of the data.</p></disp-quote><p>Principal component analysis reveals a participation ratio of 4.4 ± 0.4 (mean ±s.e., across sessions), and the first 3 PCs explain 67.1 ± 3.1 percent of the variance. The dimensionality of the data is low, but greater than one. We state this in Methods (Principal Component Analysis) and in Results (Single-trial drift-diffusion signals approximate the decision variable, lines 200–201).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(3) Please justify the normalization procedure used for PCA: Why use the chosen normalization window (±25ms around 100ms after motion stimulus onset) for standardizing activity for PCA, rather than the more common quantification of mean/standard deviation across the full data window? What do the first principal components look like when the latter procedure is used?</p></disp-quote><p>We now use a more conventional window that spans the main epoch of our analyses, 200–600 ms after motion onset. This method yields results qualitatively similar to the original method. We are persuaded that this is the more sensible choice.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(4) Please provide estimates of variability for variance and autocorrelation in Fig. 3 (e.g., through bootstrapping). Further, simulations could substantiate the claim about the expected sub-linearity at later time points (Fig. 3a) due to the upper stopping bound and limited firing rate range.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewers for these helpful recommendations. The revised Fig. 3 now contains error bars derived by bootstrapping (see Methods, Variance and autocorrelation of smoothed diffusion signals). We have also added Supplementary Figure S5, which substantiates the sub-linearity claim using simulations.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(5) Please add controls and estimates of variability for decoding across sessions in Fig. 4: what are the levels of within-trial correlation/cosine similarity for random coding directions? What is the variability in the estimates of values shown in a/d/e?</p></disp-quote><p>We have addressed each of these items. (1) Figure 4a now shows the s.e.m. of decoding accuracy (across sessions). (2) Regarding the variability of estimates shown in Figure 4d &amp; e, the standard errors are displayed in the new supplementary Figure S8. It makes sense to show them there because there is no natural way to represent error on the heat maps in Figure 4, and Figure S8 concerns the comparison of the values in Figure 4d&amp;e to values derived from random coding directions. (3) Random coding directions lead to values of cosine similarity and within-trial correlation that do not differ significantly from zero. We show this in several ways, summarized in our reply to Public Review item 4. Additional details are in the revised manuscript (Methods, Similarity of single-trial signals) and the new Supplementary Figure S8.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(6) Please perform additional analysis to strengthen the claim from Fig. 6, that Min represents the integrand and not the integral. The analysis in Fig. 6d could be repeated with the integral (cumulative sum) of the single-trial Min signals. Does this yield an increase in leverage over time?</p></disp-quote><p>The short answer is, yes in part. Reviewer Figure 2a provides support for leverage of the integral on choice, and this leverage, like 𝑆Tincon (t), increases as a function of time. The effect is present in all seven sessions that have both Mleftin and Mrightin neurons (all 𝑝 &lt; 1𝑒 − 10). However, as shown in panel b, the same integral fails to demonstrate more than a hint of leverage on RT. All correlations are barely negative, and the magnitude does not increase as a function of time. We suspect—but cannot prove—that this failure arises because of limited power and the expected weak effect. Recall that the mediation analysis of RT is restricted to longer trials. Moreover, the correlation between the Min difference and the Tin signal is less than 0.1 (heatmap, Fig. 6e), implying that the Min difference explains less than 1% of the variance of 𝑆Tin(𝑡). We considered including Reviewer Figure 2 in the paper, but we feel it would be disingenuous (cherry-picking) to report only the positive outcome of the leverage on choice. If the editors feel strongly about it, we would be open to including it, but leaving these analyses out of the revised manuscript seems more consistent with our effort to deëmphasize this finding. In the future, we plan to record simultaneously from populations MT and LIP neurons (Min and Tin, of course) and optimize Min neuron yield by placing the RDM stimulus in the periphery.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(7) Please describe the complete procedure for determining spatially-selective activity. E.g.: What response epoch was used, what was the spatial layout of the response targets, were responses to all ipsi- vs contralateral targets pooled, what was the spatial distribution of response fields relative to the choice targets across the population?</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewers for pointing out this oversight. We now explain this procedure in the Methods (lines 629–644):</p><p>Neurons were classified post hoc as Tin by visual-inspection of spatial heatmaps of neural activity acquired in the delayed saccade task. We inspected activity in the visual, delay, and perisaccadic epochs of the task. The distribution of target locations was guided by the spatial selectivity of simultaneously recorded neurons in the superior colliculus (see Stine 2023 for details). Briefly, after identifying the location of the SC response fields, we randomly presented saccade targets within this location and seven other, equally spaced locations at the same eccentricity. In monkey J we also included 1–3 additional eccentricities, spanning 5–16 degrees. Neurons were classified as Tin if they displayed a clear, spatially-selective response in at least one epoch to one of the two locations occupied by the choice targets in the main task. Neurons that switched their spatial selectivity in different epochs were not classified as Tin. The classification was conducted before the analyses of activity in the motion discrimination task. The procedure was meant to mimic those used in earlier single-neuron studies of LIP (e.g., Roitman &amp; Shadlen 2002) in which the location of the choice targets was determined online by the qualitative spatial selectivity of the neuron under study. The Tcon neurons in the in present study were highly selective for either the contralateral or ipislateral choice target used in the RDM task (AUC = 0.89±0.01; 𝑝 &lt; 0.05 for 97% of neurons, Wilcoxon rank sum test). Given the sparse sampling of saccade target locations, we are unable to supply a quantitative estimate of the center and spatial extent of the RFs.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>(8) Please clarify if a neuron could be classified as both Tin and Min. Or were these categories mutually exclusive?</p></disp-quote><p>These categories are mutually exclusive. If a neuron has spatially-selective persistent activity, as defined by the method described above, it is classified as a Tin neuron and not as an Min neuron even if it also shows motion-selective activity during passive motion viewing. We now specify this in the Methods (lines 831–832).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p><bold>Reviewer #1 (Recommendations for the Authors):</bold></p><p>𝑅∗1.1a Causal language (Line 23-24): ‘population activity represents […] drift’ and “we provide direct support for the hypothesis that drift-diffusion signal is the quantity responsible for the variability in choice and RT” reads at first sight as if the authors claim that they present evidence for a causal effect of LIP activity on choice. The authors are other wise nuanced and careful to point out that their evidence is correlational. What seems to be meant is that the population activity/drift-diffusion signal ‘approximates the DV that gives rise to the choices […]’ (cf. line 399). I would recommend using such alternative phrasing to avoid confusion (and the typically strong reactions by readers against misleading causal statements).</p></disp-quote><p>We have adopted the reviewer’s recommendation and have modified the text throughout to reduce causal language. See our response to General Recommendation 1.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗1.1b Relatedly, any discussion about the possibility of LIP being causally involved in evidence integration (e.g. lines 429-445 [Au: now 462–478]) should also comment on the possibility of a distributed representation of the decision variable given that neural correlates of the DV have been reported in several areas including PFC, caudate and FEF.</p></disp-quote><p>We believe this is possible. However, we hope to avoid discussions about causality given that it is not a focus of the paper. Although it is somewhat tangential, we have shown elsewhere that LIP is causal in the sense that causal manipulations affect behavior, but it is also true that causality does not imply necessity, and similarly, lack of necessity does not imply ‘only correlation.’ Regarding distributed representations, it is worth keeping in mind the cautionary counter-example furnished by the SC study (Stine et al., 2023). The firing rates measured by averaging over trials are similar in SC and LIP; both manifest as coherence and direction-dependent ramps, leading to the suggestion that they form a distributed representation of the decision variable. With single-trial resolution, we now know that LIP and SC exhibit distinct dynamics—drift-diffusion and bursting, respectively. It remains to be seen if single-trial resolution achievable by simultaneous Neuropixels recordings from prefrontal areas and LIP reveal shared or distinct dynamics.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗1.2 How was the spatially selective activity determined? The classification of Tin neurons is critical to this study - how was their spatial selectivity determined? Please describe this in similar detail as the description of direction selectivity on lines 681-690 [Au: now 824–832]. E.g.: what response epoch was used, what was the spatial layout of the response targets, were responses to all ipsi- vs contralateral targets pooled, and what was the spatial distribution of response fields relative to the choice targets across the population?</p></disp-quote><p>We now explain the selection procedure in Methods (lines 629–644). Please see our reply to General Recommendation 7, above.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗1.3 Could a neuron be classified as both Tin and Min, or were these categories mutually exclusive? Please clarify. (This goes beyond the scope of the current study: but did the authors find evidence for topographic organization or clustering of these categories of neurons?)</p></disp-quote><p>These categories are mutually exclusive. Please see our response to General Recommendation 8, above.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗1.4 Contrary to the statement on line 121, the trial averages in Fig. 2a, 2b show coherence dependency at the time of the saccade in saccade-aligned traces for the coding strategies, except for STin (fig. 2c). Is this a result of the choice for t1 (= 0.1s)? (The authors may want to change their statement on line 121.) Relatedly, do the population responses for the two coding strategies Sramp and SPC1 depend on the epoch used to derive weights for individual neurons?</p></disp-quote><p>We have revised the description to accommodate R2’s observation. 𝑆ramp retains weak coherence-dependence before saccades towards the choice target contralateral to the recording site. This was true in four of the eight sessions. For 𝑆PC1, there is no longer a coherence dependency for the Tin choices, owing to the change in normalization method (see revised Figure 2b).</p><p>We also corrected an error in the Methods section. Specifically, the ramp ends at 𝑡1 = 0.05 s before the time of the saccade, not 𝑡1 = 0.1 s. While we no longer emphasize the similarity of traces aligned to saccade, it is reasonable to find issue with the observation that they retain a dependency on coherence (𝑆ramp only) because, according to theory, traces associated with Tin choices should reach a common positive threshold at decision termination. That said, for the Ramp direction there may be a reason to expect this discrepancy from theory. The deterministic part of drift-diffusion includes an urgency signal that confers positive convexity to the deterministic drift. This accelerating nonlinearity is not captured by the ramp, and it is more prominent at longer decision times, thus low coherences. We do not share this interpretation in the revised manuscript, in part because retention of coherence dependency is present in only half the sessions (see Reviewer Figure 3) The correction to the definition of 𝑡1 also provides an opportunity to address R2’s final question (‘Relatedly,…?’). For 𝑆ramp this particular variation in 𝑡1 does not affect 𝑆ramp, and 𝑆PC1 no longer retains coherence dependency for Tin choices. Note that our choice of 𝑡0 and 𝑡1 is based on the empirical observation that the ramping activity in response averages of Tin neurons typically begins 200 ms after motion onset and ends 50–100 ms before initiation of the saccadic choice. The starting time (𝑡0) is also supported by the observation that the decoding accuracy of a choice-decoder begins to diverge from chance at this time (Figure 4a).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗1.5 It is intriguing that Sramp and SPC1 show dynamics that look so similar (fig. 2a, 2b). How do the weights assigned to each neuron in both strategies compare across the population?</p></disp-quote><p>The weights assigned to each neuron are very similar across the two strategies as indicated by a cosine similarity (0.65 ± 0.04, mean ± s.e.m. across sessions).</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗1.6 Tin neurons, which show dynamics closely resembling different coding directions (fig. 2) and the decoders do not have weights that can distinguish them from the rest of the population in each of these analyses (fig. S7). Is it fair to interpret these findings as evidence for broad decision-related co-variability in the recorded neural population in LIP?</p></disp-quote><p>Yes, our results are consistent with this interpretation. However, it is worth reiterating that decoding performance drops considerably when Tin neurons are not included (see Supplementary Figure S13). Thus, this broad decision-related co-variability is present but weak.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗1.7 It is intriguing that the decoding weights of the different decoders did not allow the authors to reliably identify Tin neurons. Could this be, in part, due to the low dimensionality of the population activity and task that the animals are presumably overtrained on? Or do the authors expect this finding to hold up if the population activity and task were higher dimensional?</p></disp-quote><p>Great question! We can only speculate, but it seems possible that a more complex, ‘higher dimensional’ task could make it easier to identify Tin neurons. For example, a task with four choices instead of two may decrease correlations among groups of neurons with different response fields. We have added this caveat to the discussion (lines 459-–461). One minor semantic objection: The animal has learned to perform a highly contrived task at low signal-to-noise. The animal is well-trained, not over-trained.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗1.8 Lines 135-137 [Au: now 141–142]: The similarity in the single trial traces from different coding strategies (fig. 2a-2c, left) is not as evident to me as the authors suggest. It might be worthwhile computing the correlation coefficients between individual traces for each pair of strategies and reporting the mean correlation to support the author’s point.</p></disp-quote><p>We report the mean correlation between single-trial signals generated by the chosen dimensionality reduction methods in Figure 4e. We show the variability in this measure in Supplementary Figure S8. We have also adjusted the opacity of the single-trial traces in Figure 2, left.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗1.9 Minor/typos:</p><p>-line 74: consider additionally citing Hyafil et al. 2023.</p><p>-line 588: ‘that were strongly correlated’?</p><p>-line 615: ‘were the actual drift-diffusion process were...’.</p><p>-line 717: ‘a causal influence’ -&gt; ‘no causal influence’.</p><p>Fig. 6: panel labels e vs d are swapped between the figure and caption.</p><p>Fig. 3c: labels r1,3 &amp; r2,3 are flipped.</p></disp-quote><p>We have addressed all of these items. Thank you.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p><bold>Reviewer #2 (Recommendations for the Authors):</bold></p><p>𝑅∗2.1 (Figure 2) Determine whether restricting the analysis to 1D projections of the data is a suitable approach given the actual dimensionality of the datasets being analyzed:</p><p>- Should show some quantification of the dimensionality of the recorded activity; could do this by quantifying the dimensionality of population activity in each session, e.g. with participation ratio or related measures (like # PCs to explain some high proportion of the variance, e.g. 90 %). If much of the variation is not described in 1 dimension, then the paper would benefit from some discussion/analysis of the signals that occupy the other dimensions.</p></disp-quote><p>We now report the participation ratio (4.4 ± 0.4, mean ±s.e. across sessions), and we state that the first 3 PCs explain 67.1 ± 3.1% of the variance of the time- and coherence-dependent signals used for the PCA (mean ±s.e). We agree that the 1D projections may elide meaningful features of LIP population activity. Indeed, we make this point through our analysis of the Min neurons. To reiterate our response above, we do not claim that the 1D projections explain all of the meaningful features of LIP population activity. They do, however, reveal the decision variable, which is our main focus. These 1D signals contain features that correlate with events in the superior colliculus, summarized in Stine et al. (2023), attesting to their biological relevance.</p><p>The Reviewer is correct that our approach presupposes a linear embedding of the 1D decision variable in the population activity. In other words, an onlinear representation of the 1D decision variable in population activity could have an embedding dimensionality greater than 1, and there may well be a non-linear method that reveals this representation. To test this possibility, we decoded choice on each trial from population activity using (1) a linear decoder (logistic classifier) or (2) a multi-layer neural network, which can exploit non-linearities. We found that, for each session, the two decoders performed similarly: the neural network outperforms the logistic decoder (barely) in just one session. The analysis suggests that the assumption of linear embedding of the decision variable is justified. We hope this analysis convinces the reviewer that ‘sophisticated analyses of the full neuronal state space’ and ‘a simple average of [Tcon] neurons’ do in indeed yield roughly equivalent representations of the decision variable. We have included the results of this analysis in Supplementary Figure S12. See also item 2 of the Public response.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗2.2 (Figure 3) Add estimates of variability for variance and autocorrelation through time from single-trial signals:</p><p>– E.g. by bootstrapping. Would be helpful for making rigorous the discussion of when the deviation from the theory is outside what would be expected by chance, even if it doesn’t change the specific conclusions here.</p><p>– If possible, it would help (by simulations, or maybe an added reference if it exists) to substantiate the claim about the expected sub-linearity at later time-points (Figure 3a) due to the upper stopping bound and limited firing rate range.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for this helpful comment. The revised Fig. 3 now contains error bars derived by bootstrapping (see Methods, Variance and autocorrelation of smoothed diffusion signals). We have also added Supplementary Figure S5, which substantiates the sub-linearity claim using simulations.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗2.3 (Figure 4) Add controls and estimates of variability for decoding across sessions:</p><p>– As a baseline - what is the level of within-trial correlation/cosine similarity when random coding directions are used?</p><p>– What is the variability in the estimates of values shown in a/d/e?</p></disp-quote><p>We have addressed each of these items. (1) Figure 4a now shows the s.e.m. of decoding accuracy (across sessions). (2) Regarding the variability of estimates shown in Figure 4d &amp; e, the standard errors are displayed in the new Supplementary Figure S8. It makes sense to show them there because (i) there is no natural way to represent error on the heat maps in Figure 4, and (ii) S8 concerns the comparison of the values in Figure 4d &amp; e to values derived from random coding directions. (3) Random coding directions lead to values of cosine similarity and within-trial correlation that do not differ significantly from zero. We show this in several ways, summarized in our reply to Public Review item 4. Additional details are in the revised manuscript (Methods: Similarity of single-trial signals) and the new Supplementary Figure S8. We also provide this information in response to Recommendation 5, above.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗2.4 (Figure 5) Add negative controls and significance tests to support claims about trends in leverage:</p><p>– What is the level of increase in leverage attained from random 1D projections of the data, or other projections where the prior would be no leverage?</p><p>– What is the range of leverage values fit for a simulated signal with a ground-truth of no trend?</p></disp-quote><p>We have added two control analyses. In addition to a shuffle control, which destroys the relationship (Review Figure 1) we performed additional analyses that preserve the correspondence of neural signals and behavior on the same trial. We generated random coding directions (CDs) by establishing weight-vectors that were either chosen from a Normal distribution or by permuting the weights assigned to PC-1 in each session. The latter is the more conservative measure. Projections of the neural responses onto these random coding directions render 𝑆rand(𝑡). Specifically, the degree of leverage is effectively zero or very much reduced. These analyses are summarized in a new Supplementary Figure S10. The distributions of our test statistics (e.g., leverage on choice and RT) under the variants of the null hypothesis also support traditional metrics of statistical significance. Figure S10 (bottom row) also provides an approximate answer to the question: What degree of leverage and mediation would be expected for a theoretical decision variable? Briefly, we simulated 60,000 trials using the race model that best fits the behavioral data of monkey M. For any noise-free representation of a Markovian integration process, the leverage of an early sample of the DV on behavior would be mediated completely by later activity as the latter sample—up to the time of commitment—subsumes all variability captured by the earlier sample. We, therefore, generated 𝑆sim(𝑡) by first subsampling the simulated data to match the trial numbers of each session. To evaluate a DV approximated from the activity of 𝑁 Tconin neurons per session rather than the true DV represented by the entire population, we generated 𝑁 noisy instantiations of the signal for each of the subsampled, simulated trials. The noisy decision variable, 𝑆sim (t) is the mean activity of these 𝑁 noise-corrupted signals. The simulation is consistent with the leverage and incomplete mediation observed for the populations of Tcon neurons. For in additional details, see Methods, Leverage of single-trial activity on behavior and Supplementary Figure S10, caption. See also our response to item 1 of the Public Response.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗2.5 The analysis is performed across several signed coherence levels, with data detrended for each signed coherence and choice to enable comparison of fluctuations relative to the relevant baseline; are results similar for the different coherences?</p></disp-quote><p>The results are qualitatively similar for individual coherences. There is less power, of course, because there are fewer trials. The analyses cannot be performed for coherences ≥ 12.8% because there are not enough trials that satisfy the inclusion criteria (presence of left and right choice trials with RT ≤ 670 ms). Nonetheless, leverage on choice and RT is statistically significant for 27 of the 30 combinations of motion strengths &lt; 12.8% × three signals (𝑆ramp, 𝑆PC1 and 𝑆Tin) × behavioral measures (RT and choice) (RT: all 𝑝 &lt; 0.008, Fisher-z; choice: all 𝑝 &lt; 0.05, t-test). The three exceptions are trials with 6.4% coherence rightward motion, which do not correlate significantly with RT on leftward choice trials. Reviewer Figure 4 shows the results of the leverage and mediation analyses, using only the 0% coherence trials.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗2.6 (Figure 6) Additional analysis to strengthen the claim that Min represents the integrand and not the integral:</p><p>a. Repeating the analysis in Figure 6d with the integral (cumulative sum) of the single-trial Min signals and instead observing a significant increase in leverage over time would be strong evidence for this interpretation. If you again see no increase, then it suggests that the activity of these units (while direction selective) may not be strongly yoked to behavior. This scenario (no increasing leverage of the integral of Min on behavior through time) also raises an intriguing alternative possibility: that the noise driving the ’diffusion’ of drift-diffusion here may originate in the integrating circuit, rather than just reflecting the complete integration of noise in the stream of evidence itself.</p><p>b. Repeating the analysis in Figure 6d with the projection of the M subspace onto its own first PC e.g. take the union of units {Mrightin, Mleftin} [our <inline-formula><mml:math id="sa3m1"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>{</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>right </mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>left </mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mo>}</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>], do PCA just on those units’ single trial activities, identify the first PC, and project those activities on that dimension to obtain SPC1-M.</p><p>c. Ameliorating the sample-size limitation by relaxing the criteria for inclusion in Min - performing the same analyses shown, but including all units with visual RFs overlapping the motion stimulus, irrespective of their direction selectivity.</p></disp-quote><p>a. Reviewer Figure 2a provides support for leverage of the integral on choice, and this leverage, like <inline-formula><mml:math id="sa3m2"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>Tin </mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">c</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">o</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, increases as a function of time. The effect is present in all seven sessions that have both <inline-formula><mml:math id="sa3m3"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>left </mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="sa3m4"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>right </mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> neurons (all 𝑝 &lt; 1𝑒 − 10). However, as shown in panel b, the same integral fails to demonstrate more than a hint of leverage on RT (all correlations are negative) and the magnitude does not vary as a function of time. We suspect—but cannot prove—that this failure arises because of limited power and the expected weak effect. Recall that the mediation analysis of RT is restricted to longer trials and that the correlation between the Min difference and the signal is less than 0.1 over the heatmap in Fig. 6e, implying that the Min difference explains less than 1% of the variance of 𝑆Tin(𝑡). We considered including Reviewer Figure 2 in the paper, but we feel it would be disingenuous (cherrypicking) to report only the positive outcome of the leverage on choice. If the editors feel strongly about it, we would be open to including it, but leaving these analyses out of the revised manuscript seems more consistent with our effort to deëmphasize this finding. In the future, we plan to record simultaneously from populations MT and LIP neurons (Min and Tin, of course) and optimize Min neuron yield by placing the RDM stimulus in the periphery. We also provide this information in response to Recommendation (6) above.</p><p>b. We tried the R’s suggestion to apply PCA to the union of Min neurons <inline-formula><mml:math id="sa3m5"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>right </mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="sa3m6"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">i</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>left </mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> , fully expecting PC1 to comprise weights of opposite sign for the right and left preferring neurons, but that is not what we observed. Instead, the direction selectivity is distributed over at least two PCs. We think this is a reflection of the prominence of other signals, such as the strong visual response and normalization signals (see Shushruth et al., 2018). In the spirit of the R’s suggestion, we also established an ‘evidence coding direction’ using a regression strategy similar to the Ramp CD applied to the union of Min neurons. The strategy produced a coding direction with opposite signed weights dominating the right and left subsets. The projection of the neural data on this evidence CD yields a signal similar to the difference variable used in Fig. 6e (i.e., signals that are approximately constant firing rates vs time and scale as a function of signed coherence). These unintegrated signals exhibit weak leverage on choice and RT, consistent with Figure 6d. However, the integrated signal has leverage on choice but not RT, similar to the integral of the difference signal in Reviewer Figure 2.</p><p>c. We do not understand the motivation for this analysis. We could apply PCA or dPCA (or the regression approach, described above) to the population of units with RFs that overlap the motion stimulus, but it is hard to see how this would test the hypothesis that direction-selective neurons similar to those in area MT supply the momentary evidence. As mentioned, we have very few Min neurons (as few as two in session 3). Future experiments that place the motion stimulus in the periphery would likely increase the yield of Min neurons and would be better suited to study this question. As such, we do not see the integrand-like responses of Min neurons as a major claim of the paper. Instead, we view it as an intriguing observation that deserves follow-up in future experiments, including simultaneous recordings from populations of MT and LIP neurons (Min and Tin, of course). We have softened the language considerably to make it clear that future work will be needed to make strong claims about the nature of Min neurons.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗2.7 Other questions: Figure 2c is described as showing the average firing rate of units in Tconin on single trials, but must also incorporate some baseline subtraction (as the shown traces dip into negative firing rates). What base line is subtracted? Are these residual signals, as described for later figures, or is a different method used? (Presumably, a similar procedure is used also for Figure 2a/b, given that all single-trial traces begin at 0.). Is the baseline subtraction justified? If the dataset really does reflect the decision variable with single-trial resolution, eliminating the baseline subtraction when visualizing single-trial activity might actually help to make the point clearer: trials which (for any reason) begin with a higher projection on the particular direction that furnishes the DV would be predicted to reach the decision bound, at any fixed coherence, more quickly than trials with a smaller projection onto this direction.</p></disp-quote><p>We thank the reviewer for this comment. For each trial, the mean activity between 175 ms and 225 ms after motion onset was subtracted when generating the single-trial traces. The baseline subtraction was only applied for visualization to better portray the diffusion component in the signal. Unless otherwise indicated, all analyses are computed on non-baseline corrected data. We now describe in the caption of Figure 2 that ‘For visualization, single-trial traces were baseline corrected by subtracting the activity in a 50 ms window around 200 ms.’ Examples of the raw traces used for all follow-up analyses are displayed in Reviewer Figure 6.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p><bold>Reviewer #3 (Recommendations for the Authors):</bold></p><p>I only have a few comments to make the paper more accessible:</p><p>𝑅∗3.1 I struggle to understand how the linear fitting from -1 to 1 was done. More detail about how the single cell single-trial activity was generated to possibly go from -1 to 1 or do I completely misunderstand the approach? I assume the data standardization does that job?</p></disp-quote><p>We have rephrased and added clarifying detail to the section describing the derivation of the ramp signal in the Methods (Ramp direction).</p><p>We applied linear regression to generate a signal that best approximates a linear ramp, on each trial, 𝑖, that terminates with a saccade to the choice-target contralateral to the hemisphere of the LIP recordings. The ramps are defined in the epoch spanning the decision time: each ramp begins at 𝑓𝑖(𝑡0) = −1, where 𝑡0 = 0.2 s after motion onset, and ends at 𝑓𝑖(𝑡1) = 1, where 𝑡1 = 𝑡sac − 0.05 s (i.e., 50 ms before saccade initiation). The ramps are sampled every 25 ms and concatenated using all eligible trials to construct a long saw-tooth function (see Supplementary Figure S2). The regression solves for the weights assigned to each neuron such that the weighted sum of the activity of all neurons best approximates the saw-tooth. We constructed a time series of standardized neural activity, sampled identically to the saw-tooth. The spike times from each neuron are represented as delta functions (rasters) and convolved with a non-causal 25 ms boxcar filter. The mean and standard deviation of all sampled values of activity were used to standardize the activity for each neuron (i.e., Z-transform). The coefficients derived by the regression establish the vector of weights that define 𝑆ramp. The algorithm ensures that the population signal 𝑆ramp(𝑡), but not necessarily individual neurons, have amplitudes ranging from approximately −1 to 1.</p><disp-quote content-type="editor-comment"><p>𝑅∗3.2 It is difficult to understand how the urgency signal is derived, to then generate fig S4.</p></disp-quote><p>The urgency signal is estimated by averaging 𝑆𝑥(𝑡) at each time point relative to motion onset, using only the 0% coherence trials. We have clarified this in the caption of Supplementary Figure S4.</p><fig id="sa3fig1" position="float"><label>Author response image 1.</label><caption><title>Shuffle control for Fig.5.</title><p>Breaking the within-trial correspondence between neural signal, 𝑆(𝑡), and choice suppresses leverage to near zero.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-sa3-fig1-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="sa3fig2" position="float"><label>Author response image 2.</label><caption><title>Leverage of the integrated difference signal <inline-formula><mml:math id="sa3m7"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>in </mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>left </mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">M</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>in </mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>right </mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> on choice and RT.</title><p>Traces are the average leverage across seven sessions. Same conventions as in Figure 5.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-sa3-fig2-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="sa3fig3" position="float"><label>Author response image 3.</label><caption><title>Trial-averaged 𝑆ramp activity during individual sessions.</title><p>Same as Figure 2b for individual sessions for Monkey M (left) and Monkey J (right). The figure is intended to illustrate the consistency and heterogeneity of the averaged signals. For example, the saccade-aligned averages lose their association with motion strength before left (contra) choices in sessions 1, 2, 5, and 6 but retain the association in sessions 3, 4, 7, and 8.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-sa3-fig3-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="sa3fig4" position="float"><label>Author response image 4.</label><caption><title>Drift-diffusion signals have measurable leverage on choice and RT even when only 0%-coherence trials are included in the analysis.</title></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-sa3-fig4-v1.tif"/></fig><fig id="sa3fig5" position="float"><label>Author response image 5.</label><caption><title>Raw single-trial activity for three types of population averages.</title><p>Representative single-trial activity during the first 300 ms of evidence accumulation using two motion strengths: 0% and 25.6% coherence toward the left (contralateral) choice target. Unlike in Figure 2 in the paper, single-trial traces are not baseline corrected by subtracting the activity in a 50 ms window around 200 ms. We highlight a number of trials with thick traces and these are the same trials in each of the rows.</p></caption><graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="elife-90859-sa3-fig5-v1.tif"/></fig></body></sub-article></article>